Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $50.5900 (2.02%) ($49.9200 - $50.5900) on Wed. Sep. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $50.5900(2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    SPY(82%)    VWO(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.57(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.45(4.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.65(6.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2009	42.46	47.65	48.45	49.57			50.59(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	10	112	0.8	63%	0.4	80.3	1.57%	0	2.1	72	0
2	Sep_15_2009	42.29	47.36	47.96	49.2			49.59(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	8	85	0.33	55%	0.36	76.6	1.56%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Sep_14_2009	42.14	47.09	47.72	48.91			49.39(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	12	73	0.32	55%	0.33	64	1.65%	0	1.6	65	0
4	Sep_11_2009	42	46.89	47.52	48.42			49.1(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	15	58	0.52	55%	0.36	57.9	1.65%	0	1.6	63	0
5	Sep_10_2009	41.85	46.73	47.35	47.82			49.17(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	17	45	0.27	55%	0.36	51.8	1.66%	0	1.9	70	0

6	Sep_9_2009	41.7	46.53	47.12	47.14			48.77(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	16	29	0.27	55%	0.36	38.2	1.65%	0	1.9	71	0
7	Sep_8_2009	41.55	46.33	46.97	46.54			48.11(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	4	17	0.3	55%	0.53	20.3	1.65%	0	1.6	71	0
8	Sep_4_2009	41.33	46.18	46.84	46.38			46.94(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-4	29	0.32	53%	0.29	13.6	1.63%	0	0.7	72	0
9	Sep_3_2009	41.21	46.11	46.84	46.52			46.11(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	45	0.31	47%	0.27	21.5	1.62%	0	0	54	0
10	Sep_2_2009	41.1	46.08	46.85	46.81			45.79(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-6	57	0.5	47%	0.29	36.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Sep_1_2009	40.98	46.09	46.83	47.06			45.75(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	10	-10000	-9	68	0.78	47%	0.29	56.2	1.68%	0	-0.3	54	0
12	Aug_31_2009	40.86	46.11	46.77	47.42			47.31(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	93	0.62	51%	0.15	78.1	1.64%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Aug_28_2009	40.8	46.04	46.46	47.35			47.62(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	3	83	0.58	51%	0.34	86.6	1.65%	0	1.6	63	0
14	Aug_27_2009	40.66	45.9	46.25	47.25			47.57(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	83	0.48	51%	0.37	88.2	1.65%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Aug_26_2009	40.51	45.72	46.09	46.91			47.07(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	73	0.31	51%	0.35	77.6	1.67%	0	1.3	58	0

16	Aug_25_2009	40.37	45.53	45.91	46.56			47.51(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	56	0.3	51%	0.35	69	1.67%	0	1.8	57	0
17	Aug_24_2009	40.23	45.33	45.63	46.02			46.98(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	16	25	0.7	51%	0.32	63.7	1.68%	0	1.6	54	0
18	Aug_21_2009	40.1	45.19	45.43	45.42			47.1(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	4	-10000	8	-10	0.8	51%	0.33	56.3	1.68%	0	2	54	0
19	Aug_20_2009	39.97	45.02	45.26	45.12			45.87(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.46	47%	0.33	62.9	1.65%	0	0.9	57	0
20	Aug_19_2009	39.84	44.91	45.22	45.12			45.32(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.23	47%	0.35	68.2	1.64%	0	0.4	59	0

21	Aug_18_2009	39.7	44.79	45.27	45.17			44.84(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	0	9	0.29	53%	0.35	70.3	1.65%	0	0	62	0
22	Aug_17_2009	39.56	44.7	45.39	45.16			43.98(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-6	24	0.29	50%	0.33	77.3	1.72%	0	-0.6	56	0
23	Aug_14_2009	39.43	44.64	45.61	45.4			45.59(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	-0	52	0.34	55%	0.31	86	1.67%	0	0.7	61	0
24	Aug_13_2009	39.31	44.46	45.54	45.41			46.14(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	3	63	0.35	51%	0.36	92.7	1.66%	0	1.2	66	0
25	Aug_12_2009	39.17	44.25	45.34	45.28			45.32(1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-3	58	0.26	48%		96.1	1.71%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.