Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $45.0600 (-0.07%) ($44.6800 - $45.2300) on Thu. Aug. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $45.0600(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(87%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(81%)    VWO(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $46.05
5 Day Moving Average   $46.63(-3.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.94(-4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.05(-2.15%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2010	44.59	46.05	46.94	46.63			45.06(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-4	-10000	-10	13	0.52	54%	-0.04	39.5	2.2%	0	-0.7	49	0
2	Aug_11_2010	44.61	46.05	47.06	47.14			45.09(-4.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	1	-10000	-10	34	1.39	54%	-0.07	55.2	2.21%	0	-0.7	54	0
3	Aug_10_2010	44.64	46.07	47.17	47.65			47.41(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-1	71	0.6	63%	0	71	2.13%	0	0.9	87	0
4	Aug_9_2010	44.64	45.93	47.05	47.71			47.83(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10000	1	79	0.84	63%	0	79.8	2.37%	0	1.3	78	0
5	Aug_6_2010	44.64	45.71	46.87	47.68			47.76(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	7	92	0.49	59%	0	89.7	2.37%	0	1.4	78	0

6	Aug_5_2010	44.64	45.51	46.65	47.3			47.63(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	6	88	1.1	57%	-0.02	93.9	2.47%	0	1.5	79	0
7	Aug_4_2010	44.65	45.3	46.41	46.96			47.64(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	79	0.74	54%	-0.02	100.6	2.49%	0	1.7	63	0
8	Aug_3_2010	44.66	45.07	45.99	46.6			47.68(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	5	61	1.12	54%	0	98.5	2.55%	0	1.8	65	0
9	Aug_2_2010	44.66	44.78	45.64	46.3			47.67(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	6	52	1.39	54%	0	99.3	2.55%	0	2.1	66	0
10	Jul_30_2010	44.66	44.44	45.28	45.96			45.89(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	1	45	0.6	50%	-0.04	84.1	2.53%	0	1	66	0

11	Jul_29_2010	44.68	44.2	45.07	45.91			45.93(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	3	45	1.62	52%	-0.02	72.9	2.54%	0	1.1	63	0
12	Jul_28_2010	44.69	43.93	44.99	45.76			45.81(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	9	52	0.99	52%	-0.04	56.3	2.55%	0	1.1	64	0
13	Jul_27_2010	44.71	43.67	44.88	45.26			46.21(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	7	45	1.14	49%	-0.02	41.2	2.55%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Jul_26_2010	44.72	43.46	44.71	44.86			45.97(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	6	46	1.12	49%	-0.04	33.8	2.63%	0	1.5	74	0
15	Jul_23_2010	44.74	43.28	44.45	44.5			45.65(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	7	50	1.23	49%	0	27	2.62%	0	1.5	75	0

16	Jul_22_2010	44.74	43.1	44.25	44.12			45.17(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	-0	50	1.35	49%	-0.04	17.7	2.63%	0	1.4	74	0
17	Jul_21_2010	44.76	42.99	44.25	44.14			43.32(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-5	68	1.27	46%	-0.04	19.2	2.57%	0	0.2	72	0
18	Jul_20_2010	44.78	42.95	44.09	44.42			44.18(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-2	93	0.49	46%	-0.02	22.4	2.56%	0	0.9	73	0
19	Jul_19_2010	44.79	42.9	43.87	44.52			44.16(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	2	98	0.59	46%	-0.02	28.8	2.57%	0	0.9	60	0
20	Jul_16_2010	44.8	42.85	43.56	44.52			43.75(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-10000	0	88	1.21	45%	-0.02	32.5	2.56%	0	0.7	57	0

21	Jul_15_2010	44.81	42.83	43.31	44.38			45.28(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	6	86	1.13	47%	0	39.6	2.55%	0	1.8	66	0
22	Jul_14_2010	44.81	42.71	42.81	44.04			44.75(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	6	63	0.66	47%	0	49.1	2.54%	0	1.6	56	0
23	Jul_13_2010	44.81	42.64	42.39	43.72			44.66(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	11	45	1.25	47%	-0.02	59.6	2.55%	0	1.7	58	0
24	Jul_12_2010	44.82	42.5	42.12	43.12			43.45(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	10	21	2.42	45%	-0.07	61.7	2.52%	0	0.9	50	0
25	Jul_9_2010	44.85	42.41	41.99	42.61			43.75(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	-10000	10	0	0.74	46%		57.6	2.52%	0	1.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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