Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $50.0800 (1.31%) ($49.6100 - $50.1700) on Wed. Apr. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.59% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $50.0800(1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    VWO(82%)    SPY(81%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.25(1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.99(2.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.39(3.49%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2010	48.2	48.39	48.99	49.25			50.08(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	25	-10000	10	71	1.19	50%	-0.04	46.7	1.59%	0	2.1	78	0
2	Apr_13_2010	48.22	48.29	48.76	48.88			49.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	3	53	0.28	50%	-0.04	48.3	1.58%	0	1.6	62	0
3	Apr_12_2010	48.24	48.19	48.62	48.76			49.46(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	2	51	0.41	50%	-0.04	46.8	1.59%	0	1.9	64	0
4	Apr_9_2010	48.26	48.11	48.43	48.7			49.11(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	1	50	0.53	50%	-0.04	52.8	1.59%	0	1.7	63	0
5	Apr_8_2010	48.28	48.04	48.24	48.68			48.17(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	0	43	0.69	47%	-0.1	68.4	1.58%	0	0.2	50	0

6	Apr_7_2010	48.33	48.01	48.14	48.67			48.23(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	10	-10000	2	33	0.57	47%	-0.08	75.6	1.59%	0	0.4	46	0
7	Apr_6_2010	48.37	47.96	48.1	48.59			48.85(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	4	27	0.9	47%	-0.08	78.4	1.58%	0	1.5	53	0
8	Apr_5_2010	48.41	47.88	47.98	48.42			49.15(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	8	23	0.33	47%	-0.12	91.6	1.58%	0	2.2	63	0
9	Apr_1_2010	48.47	47.8	47.8	48.12			49.01(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	10	8	1.2	51%	-0.04	96.6	1.61%	0	2.1	57	0
10	Mar_31_2010	48.49	47.66	47.7	47.75			48.13(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	6	-8	0.58	49%	-0.08	94.8	1.61%	0	0.9	53	0

11	Mar_30_2010	48.53	47.58	47.73	47.52			47.79(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	-0	-13	0.42	49%	-0.08	79.6	1.61%	0	0.3	53	0
12	Mar_29_2010	48.57	47.49	47.78	47.54			48.04(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	2	-3	0.7	49%	-0.06	73.5	1.61%	0	0.7	59	0
13	Mar_26_2010	48.6	47.37	47.72	47.47			47.64(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.56	49%	-0.04	61.1	1.6%	0	0.3	53	0
14	Mar_25_2010	48.62	47.25	47.76	47.44			47.15(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-6	0.61	49%	-0.06	50.9	1.61%	0	-0.1	48	0
15	Mar_24_2010	48.65	47.15	47.83	47.64			46.99(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-8	12	1.08	45%	-0.02	48.5	1.62%	0	-0.1	58	0

16	Mar_23_2010	48.66	47.07	47.9	47.96			47.9(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-2	34	1.16	47%	-0.02	51.4	1.67%	0	0.7	64	0
17	Mar_22_2010	48.67	46.92	47.82	48.05			47.65(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	1	49	0.64	47%	-0.02	50.8	1.67%	0	0.6	67	0
18	Mar_19_2010	48.68	46.82	47.8	48.02			47.51(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-2	63	0.54	47%	-0.06	54.8	1.66%	0	0.6	70	0
19	Mar_18_2010	48.71	46.73	47.81	48.11			48.15(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	86	0.56	47%	-0.02	60.2	1.67%	0	1.2	76	0
20	Mar_17_2010	48.72	46.62	47.64	48.04			48.57(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	5	97	0.45	44%	-0.02	65.9	1.67%	0	1.6	82	0

21	Mar_16_2010	48.73	46.46	47.43	47.83			48.35(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	-10000	6	98	0.74	44%	-0.04	67.4	1.7%	0	1.7	76	0
22	Mar_15_2010	48.75	46.31	47.18	47.58			47.51(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	1	96	0.48	42%	-0.08	75.1	1.69%	0	1.2	75	0
23	Mar_12_2010	48.79	46.16	46.98	47.55			47.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	2	96	0.75	42%	-0.08	75.4	1.68%	0	1.7	67	0
24	Mar_11_2010	48.83	46.01	46.7	47.47			47.8(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	8	92	0.7	42%	-0.08	82	1.7%	0	1.8	65	0
25	Mar_10_2010	48.87	45.85	46.41	47.17			47.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	5	73	0.45	42%		68.1	1.69%	0	1.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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