Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $58.1100 (-0.82%) ($58.0000 - $58.4600) on Mon. Jan. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $58.1100(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-5%)    XLE(-0%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.14(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.08(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.54(0.99%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2014	55.76	57.54	58.08	58.14			58.11(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	5	32	7.63	52%	0.09	59.4	0.73%	0	0.7	65	0
2	Jan_10_2014	55.71	57.41	58.1	58.04			58.59(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	10	47	3.84	58%	0.11	47.3	0.72%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Jan_9_2014	55.65	57.28	58.04	57.83			58.02(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	4	45	4.29	57%	0.11	38.8	0.76%	0	0.7	70	0
4	Jan_8_2014	55.59	57.2	58.02	57.74			57.97(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-7	60	7.39	54%	0.09	35.7	0.76%	0	0.7	76	0
5	Jan_7_2014	55.54	57.13	57.97	57.9			58(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	-5	90	3.62	54%	0.11	39.6	0.77%	0	0.8	71	0

6	Jan_6_2014	55.48	57.06	57.87	58.02			57.61(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-7	120	3.62	54%	0.07	40.8	0.77%	0	0.5	74	0
7	Jan_3_2014	55.44	56.97	57.8	58.17			57.56(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	35	-10000	-4	153	2.53	54%	0.09	39.1	0.77%	0	0.6	73	0
8	Jan_2_2014	55.39	56.89	57.72	58.27			57.55(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	42	-10000	-2	172	6.41	54%	0.13	37.7	0.78%	0	0.6	64	0
9	Dec_31_2013	55.32	56.83	57.56	58.32			58.8(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	-10000	13	189	3.45	60%	0.11	38.5	0.73%	0	1.9	71	0
10	Dec_30_2013	55.26	56.72	57.29	58.04			58.6(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	17	166	3.34	60%	0.09	34.4	0.73%	0	2.1	67	0

11	Dec_27_2013	55.21	56.65	56.97	57.69			58.35(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	15	124	3.25	60%	0.11	30.3	0.73%	0	2.1	66	0
12	Dec_26_2013	55.15	56.57	56.67	57.38			58.04(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	13	96	2.71	60%	0.15	28.7	0.73%	0	2	70	0
13	Dec_24_2013	55.07	56.5	56.46	57.1			57.8(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	-10000	19	77	1.2	60%	0.11	20.9	0.73%	0	2	65	0
14	Dec_23_2013	55.01	56.45	56.3	56.7			57.4(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	44	3.85	60%	0.09	4.9	0.72%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Dec_20_2013	54.96	56.42	56.2	56.43			56.86(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	15	20	5.4	58%	0.07	-6.2	0.72%	0	0.8	48	0

16	Dec_19_2013	54.92	56.4	56.16	56.13			56.81(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	14	-16	4.78	58%	0.09	-19.4	0.72%	0	0.7	43	0
17	Dec_18_2013	54.87	56.4	56.05	55.85			56.64(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-11	-10000	6	-61	3.98	63%	0.11	-35.4	0.72%	0	0.5	44	0
18	Dec_17_2013	54.81	56.37	55.99	55.72			55.77(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-85	3.23	60%	0.07	-37.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	40	0
19	Dec_16_2013	54.77	56.42	56.04	55.85			56.09(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	-5	-82	2.92	60%	0.07	-27.7	0.76%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	Dec_13_2013	54.73	56.45	56.11	55.95			55.36(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-11	-80	2.91	57%	0.05	-18.1	0.75%	0	-2.1	32	0

21	Dec_12_2013	54.7	56.51	56.31	56.19			55.4(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-10000	-4	-51	3.46	57%	0.07	-2.5	0.75%	0	-2.4	38	0
22	Dec_11_2013	54.66	56.56	56.48	56.19			55.99(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	0	-32	4.06	60%	0.09	-2.9	0.74%	0	-1.5	50	0
23	Dec_10_2013	54.61	56.56	56.57	56.27			56.41(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	1	-30	3.56	65%	0.09	-4.3	0.74%	0	-0.4	48	0
24	Dec_9_2013	54.56	56.57	56.62	56.26			56.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-2	-32	1.96	65%	0.09	-10.1	0.75%	0	0.1	48	0
25	Dec_6_2013	54.51	56.55	56.65	56.31			56.54(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-7	-27	2.74	65%		-9.9	0.76%	0	-0	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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