Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $48.1700 (1.07%) ($47.9900 - $48.3300) on Tue. Dec. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $48.1700(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(92%)    EWG(89%)    EWI(84%)    EWP(83%)    VYM(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-19%)    SHY(-1%)    IPO(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.76(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.08(2.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.52(3.55%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2016	47.77	46.52	47.08	47.76			48.17(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	-10000	12	164	3.38	48%	0.02	39.2	0.8%	0	2	71	0
2	Dec_12_2016	47.76	46.4	46.85	47.54			47.66(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	9	138	2.89	46%	0	31.8	0.85%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Dec_9_2016	47.76	46.33	46.64	47.35			47.73(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10000	17	127	3.18	42%	0.02	29	0.85%	0	2.1	72	0
4	Dec_8_2016	47.75	46.28	46.47	47			47.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	16	95	5.13	42%	0	20	0.89%	0	2	63	0
5	Dec_7_2016	47.75	46.25	46.29	46.67			47.75(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	-10000	18	69	3.53	42%	0	9.8	0.89%	0	2.6	68	0

6	Dec_6_2016	47.75	46.2	46.1	46.31			47.11(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	12	34	4.13	39%	0	-8.7	0.87%	0	1.9	56	0
7	Dec_5_2016	47.75	46.17	45.98	46.07			46.68(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	-10000	12	14	4.25	36%	0	-26.8	0.86%	0	1.1	56	0
8	Dec_2_2016	47.75	46.14	45.86	45.84			45.99(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-1	-22	5.26	32%	-0.04	-52.6	0.85%	0	-0.3	44	0
9	Dec_1_2016	47.77	46.16	45.86	45.86			45.84(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-10000	2	-31	2.65	32%	-0.02	-57.9	0.87%	0	-0.7	38	0
10	Nov_30_2016	47.78	46.19	45.87	45.83			45.91(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-53	4.14	32%	-0.02	-65.3	0.87%	0	-0.6	36	0

11	Nov_29_2016	47.79	46.24	45.91	45.86			45.94(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-0	-59	2.88	32%	-0.02	-66.7	0.87%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Nov_28_2016	47.8	46.29	45.92	45.87			45.54(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-0	-69	2.5	29%	0	-67.3	0.86%	0	-1.6	37	0
13	Nov_25_2016	47.8	46.37	46.01	45.87			46.08(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	0	-65	1.35	31%	0.08	-74.3	0.85%	0	-0.6	52	0
14	Nov_23_2016	47.76	46.42	46.08	45.88			45.7(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-2	-62	2.34	31%	0.02	-76.4	0.84%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Nov_22_2016	47.75	46.48	46.22	45.91			46.03(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-53	2.32	31%	-0.04	-81.9	0.84%	0	-0.9	45	0

16	Nov_21_2016	47.77	46.55	46.3	45.97			45.99(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-0	-46	3.71	31%	-0.02	-78.2	0.84%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Nov_18_2016	47.78	46.62	46.38	45.98			45.6(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-9	-53	3.89	28%	-0.02	-71.1	0.84%	0	-1.9	36	0
18	Nov_17_2016	47.79	46.71	46.44	46.15			46.07(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-9	-54	6.35	29%	0	-63.3	0.84%	0	-1.3	39	0
19	Nov_16_2016	47.79	46.79	46.48	46.32			45.85(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-10000	-13	-51	8.25	29%	0.04	-50.5	0.83%	0	-1.8	35	0
20	Nov_15_2016	47.77	46.89	46.56	46.58			46.36(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-5	-34	2.23	31%	0.06	-35.6	0.82%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Nov_14_2016	47.74	46.95	46.6	46.68			46.04(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-8	-33	2.96	31%	0.02	-29	0.82%	0	-1.9	33	0
22	Nov_11_2016	47.73	47	46.7	46.83			46.44(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-3	-10000	4	-23	2.58	33%	-0.08	-36	0.81%	0	-1.3	34	0
23	Nov_10_2016	47.77	47.04	46.76	46.75			46.9(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	5	-37	4.57	35%	-0.02	-52.9	0.81%	0	-0.4	38	0
24	Nov_9_2016	47.78	47.05	46.78	46.66			47.14(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	6	-52	4.36	35%	-0.04	-75.3	0.81%	0	0.2	38	0
25	Nov_8_2016	47.8	47.06	46.76	46.54			46.9(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-18	-10000	1	-74	2.1	35%		-98.9	0.82%	0	-0.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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