Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 12, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $79.5100 (1.68%) ($78.4800 - $79.6200) on Thu. Jul. 12, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $79.5100(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(13%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.24(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.64(2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.83(3.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2007	73.68	76.83	77.64	78.24			79.51(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	-10000	11	115	0.14	55%	0.12	84.1	0.95%	0	2.3	66	0
2	Jul_11_2007	73.59	76.59	77.24	77.85			78.2(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	3	94	0.12	52%	0.11	79.6	0.94%	0	1.5	64	0
3	Jul_10_2007	73.51	76.37	76.94	77.76			77.15(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	-10000	-0	77	0.18	50%	0.04	58.9	0.93%	0	0.7	50	0
4	Jul_9_2007	73.48	76.26	76.78	77.77			78.35(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	12	76	0.14	53%	0.11	49	0.91%	0	1.8	60	0
5	Jul_6_2007	73.4	76.08	76.48	77.36			78.01(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	13	49	0.13	53%	0.1	33.1	0.91%	0	1.8	59	0

6	Jul_5_2007	73.33	75.87	76.3	76.92			77.52(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	11	35	0.13	53%	0.15	10.3	0.92%	0	1.5	64	0
7	Jul_3_2007	73.22	75.76	76.14	76.54			77.75(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	15	28	0.23	53%	0.11	-2.2	0.92%	0	1.9	69	0
8	Jul_2_2007	73.14	75.76	76.03	76.02			77.2(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	11	27	0.18	53%	0.11	-13.5	0.92%	0	1.5	73	0
9	Jun_29_2007	73.06	75.69	75.96	75.65			76.33(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	5	21	0.19	53%	0.1	-17.4	0.91%	0	0.6	58	0
10	Jun_28_2007	72.99	75.72	75.98	75.47			75.82(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10000	-4	23	0.19	53%	0.07	-15.8	0.91%	0	0.1	57	0

11	Jun_27_2007	72.94	75.75	75.94	75.59			75.6(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-2	43	0.27	53%	0.08	-11.1	0.93%	0	-0.1	62	0
12	Jun_26_2007	72.88	75.78	75.88	75.67			75.14(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-11	38	0.33	53%	0.08	-6.7	0.93%	0	-0.6	48	0
13	Jun_25_2007	72.82	75.83	75.77	76.04			75.37(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-7	35	0.14	53%	0.08	3.7	0.93%	0	-0.4	44	0
14	Jun_22_2007	72.76	75.86	75.74	76.3			75.42(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-7	28	0.33	53%	0.08	8.8	0.93%	0	-0.4	41	0
15	Jun_21_2007	72.7	75.87	75.69	76.54			76.43(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	6	29	0.13	60%	0.1	15.7	0.91%	0	0.5	46	0

16	Jun_20_2007	72.63	75.87	75.43	76.34			76(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-2	0.14	62%	0.1	13.4	0.96%	0	0.1	47	0
17	Jun_19_2007	72.56	75.86	75.38	76.11			77(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	-10000	19	-14	0.19	67%	0.12	9	0.95%	0	1.1	52	0
18	Jun_18_2007	72.47	75.79	75.32	75.44			76.67(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	10	-43	0.15	67%	0.12	-6.9	0.96%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Jun_15_2007	72.38	75.77	75.37	75.09			76.6(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	10	-49	0.21	67%	0.12	-13.2	0.96%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Jun_14_2007	72.29	75.71	75.38	74.73			75.42(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	9	-57	0.2	65%	0.08	-16.5	0.94%	0	-0.3	50	0

21	Jun_13_2007	72.23	75.73	75.49	74.41			74.84(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-4	-76	0.2	59%	0.08	-26.8	0.94%	0	-0.9	43	0
22	Jun_12_2007	72.17	75.76	75.64	74.56			73.66(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-10000	-17	-70	0.14	56%	0.08	-24.2	0.98%	0	-2.2	40	0
23	Jun_11_2007	72.11	75.86	75.89	75.18			74.94(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-15	-43	0.2	60%	0.08	-13.9	0.95%	0	-1.1	46	0
24	Jun_8_2007	72.05	75.9	76.02	75.7			74.81(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-12	-21	0.12	60%	0.1	0	0.96%	0	-1.4	41	0
25	Jun_7_2007	71.98	75.87	76.11	76.14			73.8(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-13	-10000	-16	-3	0.35	58%		7.1	0.94%	0	-2.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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