Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $32.9300 (1.57%) ($32.1500 - $33.3200) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.03% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $32.9300(1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 7.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(92%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(87%)    VWO(83%)    SPY(82%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(14%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.515% (StdDev 3.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.4(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.54(4.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.95(9.95%)
To recent high   -16.4%
To recent low   23.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 6.38% (three month std-dev: 3.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2009	34.91	29.95	31.54	32.4			32.93(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	5	156	0.28	42%	-0.34	31.2	3.03%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Mar_24_2009	35.03	29.78	31.14	32.16			32.42(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	6	152	0.24	39%	-0.26	26.3	3.05%	0	1.5	67	0
3	Mar_23_2009	35.12	29.68	30.76	31.88			33.56(7.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	49	-10000	14	154	0.33	40%	-0.26	21.4	3.11%	0	2.3	77	0
4	Mar_20_2009	35.21	29.46	30.09	31.21			31.34(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	7	131	0.32	34%	-0.28	0.4	2.94%	0	1.3	70	0
5	Mar_19_2009	35.31	29.41	29.7	30.91			31.77(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	8	107	0.42	34%	-0.25	-14	2.96%	0	1.6	58	0

6	Mar_18_2009	35.4	29.36	29.27	30.53			31.73(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	13	82	0.54	34%	-0.23	-29.4	2.96%	0	1.6	57	0
7	Mar_17_2009	35.48	29.36	28.93	29.96			31(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	11	50	0.47	34%	-0.11	-47.6	2.97%	0	1.2	53	0
8	Mar_16_2009	35.52	29.32	28.57	29.48			30.19(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	16	13	0.25	40%	-0.17	-69.4	2.95%	0	0.6	46	0
9	Mar_13_2009	35.58	29.45	28.31	28.79			29.87(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	12	-27	0.39	40%	-0.28	-74.3	3.04%	0	0.3	51	0
10	Mar_12_2009	35.68	29.62	28.25	28.29			29.86(3.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	11	-54	0.34	40%	-0.25	-73	3.06%	0	0.1	45	0

11	Mar_11_2009	35.77	29.79	28.2	27.81			28.87(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	1	-87	0.46	37%	-0.36	-72.8	3.02%	0	-0.4	39	0
12	Mar_10_2009	35.9	30	28.29	27.77			28.59(6.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	5	-96	0.35	37%	-0.44	-70.7	3.02%	0	-0.6	37	0
13	Mar_9_2009	36.06	30.32	28.48	27.55			26.76(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-5	-118	0.67	30%	-0.44	-62.3	2.89%	0	-1.5	25	0
14	Mar_6_2009	36.22	30.73	28.78	27.74			27.38(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-42	-10000	-11	-134	0.52	30%	-0.47	-57.1	2.93%	0	-1.4	22	0
15	Mar_5_2009	36.39	31.07	29.12	28.18			27.46(-4.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-10000	-11	-136	0.38	30%	-0.36	-52.4	2.95%	0	-1.5	21	0

16	Mar_4_2009	36.52	31.38	29.5	28.64			28.67(4.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-6	-134	0.73	32%	-0.49	-53.3	2.92%	0	-1.2	24	0
17	Mar_3_2009	36.7	31.64	29.76	28.9			27.48(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-47	-10000	-15	-143	0.61	27%	-0.54	-51.8	2.88%	0	-1.8	17	0
18	Mar_2_2009	36.9	31.91	30.16	29.55			27.69(-6.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-42	-10000	-9	-141	0.73	33%	-0.35	-50.8	2.88%	0	-2.1	14	0
19	Feb_27_2009	37.03	32.2	30.73	29.95			29.62(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-129	0.5	32%	-0.35	-51.2	3.02%	0	-1.4	20	0
20	Feb_26_2009	37.16	32.39	31.13	30.18			29.74(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-6	-124	0.53	32%	-0.4	-49.3	3.05%	0	-1.6	28	0

21	Feb_25_2009	37.31	32.65	31.51	30.48			29.99(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-114	0.55	32%	-0.43	-42.7	3.05%	0	-1.6	35	0
22	Feb_24_2009	37.47	32.85	31.85	30.75			30.73(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	-10000	-3	-108	0.63	39%	-0.48	-36.3	3.05%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	Feb_23_2009	37.65	32.98	32.29	30.89			29.65(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-15	-92	0.46	36%	-0.58	-40.8	3.18%	0	-2.3	38	0
24	Feb_20_2009	37.87	33.14	32.83	31.63			30.81(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-11	-59	0.5	39%	-0.55	-39.4	3.23%	0	-1.9	41	0
25	Feb_19_2009	38.08	33.25	33.18	32.22			31.23(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-9	-36	0.22	36%		-36.3	3.31%	0	-1.8	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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