Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $45.3900 (-2.13%) ($45.3900 - $45.7800) on Tue. Sep. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $45.3900(-2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.4(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.57(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.86(1.18%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2010	43.89	44.86	44.57	45.4			45.39(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	9	28	0.87	62%	-0.2	-46	1.84%	0	0.5	46	0
2	Sep_3_2010	43.98	44.96	44.44	45.02			46.38(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	9	6	0.93	58%	-0.09	-44.3	1.91%	0	1.1	55	0
3	Sep_2_2010	44.02	45.01	44.2	44.62			45.9(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	12	-13	0.82	61%	-0.09	-44	1.91%	0	0.6	55	0
4	Sep_1_2010	44.06	45.08	44.06	44.12			45.52(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	10	-35	1.39	61%	-0.09	-46	1.95%	0	0.3	52	0
5	Aug_31_2010	44.1	45.17	44.05	43.7			43.79(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.68	58%	-0.11	-46.3	1.9%	0	-0.9	39	0

6	Aug_30_2010	44.15	45.36	44.24	43.63			43.49(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-19	-10000	-3	-68	0.87	58%	-0.14	-43.2	1.91%	0	-1.1	24	0
7	Aug_27_2010	44.21	45.57	44.42	43.77			44.4(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	1	-78	0.93	65%	-0.09	-38	1.91%	0	-0.7	25	0
8	Aug_26_2010	44.25	45.65	44.46	43.73			43.41(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-28	-10000	-6	-94	1.02	64%	-0.11	-39.5	2.06%	0	-1.5	16	0
9	Aug_25_2010	44.3	45.79	44.63	43.99			43.42(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-33	-10000	-10	-102	1.57	64%	-0.11	-34.7	2.07%	0	-1.6	18	0
10	Aug_24_2010	44.35	45.92	44.81	44.46			43.43(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-10000	-10	-102	1.27	60%	-0.14	-20.2	2.07%	0	-1.9	18	0

11	Aug_23_2010	44.41	46.07	45.2	44.93			44.18(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-25	-10000	-5	-86	0.38	60%	0	-4.5	2.09%	0	-1.5	20	0
12	Aug_20_2010	44.41	46.17	45.55	45.15			44.19(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-22	-10000	-3	-77	0.83	59%	-0.11	7.7	2.11%	0	-1.7	20	0
13	Aug_19_2010	44.46	46.26	45.9	45.28			44.75(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-1	-62	1.1	59%	-0.09	19.7	2.15%	0	-1.4	45	0
14	Aug_18_2010	44.5	46.3	46.19	45.35			45.76(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	3	-51	0.3	59%	-0.04	18.8	2.13%	0	-0.4	51	0
15	Aug_17_2010	44.52	46.2	46.37	45.21			45.79(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-7	-50	0.72	59%	-0.04	10.1	2.15%	0	-0.3	53	0

16	Aug_16_2010	44.54	46.13	46.55	45.54			45.26(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-10	-34	0.56	59%	-0.07	15.2	2.15%	0	-0.6	45	0
17	Aug_13_2010	44.57	46.09	46.8	46.05			44.86(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-11	-8	0.72	54%	-0.04	26.9	2.18%	0	-0.9	44	0
18	Aug_12_2010	44.59	46.05	46.94	46.63			45.06(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-10	13	0.52	54%	-0.04	39.5	2.2%	0	-0.7	49	0
19	Aug_11_2010	44.61	46.05	47.06	47.14			45.09(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	1	-10000	-10	34	1.39	54%	-0.07	55.2	2.21%	0	-0.7	54	0
20	Aug_10_2010	44.64	46.07	47.17	47.65			47.41(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-1	71	0.6	63%	0	71	2.13%	0	0.9	87	0

21	Aug_9_2010	44.64	45.93	47.05	47.71			47.83(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10000	1	79	0.84	63%	0	79.8	2.37%	0	1.3	78	0
22	Aug_6_2010	44.64	45.71	46.87	47.68			47.76(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	7	92	0.49	59%	0	89.7	2.37%	0	1.4	78	0
23	Aug_5_2010	44.64	45.51	46.65	47.3			47.63(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	6	88	1.1	57%	-0.02	93.9	2.47%	0	1.5	79	0
24	Aug_4_2010	44.65	45.3	46.41	46.96			47.64(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	79	0.74	54%	-0.02	100.6	2.49%	0	1.7	63	0
25	Aug_3_2010	44.66	45.07	45.99	46.6			47.68(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	5	61	1.12	54%		98.5	2.55%	0	1.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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