Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $53.9600 (0.5%) ($53.1300 - $54.1400) on Thu. May. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $53.9600(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $54.43
5 Day Moving Average   $53.99(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.67(-1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.43(-0.86%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2011	51.71	54.43	54.67	53.99			53.96(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	1	-51	1.81	42%	0.1	8.6	1.36%	0	-0.4	49	0
2	May_11_2011	51.66	54.4	54.88	53.96			53.69(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-9	-42	2.14	42%	0.06	7.1	1.37%	0	-0.6	51	0
3	May_10_2011	51.63	54.38	55.11	54.28			54.66(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-6	-3	1.02	44%	0.08	14.2	1.35%	0	0.2	68	0
4	May_9_2011	51.59	54.38	55.15	54.49			54.02(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-12	27	1.25	44%	0.08	22.4	1.35%	0	-0.2	69	0
5	May_6_2011	51.55	54.33	55.22	54.93			53.6(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-14	58	1.88	44%	0.06	36.3	1.33%	0	-0.6	55	0

6	May_5_2011	51.52	54.33	55.32	55.46			53.85(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	14	-10000	-12	91	1.96	44%	0.06	53.8	1.34%	0	-0.4	54	0
7	May_4_2011	51.49	54.32	55.37	55.91			55.26(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	-10000	-4	128	2.36	47%	0.08	69.1	1.3%	0	0.7	64	0
8	May_3_2011	51.45	54.2	55.12	56.05			55.73(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	4	137	1.5	47%	0.1	77.3	1.3%	0	1.2	69	0
9	May_2_2011	51.4	54.05	54.76	55.9			56.19(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	10	122	1.33	47%	0.1	82	1.29%	0	1.7	65	0
10	Apr_29_2011	51.35	53.87	54.45	55.55			56.27(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	102	1.58	53%	0.12	84.6	1.31%	0	2	64	0

11	Apr_28_2011	51.29	53.65	54.16	55.17			56.09(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	12	86	1.06	49%	0.12	80.9	1.32%	0	2.2	66	0
12	Apr_27_2011	51.23	53.44	53.86	54.75			55.96(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	-10000	19	66	1.26	49%	0.12	85	1.37%	0	2.5	63	0
13	Apr_26_2011	51.17	53.22	53.55	54.06			54.97(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	17	36	2.08	47%	0.1	78.8	1.35%	0	2	63	0
14	Apr_25_2011	51.12	53.04	53.4	53.44			54.48(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	7	9	2.32	47%	0.12	59.8	1.35%	0	1.7	62	0
15	Apr_21_2011	51.06	52.88	53.32	53.18			54.34(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5	-10000	5	6	1.37	49%	0.1	57.8	1.34%	0	1.7	62	0

16	Apr_20_2011	51.01	52.75	53.21	53.01			54.02(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	4	8	1.05	49%	0.14	63.9	1.35%	0	1.4	65	0
17	Apr_19_2011	50.94	52.61	53.15	52.86			52.5(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-3	10	1.55	45%	0.1	76.6	1.31%	0	-0.1	55	0
18	Apr_18_2011	50.89	52.54	53.2	52.96			51.85(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-11	22	1.23	45%	0.06	85.9	1.31%	0	-0.7	56	0
19	Apr_15_2011	50.86	52.52	53.32	53.33			53.18(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-4	57	1.45	48%	0.06	90.5	1.27%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Apr_14_2011	50.83	52.38	53.27	53.46			53.49(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	1	77	0.81	48%	0.08	80.6	1.28%	0	0.9	75	0

21	Apr_13_2011	50.79	52.19	53.13	53.43			53.27(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10000	-2	77	0.93	48%	0.1	61.6	1.28%	0	0.7	65	0
22	Apr_12_2011	50.74	51.93	53.03	53.5			53.03(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	1	93	0.88	52%	0.04	48.7	1.28%	0	0.7	70	0
23	Apr_11_2011	50.72	51.75	52.9	53.47			53.68(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	5	98	0.69	52%	0.06	41.6	1.32%	0	1.3	77	0
24	Apr_8_2011	50.69	51.59	52.67	53.3			53.81(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	7	93	0.77	52%	0.04	37.2	1.31%	0	1.5	72	0
25	Apr_7_2011	50.67	51.44	52.42	53.06			53.35(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	8	93	0.99	52%		31	1.32%	0	1.4	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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