Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $51.1300 (-10.55%) ($50.0300 - $54.1600) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $51.1300(-10.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $49.07(-4.03%)
Resistance Level   $56.65
5 Day Moving Average   $55.8(-8.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.89(-8.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.65(-9.74%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2008	64.07	56.65	55.89	55.8			51.13(-10.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10000	-22	-27	0.69	38%	-0.33	-54.5	2.24%	0	-2.6	41	0
2	Sep_26_2008	64.28	57.16	56.37	57.19			57.16(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-10000	-7	6	0.34	42%	-0.25	-40.2	1.83%	0	0	48	0
3	Sep_25_2008	64.44	57.36	56.41	57.57			57.9(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	11	30	0.54	43%	-0.22	-29.8	1.85%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Sep_24_2008	64.58	57.48	56.26	57.01			56.32(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	13	9	0.27	41%	-0.26	-34.5	1.82%	0	-0.5	48	0
5	Sep_23_2008	64.75	57.66	56.29	56.35			56.48(-2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	7	-33	0.61	41%	-0.25	-41.6	1.82%	0	-0.5	41	0

6	Sep_22_2008	64.91	57.83	56.28	55.97			58.09(-1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	11	-65	0.74	43%	-0.22	-47.1	1.79%	0	0.1	44	0
7	Sep_19_2008	65.05	57.95	56.22	55.42			59.04(7.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-22	-10000	5	-104	1.19	41%	-0.21	-52.2	1.79%	0	0.5	43	0
8	Sep_18_2008	65.19	58.01	55.98	55.18			55.14(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-10000	-7	-164	0.55	34%	-0.26	-56.1	1.54%	0	-1.2	29	0
9	Sep_17_2008	65.36	58.26	56.2	55.47			52.98(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-61	-10000	-18	-191	0.72	29%	-0.27	-57.8	1.44%	0	-2.2	24	0
10	Sep_16_2008	65.54	58.63	56.92	56.21			54.62(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-10000	-9	-164	0.63	31%	-0.27	-64.3	1.41%	0	-1.9	30	0

11	Sep_15_2008	65.72	58.95	57.47	56.56			55.3(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-10000	-13	-153	0.6	31%	-0.26	-73.2	1.41%	0	-2	33	0
12	Sep_12_2008	65.89	59.25	58.05	57.08			57.87(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	-10000	5	-135	0.26	34%	-0.21	-78.5	1.31%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	Sep_11_2008	66.03	59.42	58.39	56.91			56.6(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-4	-144	0.5	29%	-0.23	-85.9	1.28%	0	-1.6	33	0
14	Sep_10_2008	66.18	59.68	58.79	57.07			56.67(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-19	-142	0.42	28%	-0.23	-95	1.28%	0	-1.8	36	0
15	Sep_9_2008	66.33	59.99	59.15	57.77			56.36(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-10000	-20	-113	0.35	28%	-0.24	-90.1	1.29%	0	-2.2	35	0

16	Sep_8_2008	66.49	60.35	59.54	58.52			57.88(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-18	-89	0.34	30%	-0.21	-82.4	1.26%	0	-1.6	37	0
17	Sep_5_2008	66.63	60.62	59.85	59.19			57.02(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-34	-10000	-24	-63	0.46	29%	-0.22	-68.9	1.27%	0	-2.3	30	0
18	Sep_4_2008	66.78	60.94	60.22	60.09			57.4(-4.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-16	-28	0.53	29%	-0.22	-61	1.3%	0	-2.5	30	0
19	Sep_3_2008	66.93	61.3	60.53	60.74			60.18(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	0	-6	0.42	32%	-0.13	-50.9	1.19%	0	-0.8	38	0
20	Sep_2_2008	67.02	61.5	60.52	60.73			60.1(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-28	0.42	32%	-0.18	-45.2	1.19%	0	-1	32	0

21	Aug_29_2008	67.14	61.64	60.57	60.69			61.27(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	2	-51	0.18	34%	-0.13	-48.7	1.17%	0	-0.3	33	0
22	Aug_28_2008	67.23	61.72	60.54	60.62			61.52(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	6	-71	0.12	34%	-0.13	-52.3	1.17%	0	-0.1	34	0
23	Aug_27_2008	67.32	61.82	60.5	60.41			60.64(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	3	-99	0.14	31%	-0.16	-52.7	1.15%	0	-0.7	27	0
24	Aug_26_2008	67.43	62	60.6	60.3			60.13(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-32	-10000	1	-129	0.2	31%	-0.16	-57.3	1.14%	0	-1.2	17	0
25	Aug_25_2008	67.54	62.18	60.85	60.27			59.89(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-39	-10000	-4	-145	0.38	31%		-63.4	1.15%	0	-1.5	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.