Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $48.4100 (1%) ($48.1200 - $48.5400) on Tue. Aug. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $48.4100(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(92%)    EWG(89%)    EWI(84%)    EWP(83%)    VYM(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    IPO(-8%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.89(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.89(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.6(1.7%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2016	48.15	47.6	47.89	47.89			48.41(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	3	18	2.54	41%	-0.02	130	1.95%	0	2.1	67	0
2	Aug_8_2016	48.16	47.53	47.8	47.75			47.93(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	1	15	1.74	41%	0	129.5	1.95%	0	1	68	0
3	Aug_5_2016	48.16	47.46	47.74	47.72			47.89(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10000	-2	14	2.45	41%	-0.02	94.8	1.95%	0	0.8	59	0
4	Aug_4_2016	48.17	47.35	47.68	47.79			47.71(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-1	17	8.03	40%	-0.02	68.6	1.95%	0	0.5	59	0
5	Aug_3_2016	48.18	47.22	47.68	47.82			47.49(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-2	17	4.26	39%	0	56.6	1.95%	0	0.3	50	0

6	Aug_2_2016	48.18	47.11	47.64	47.89			47.73(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	23	4.59	39%	-0.02	56	1.97%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Aug_1_2016	48.19	46.99	47.56	47.84			47.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	2	22	2.96	39%	-0.02	65	1.97%	0	0.8	62	0
8	Jul_29_2016	48.2	46.94	47.52	47.76			48.28(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	10	-10000	4	26	3.59	39%	0.02	74.7	1.98%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Jul_28_2016	48.19	46.85	47.41	47.56			47.84(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	9	-10000	3	28	3.41	39%	0	55.9	1.98%	0	1.1	80	0
10	Jul_27_2016	48.19	46.74	47.37	47.44			47.83(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	11	-10000	2	39	4.17	39%	0.02	37.1	1.98%	0	1.3	84	0

11	Jul_26_2016	48.18	46.59	47.28	47.36			47.5(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	14	-10000	2	48	3.32	39%	0	14	1.98%	0	1	79	0
12	Jul_25_2016	48.18	46.39	47.24	47.25			47.34(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	55	3.37	39%	0	-10.2	1.98%	0	0.8	75	0
13	Jul_22_2016	48.18	46.25	47.14	47.24			47.29(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	0	54	3.52	39%	0	-19.2	1.98%	0	0.9	54	0
14	Jul_21_2016	48.18	46.37	46.99	47.23			47.26(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-1	49	3.21	39%	0	-3.8	1.98%	0	0.6	54	0
15	Jul_20_2016	48.18	46.42	46.78	47.28			47.4(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	2	49	2.98	39%	0.02	5.5	1.98%	0	0.6	63	0

16	Jul_19_2016	48.17	46.46	46.56	47.2			46.95(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	-0	49	4.65	41%	0.02	12.6	1.97%	0	0.3	67	0
17	Jul_18_2016	48.16	46.51	46.39	47.22			47.31(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	4	63	7.43	41%	0.02	14.7	1.99%	0	0.5	75	0
18	Jul_15_2016	48.15	46.48	46.32	47.02			47.22(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	7	72	10.4	41%	0.04	8.1	1.99%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Jul_14_2016	48.13	46.42	46.25	46.71			47.51(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	11	42	17.42	41%	0.04	-7.8	1.99%	0	0.7	40	0
20	Jul_13_2016	48.11	46.34	46.05	46.19			47.02(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	7	-10000	8	5	7.89	41%	0.04	-30	1.99%	0	0.4	45	0

21	Jul_12_2016	48.09	46.26	45.82	45.81			47.02(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-31	6.16	41%	0	-50.3	1.99%	0	0.5	45	0
22	Jul_11_2016	48.09	46.27	45.46	45.46			46.34(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-21	-10000	-2	-77	6.79	41%	0.02	-63.9	1.99%	0	0	45	0
23	Jul_8_2016	48.08	46.35	45.28	45.53			45.66(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-4	-91	7.46	43%	-0.02	-66.3	1.98%	0	-0.4	48	0
24	Jul_7_2016	48.09	46.55	45.67	45.73			44.92(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-62	6.71	41%	-0.02	-58.1	1.98%	0	-0.9	49	0
25	Jul_6_2016	48.1	46.82	46.02	45.88			45.11(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-9	-10000	2	-40	10.47	43%		-50.2	1.99%	0	-0.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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