Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $57.6500 (1.28%) ($57.0300 - $57.6600) on Fri. Feb. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $57.6500(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-5%)    DIA(0%)    SIL(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $52.25(-9.37%)
5 Day Moving Average   $56.19(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.5(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.53(0.21%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2014	56.58	57.53	56.5	56.19			57.65(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-24	-10000	12	-130	3.81	45%	0.04	-34.8	0.9%	0	0.1	42	0
2	Feb_6_2014	56.56	57.54	56.44	55.89			56.92(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-44	-10000	0	-174	5.47	44%	0.02	-39.7	0.91%	0	-0.5	36	0
3	Feb_5_2014	56.55	57.6	56.62	55.88			55.79(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-8	-186	4.13	39%	0.02	-43.7	0.88%	0	-1.4	27	0
4	Feb_4_2014	56.54	57.72	56.94	56.08			55.6(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-10000	-15	-175	5.01	39%	0.04	-44.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	28	0
5	Feb_3_2014	56.52	57.83	57.28	56.45			55.01(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-10000	-15	-146	7.85	36%	0.02	-43.2	0.88%	0	-2.6	31	0

6	Jan_31_2014	56.51	57.98	57.67	56.83			56.11(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-9	-124	5.02	39%	0.04	-44.2	0.85%	0	-2.1	33	0
7	Jan_30_2014	56.49	58.06	57.97	57.05			56.91(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-18	-105	3.78	41%	0.05	-44.1	0.84%	0	-1.5	44	0
8	Jan_29_2014	56.46	58.16	58.18	57.48			56.75(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-19	-66	6.2	41%	0.07	-22.1	0.84%	0	-1.9	43	0
9	Jan_28_2014	56.42	58.26	58.4	57.95			57.46(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-13	-25	5.69	43%	0.07	5	0.82%	0	-1.1	47	0
10	Jan_27_2014	56.38	58.31	58.48	58.27			56.92(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-11	-10000	-15	2	5.22	41%	0.09	29.1	0.81%	0	-2	47	0

11	Jan_24_2014	56.33	58.37	58.67	58.62			57.19(-3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-2	-10000	-16	40	9.6	41%	0.09	60.2	0.81%	0	-2	50	0
12	Jan_23_2014	56.28	58.41	58.77	59			59.07(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	91	5.35	48%	0.12	105.4	0.71%	0	1.2	74	0
13	Jan_22_2014	56.21	58.33	58.67	58.99			59.09(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	82	3.72	51%	0.14	118.7	0.71%	0	1.4	51	0
14	Jan_21_2014	56.13	58.22	58.56	58.93			59.08(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	9	73	4.31	51%	0.14	134.1	0.72%	0	1.7	53	0
15	Jan_17_2014	56.05	58.11	58.41	58.74			58.69(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	45	5.1	54%	0.14	118.6	0.72%	0	1	53	0

16	Jan_16_2014	55.97	58.01	58.31	58.72			59.07(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	41	4.18	54%	0.13	113.4	0.74%	0	1.6	60	0
17	Jan_15_2014	55.9	57.85	58.15	58.51			59.02(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	10	22	4.55	54%	0.14	97.4	0.74%	0	1.7	62	0
18	Jan_14_2014	55.82	57.71	58.11	58.3			58.79(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	8	23	4.13	54%	0.11	74.8	0.74%	0	1.4	65	0
19	Jan_13_2014	55.76	57.54	58.08	58.14			58.11(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	5	32	7.63	52%	0.09	59.4	0.73%	0	0.7	65	0
20	Jan_10_2014	55.71	57.41	58.1	58.04			58.59(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	10	47	3.84	58%	0.11	47.3	0.72%	0	1.2	72	0

21	Jan_9_2014	55.65	57.28	58.04	57.83			58.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	4	45	4.29	57%	0.11	38.8	0.76%	0	0.7	70	0
22	Jan_8_2014	55.59	57.2	58.02	57.74			57.97(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-7	60	7.39	54%	0.09	35.7	0.76%	0	0.7	76	0
23	Jan_7_2014	55.54	57.13	57.97	57.9			58(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	-5	90	3.62	54%	0.11	39.6	0.77%	0	0.8	71	0
24	Jan_6_2014	55.48	57.06	57.87	58.02			57.61(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-7	120	3.62	54%	0.07	40.8	0.77%	0	0.5	74	0
25	Jan_3_2014	55.44	56.97	57.8	58.17			57.56(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	35	-10000	-4	153	2.53	54%		39.1	0.77%	0	0.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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