Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $48.0400 (1.67%) ($46.9600 - $48.1600) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $48.0400(1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(90%)    EWI(85%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(79%)    VWO(79%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.14(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.18(4.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.69(5.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2012	42.85	45.69	46.18	47.14			48.04(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	10	101	3.23	63%	0.07	68.6	1.51%	0	2.4	74	0
2	Sep_12_2012	42.82	45.51	45.86	46.78			47.25(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	14	82	2.33	64%	0.09	70.5	1.51%	0	2.2	65	0
3	Sep_11_2012	42.78	45.38	45.64	46.3			47.09(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	13	57	3.19	64%	0.07	60.9	1.53%	0	2.4	63	0
4	Sep_10_2012	42.75	45.25	45.43	45.85			46.41(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	8	34	1.96	64%	0.05	51.9	1.53%	0	1.9	62	0
5	Sep_7_2012	42.73	45.16	45.28	45.57			46.89(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	16	-10000	14	21	5.35	64%	0.07	49.2	1.53%	0	3.1	66	0

6	Sep_6_2012	42.7	45.04	45.09	45.08			46.24(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	3	5	-10000	8	-5	4.44	67%	0.05	63.2	1.52%	0	3.1	62	0
7	Sep_5_2012	42.68	44.96	44.99	44.82			44.88(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-16	1.02	64%	0	90.3	1.53%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	Sep_4_2012	42.68	44.95	45.04	44.87			44.85(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-8	2.77	64%	0.02	125.8	1.53%	0	-0.4	54	0
9	Aug_31_2012	42.67	44.93	45.08	44.94			44.98(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-0	0	1.91	61%	0	119.2	1.55%	0	0.1	59	0
10	Aug_30_2012	42.67	44.89	45.1	44.95			44.45(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-4	3	1.59	57%	0.02	68.5	1.55%	0	-0.7	47	0

11	Aug_29_2012	42.66	44.8	45.18	45.08			44.95(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	14	3.58	57%	0.05	65.3	1.59%	0	0.2	59	0
12	Aug_28_2012	42.64	44.71	45.17	45.17			45.14(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10000	-2	19	0.58	57%	0.02	75.5	1.59%	0	0.5	61	0
13	Aug_27_2012	42.63	44.61	45.13	45.24			45.18(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	0	23	0.72	57%	0.07	89.7	1.6%	0	0.7	61	0
14	Aug_24_2012	42.6	44.52	45.07	45.23			45.02(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-1	24	0.71	57%	0.02	101	1.6%	0	0.6	65	0
15	Aug_23_2012	42.59	44.44	45.05	45.28			45.09(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-1	32	1.38	57%	0	100.5	1.6%	0	0.7	71	0

16	Aug_22_2012	42.59	44.31	45	45.3			45.44(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	4	55	0.74	57%	0	79.3	1.61%	0	0.9	90	0
17	Aug_21_2012	42.59	44.08	44.93	45.15			45.48(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	4	61	1.79	59%	-0.05	59.3	1.61%	0	1	74	0
18	Aug_20_2012	42.61	43.84	44.85	45			45.14(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	68	0.72	59%	-0.02	47.9	1.63%	0	0.9	73	0
19	Aug_17_2012	42.62	43.63	44.77	44.88			45.24(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	72	0.93	57%	0	42.1	1.63%	0	1.1	68	0
20	Aug_16_2012	42.62	43.47	44.66	44.78			45.2(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	3	74	1.23	57%	-0.02	41.7	1.65%	0	1.2	67	0

21	Aug_15_2012	42.63	43.36	44.37	44.78			44.7(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	0	68	0.9	56%	-0.05	47.2	1.65%	0	1	72	0
22	Aug_14_2012	42.65	43.25	44.22	44.78			44.71(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	22	-10000	0	87	0.89	54%	-0.05	51	1.66%	0	1.1	79	0
23	Aug_13_2012	42.67	43.14	44.05	44.67			44.55(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	1	109	0.81	54%	-0.05	55.2	1.69%	0	1.1	80	0
24	Aug_10_2012	42.69	43.01	43.93	44.64			44.76(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	3	129	0.78	54%	-0.02	57.3	1.69%	0	1.4	75	0
25	Aug_9_2012	42.7	42.88	43.78	44.51			44.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	13	141	0.78	52%		57.5	1.69%	0	1.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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