Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $59.9500 (-0.12%) ($59.7900 - $60.2800) on Tue. Feb. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $59.9500(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    DIA(0%)    IGOV(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.64(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.3(1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58(3.36%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2014	57.1	58	59.3	59.64			59.95(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	43	-10000	3	161	4.68	50%	0.09	27.5	0.93%	0	1.3	90	0
2	Feb_24_2014	57.05	57.84	59.06	59.56			60.02(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	51	-10000	6	186	4.38	50%	0.11	21.8	0.93%	0	1.5	92	0
3	Feb_21_2014	56.99	57.69	58.83	59.39			59.56(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	5	198	2.29	51%	0.09	13.5	0.92%	0	1.4	74	0
4	Feb_20_2014	56.94	57.65	58.57	59.25			59.52(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	8	194	4.18	50%	0.09	11.2	0.93%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Feb_19_2014	56.89	57.61	58.21	59.04			59.15(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	5	172	3.46	50%	0.09	8.4	0.94%	0	1.2	65	0

6	Feb_18_2014	56.84	57.59	57.87	58.89			59.55(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	-10000	15	154	5.7	50%	0.12	8.4	0.93%	0	1.5	61	0
7	Feb_14_2014	56.77	57.53	57.42	58.48			59.15(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	11	111	3.39	50%	0.07	0	0.92%	0	1.3	62	0
8	Feb_13_2014	56.73	57.51	57.11	58.18			58.88(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	15	84	4.87	50%	0.09	-3.2	0.92%	0	1.1	59	0
9	Feb_12_2014	56.68	57.51	56.89	57.79			58.49(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	20	39	3.64	50%	0.05	-8.2	0.92%	0	0.8	44	0
10	Feb_11_2014	56.65	57.5	56.7	57.25			58.4(1.6%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	12	-10000	22	-19	6.48	50%	0.07	-17.2	0.92%	0	0.7	44	0

11	Feb_10_2014	56.61	57.48	56.57	56.69			57.48(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	20	-75	4.57	47%	0.05	-27.6	0.9%	0	0	38	0
12	Feb_7_2014	56.58	57.53	56.5	56.19			57.65(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-24	-10000	12	-130	3.81	45%	0.04	-34.8	0.9%	0	0.1	42	0
13	Feb_6_2014	56.56	57.54	56.44	55.89			56.92(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-44	-10000	0	-174	5.47	44%	0.02	-39.7	0.91%	0	-0.5	36	0
14	Feb_5_2014	56.55	57.6	56.62	55.88			55.79(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-8	-186	4.13	39%	0.02	-43.7	0.88%	0	-1.4	27	0
15	Feb_4_2014	56.54	57.72	56.94	56.08			55.6(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-15	-175	5.01	39%	0.04	-44.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	28	0

16	Feb_3_2014	56.52	57.83	57.28	56.45			55.01(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-10000	-15	-146	7.85	36%	0.02	-43.2	0.88%	0	-2.6	31	0
17	Jan_31_2014	56.51	57.98	57.67	56.83			56.11(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-124	5.02	39%	0.04	-44.2	0.85%	0	-2.1	33	0
18	Jan_30_2014	56.49	58.06	57.97	57.05			56.91(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-18	-105	3.78	41%	0.05	-44.1	0.84%	0	-1.5	44	0
19	Jan_29_2014	56.46	58.16	58.18	57.48			56.75(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-19	-66	6.2	41%	0.07	-22.1	0.84%	0	-1.9	43	0
20	Jan_28_2014	56.42	58.26	58.4	57.95			57.46(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-13	-25	5.69	43%	0.07	5	0.82%	0	-1.1	47	0

21	Jan_27_2014	56.38	58.31	58.48	58.27			56.92(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-11	-10000	-15	2	5.22	41%	0.09	29.1	0.81%	0	-2	47	0
22	Jan_24_2014	56.33	58.37	58.67	58.62			57.19(-3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-2	-10000	-16	40	9.6	41%	0.09	60.2	0.81%	0	-2	50	0
23	Jan_23_2014	56.28	58.41	58.77	59			59.07(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	91	5.35	48%	0.12	105.4	0.71%	0	1.2	74	0
24	Jan_22_2014	56.21	58.33	58.67	58.99			59.09(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	82	3.72	51%	0.14	118.7	0.71%	0	1.4	51	0
25	Jan_21_2014	56.13	58.22	58.56	58.93			59.08(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	9	73	4.31	51%		134.1	0.72%	0	1.7	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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