Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $57.4000 (0.95%) ($57.1200 - $57.4100) on Mon. Dec. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $57.4000(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-5%)    XBI(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UNG(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.7(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.3(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.45(1.68%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2013	55.01	56.45	56.3	56.7			57.4(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	44	3.85	60%	0.09	4.9	0.72%	0	1.6	58	0
2	Dec_20_2013	54.96	56.42	56.2	56.43			56.86(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	15	20	5.4	58%	0.07	-6.2	0.72%	0	0.8	48	0
3	Dec_19_2013	54.92	56.4	56.16	56.13			56.81(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	14	-16	4.78	58%	0.09	-19.4	0.72%	0	0.7	43	0
4	Dec_18_2013	54.87	56.4	56.05	55.85			56.64(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-11	-10000	6	-61	3.98	63%	0.11	-35.4	0.72%	0	0.5	44	0
5	Dec_17_2013	54.81	56.37	55.99	55.72			55.77(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-85	3.23	60%	0.07	-37.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	40	0

6	Dec_16_2013	54.77	56.42	56.04	55.85			56.09(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	-5	-82	2.92	60%	0.07	-27.7	0.76%	0	-0.6	42	0
7	Dec_13_2013	54.73	56.45	56.11	55.95			55.36(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-11	-80	2.91	57%	0.05	-18.1	0.75%	0	-2.1	32	0
8	Dec_12_2013	54.7	56.51	56.31	56.19			55.4(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-16	-10000	-4	-51	3.46	57%	0.07	-2.5	0.75%	0	-2.4	38	0
9	Dec_11_2013	54.66	56.56	56.48	56.19			55.99(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	0	-32	4.06	60%	0.09	-2.9	0.74%	0	-1.5	50	0
10	Dec_10_2013	54.61	56.56	56.57	56.27			56.41(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	1	-30	3.56	65%	0.09	-4.3	0.74%	0	-0.4	48	0

11	Dec_9_2013	54.56	56.57	56.62	56.26			56.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-2	-32	1.96	65%	0.09	-10.1	0.75%	0	0.1	48	0
12	Dec_6_2013	54.51	56.55	56.65	56.31			56.54(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-7	-27	2.74	65%	0.11	-9.9	0.76%	0	-0	48	0
13	Dec_5_2013	54.45	56.52	56.66	56.47			55.79(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-13	-10000	-13	-14	3.47	63%	0.09	-8.1	0.75%	0	-1.7	45	0
14	Dec_4_2013	54.4	56.57	56.71	56.74			56.03(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-8	7	4.77	63%	0.09	7.2	0.74%	0	-1.4	50	0
15	Dec_3_2013	54.35	56.59	56.78	56.91			56.34(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-5	30	3.1	66%	0.11	7.5	0.74%	0	-0.7	57	0

16	Dec_2_2013	54.29	56.61	56.83	57.01			56.84(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-1	46	3.54	69%	0.13	9	0.75%	0	0.6	57	0
17	Nov_29_2013	54.22	56.58	56.82	57.03			57.36(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	7	59	2.67	73%	0.2	-1.5	0.75%	0	2.1	67	0
18	Nov_27_2013	54.11	56.55	56.73	56.88			57.14(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	9	56	2.16	64%	0.15	-21.7	0.75%	0	1.7	69	0
19	Nov_26_2013	54.03	56.54	56.64	56.69			56.85(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	2	30	1.84	64%	0.15	-35.9	0.8%	0	0.9	50	0
20	Nov_25_2013	53.95	56.56	56.56	56.65			56.84(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	1	25	2.95	64%	0.17	-38.8	0.8%	0	0.7	56	0

21	Nov_22_2013	53.86	56.57	56.51	56.64			56.95(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	2	20	1.77	67%	0.06	-31.1	0.8%	0	0.9	51	0
22	Nov_21_2013	53.83	56.59	56.43	56.59			56.64(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	4.18	63%	0.15	-22.5	0.81%	0	0.1	52	0
23	Nov_20_2013	53.75	56.63	56.35	56.55			56.15(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-1	-0	3.51	62%	0.15	-13.6	0.82%	0	-1	44	0
24	Nov_19_2013	53.67	56.67	56.41	56.57			56.67(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	6	0	3.39	65%	0.15	4.8	0.81%	0	0	44	0
25	Nov_18_2013	53.59	56.7	56.37	56.44			56.79(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	4	-23	2.68	65%		20.5	0.82%	0	0.2	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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