Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $50.0900 (-1.05%) ($49.9800 - $50.7400) on Wed. Jan. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $50.0900(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.06(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.17(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.09(2.04%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2011	49.63		49.17	50.06			50.09(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	11	57	1.02	46%	0.14	-11.8	1.41%	0	1.3	60	0
2	Jan_18_2011	49.56	49.09	49.07	49.68			50.62(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	17	48	1.12	46%	0.24	-26.8	1.44%	0	1.7	67	0
3	Jan_14_2011	49.44	49.07	48.92	49.09			50.24(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	-10000	14	27	1.16	46%	0.14	-46.4	1.42%	0	1.3	64	0
4	Jan_13_2011	49.37	49.08	48.79	48.62			49.78(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	9	5	0.98	46%	0.14	-56.7	1.42%	0	0.7	58	0
5	Jan_12_2011	49.3	49.11	48.66	48.32			49.59(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	-0	-10000	4	-13	1.4	46%	0.12	-64	1.43%	0	0.5	57	0

6	Jan_11_2011	49.24	49.18	48.57	48.17			48.18(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-6	-42	1.07	42%	0.08	-57.7	1.39%	0	-0.9	27	0
7	Jan_10_2011	49.2	49.33	48.59	48.38			47.68(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-10	-51	0.87	42%	0.08	-45.1	1.38%	0	-1.4	28	0
8	Jan_7_2011	49.16	49.49	48.68	48.72			47.89(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-7	-50	1.39	42%	0.06	-37.2	1.38%	0	-1.4	31	0
9	Jan_6_2011	49.13	49.63	48.77	48.96			48.26(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-2	-54	0.91	42%	0.04	-30.1	1.38%	0	-1.3	29	0
10	Jan_5_2011	49.11	49.74	48.82	49.02			48.84(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	0	-66	0.84	47%	0.06	-22.2	1.37%	0	-0.9	36	0

11	Jan_4_2011	49.08	49.82	49.02	49.01			49.24(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	5	-65	0.92	47%	0.08	-9.4	1.43%	0	-0.6	33	0
12	Jan_3_2011	49.04	49.86	49.13	48.83			49.36(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	5	-81	1.42	47%	0.1	-5	1.44%	0	-0.5	34	0
13	Dec_31_2010	48.99	49.91	49.22	48.65			49.09(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	2	-94	0.75	47%	0.08	-2.5	1.45%	0	-0.8	37	0
14	Dec_30_2010	48.95	49.95	49.38	48.57			48.57(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-1	-97	0.65	47%	0.08	-3.1	1.46%	0	-1.4	36	0
15	Dec_29_2010	48.91	49.97	49.57	48.6			48.8(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-13	-103	0.69	47%	0.02	-2.6	1.46%	0	-1.2	37	0

16	Dec_28_2010	48.9	49.97	49.82	49.05			48.34(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-12	-77	0.65	47%	0.02	-4.4	1.45%	0	-1.4	37	0
17	Dec_27_2010	48.89	49.91	50.12	49.48			48.43(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-11	-48	0.57	47%	0.04	-7.3	1.46%	0	-1.3	40	0
18	Dec_23_2010	48.87	49.93	50.37	49.87			48.72(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-11	-27	0.86	51%	0.02	-7.3	1.51%	0	-1	39	0
19	Dec_22_2010	48.86	49.98	50.58	50.3			48.73(-4.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-9	-3	1.14	51%	0.02	0.9	1.52%	0	-1.1	45	0
20	Dec_21_2010	48.85	50	50.78	50.65			51.01(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-2	31	0.8	57%	0.06	6.6	1.41%	0	0.9	72	0

21	Dec_20_2010	48.82	49.96	50.7	50.71			50.49(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-5	57	0.58	59%	0.1	6.3	1.41%	0	0.5	78	0
22	Dec_17_2010	48.77	49.99	50.66	50.88			50.39(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-2	83	0.64	59%	0.08	11	1.43%	0	0.4	69	0
23	Dec_16_2010	48.73	50.02	50.67	50.96			50.87(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	104	0.62	59%	0.1	12.4	1.43%	0	0.7	64	0
24	Dec_15_2010	48.68	49.97	50.57	50.9			50.5(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-10000	-0	106	0.8	59%	0.1	3.5	1.43%	0	0.5	56	0
25	Dec_14_2010	48.63	49.92	50.41	50.91			51.31(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	6	113	0.48	62%		-5.3	1.41%	0	1.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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