Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 12, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $44.3400 (1.7%) ($43.9700 - $44.5500) on Wed. May. 12, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $44.3400(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.9(-25.8%)
Resistance Level   $46.15
5 Day Moving Average   $42.86(3.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.17(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.15(-3.92%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 5.83% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2010	47.31	46.15	44.17	42.86			44.34(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-36	-10000	4	-155	1.82	46%	-0.13	-59.3	1.93%	0	-0.7	38	0
2	May_11_2010	47.37	46.43	44.32	42.69			43.6(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-50	-10000	-5	-183	3.15	46%	-0.15	-58	1.93%	0	-1	34	0
3	May_10_2010	47.44	46.72	44.58	42.89			44.34(8.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-58	-10000	-11	-198	5.67	46%	-0.11	-56.4	1.92%	0	-0.9	35	0
4	May_7_2010	47.49	46.98	44.98	43.35			40.87(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-78	-10000	-30	-221	4	41%	-0.19	-52.8	1.66%	0	-2.3	21	0
5	May_6_2010	47.58	47.42	45.78	44.44			41.15(-5.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-68	-10000	-31	-179	5.93	41%	-0.21	-50.2	1.67%	0	-2.8	21	0

6	May_5_2010	47.68	47.8	46.52	45.63			43.47(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-49	-10000	-15	-149	3.11	47%	-0.15	-47.2	1.54%	0	-2.5	22	0
7	May_4_2010	47.75	48.06	47.06	46.15			44.63(-4.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-41	-10000	-9	-137	2.7	44%	-0.13	-46.8	1.51%	0	-2.4	24	0
8	May_3_2010	47.81	48.29	47.53	46.47			46.64(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-11	-124	1.53	49%	-0.08	-45.9	1.54%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	Apr_30_2010	47.85	48.42	47.74	46.88			46.3(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-10000	-14	-114	1.22	53%	-0.08	-32.4	1.56%	0	-1.8	33	0
10	Apr_29_2010	47.89	48.57	48.01	47.38			47.12(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-6	-93	1.59	55%	-0.06	-15	1.56%	0	-1.4	39	0

11	Apr_28_2010	47.92	48.63	48.29	47.59			46.08(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-30	-10000	-14	-77	0.81	49%	-0.08	-4.9	1.54%	0	-2.6	41	0
12	Apr_27_2010	47.96	48.74	48.7	48.11			46.23(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-23	-10000	-16	-42	1.46	49%	-0.1	11.2	1.57%	0	-3	41	0
13	Apr_26_2010	48.01	48.84	49.04	48.71			48.65(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-0	-6	0.62	56%	-0.06	44.9	1.44%	0	-0.3	49	0
14	Apr_23_2010	48.04	48.8	49.13	48.72			48.8(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.53	59%	-0.06	43.8	1.44%	0	0	48	0
15	Apr_22_2010	48.07	48.73	49.16	48.74			48.18(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-6	0.83	55%	-0.08	34	1.45%	0	-0.7	45	0

16	Apr_21_2010	48.11	48.68	49.18	49.11			48.7(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-8	13	0.67	51%	-0.06	34.7	1.47%	0	0	57	0
17	Apr_20_2010	48.14	48.64	49.15	49.39			49.23(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-1	32	0.6	47%	-0.04	41.7	1.51%	0	0.7	63	0
18	Apr_19_2010	48.16	48.57	49.11	49.43			48.71(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-4	38	0.63	49%	-0.04	43	1.56%	0	0.2	58	0
19	Apr_16_2010	48.18	48.51	49.16	49.58			48.89(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-1	57	0.78	49%	0.02	45.4	1.58%	0	0.4	62	0
20	Apr_15_2010	48.17	48.47	49.18	49.62			50.04(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	78	0.33	50%	-0.06	48.4	1.57%	0	1.8	77	0

21	Apr_14_2010	48.2	48.39	48.99	49.25			50.08(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	25	-10000	10	71	1.19	50%	-0.04	46.7	1.59%	0	2.1	78	0
22	Apr_13_2010	48.22	48.29	48.76	48.88			49.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	3	53	0.28	50%	-0.04	48.3	1.58%	0	1.6	62	0
23	Apr_12_2010	48.24	48.19	48.62	48.76			49.46(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	2	51	0.41	50%	-0.04	46.8	1.59%	0	1.9	64	0
24	Apr_9_2010	48.26	48.11	48.43	48.7			49.11(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	1	50	0.53	50%	-0.04	52.8	1.59%	0	1.7	63	0
25	Apr_8_2010	48.28	48.04	48.24	48.68			48.17(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	0	43	0.69	47%		68.4	1.58%	0	0.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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