Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VGK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 2, 2007

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $71.6200 (0.99%) ($70.9500 - $71.6200) on Mon. Apr. 2, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $71.6200(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(85%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.79(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.7(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.3(3.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2007	68.69	69.3	70.7	70.79			71.62(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10000	3	124	0.27	54%	0.07	54	1.11%	0	1.3	81	0
2	Mar_30_2007	68.64	69	70.4	70.79			70.92(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	0	121	0.22	54%	0.07	39.2	1.11%	0	1.1	63	0
3	Mar_29_2007	68.59	68.79	70.09	70.68			70.79(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	1	118	0.1	54%	0.06	28.8	1.12%	0	1.2	63	0
4	Mar_28_2007	68.55	68.62	69.76	70.64			69.94(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-6	113	0.14	52%	0.04	20.5	1.11%	0	0.8	62	0
5	Mar_27_2007	68.52	68.53	69.5	70.86			70.68(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	7	129	0.1	54%	0.07	19	1.1%	0	1.4	68	0

6	Mar_26_2007	68.47	68.37	69.13	70.57			71.08(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	13	117	0.14	54%	0.09	4.3	1.11%	0	1.7	72	0
7	Mar_23_2007	68.41	68.34	68.86	70.05			70.91(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	17	119	0.26	54%	0.09	-4.3	1.11%	0	1.6	78	0
8	Mar_22_2007	68.35	68.32	68.58	69.39			70.59(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	17	102	0.16	49%	0.07	-15.8	1.12%	0	1.5	68	0
9	Mar_21_2007	68.3	68.3	68.3	68.75			71.02(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	-10000	20	78	0.23	49%	0.09	-28.2	1.17%	0	1.8	65	0
10	Mar_20_2007	68.24	68.24	67.94	67.97			69.25(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	13	39	0.2	44%	0.06	-41.2	1.13%	0	0.7	53	0

11	Mar_19_2007	68.2	68.3	67.74	67.49			68.47(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	2	-10000	-1	12	0.06	43%	0.06	-44.3	1.12%	0	0.1	54	0
12	Mar_16_2007	68.16	68.41	67.46	67.51			67.62(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.13	41%	0.01	-38.7	1.1%	0	-0.5	35	0
13	Mar_15_2007	68.15	68.57	67.38	67.65			67.39(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.18	40%	0.04	-33.3	1.11%	0	-0.7	35	0
14	Mar_14_2007	68.12	68.74	67.39	67.77			67.12(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.45	40%	0.03	-29.2	1.11%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	Mar_13_2007	68.1	68.88	67.5	67.88			66.87(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-3	-83	0.24	41%	0.03	-28.5	1.11%	0	-1.2	36	0

16	Mar_12_2007	68.08	69.01	67.59	67.98			68.57(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	16	-99	0.06	44%	0.06	-28.5	1.07%	0	-0.3	39	0
17	Mar_9_2007	68.04	69.06	67.79	67.39			68.31(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-26	-10000	9	-130	0.16	45%	0.06	-38.4	1.06%	0	-0.4	38	0
18	Mar_8_2007	68	69.14	68.03	67.08			67.99(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-34	-10000	3	-146	0.19	45%	0.06	-43	1.07%	0	-0.7	36	0
19	Mar_7_2007	67.96	69.26	68.27	66.97			67.65(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10000	-4	-158	0.13	47%	0.06	-43.3	1.07%	0	-1	34	0
20	Mar_6_2007	67.92	69.38	68.54	67.11			67.39(2.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-1	-150	0.22	46%	0.06	-39.5	1.07%	0	-1.2	40	0

21	Mar_5_2007	67.88	69.49	68.88	67.16			65.6(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-64	-10000	-32	-158	0.44	42%	0.01	-37.7	1.01%	0	-2.5	35	0
22	Mar_2_2007	67.87	69.71	69.43	68.26			66.75(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-10000	-25	-99	0.23	46%	0.04	-18.4	0.99%	0	-2.4	37	0
23	Mar_1_2007	67.84	69.87	69.87	69.11			67.44(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10000	-19	-51	0.42	48%	0.06	7.3	0.99%	0	-2.3	38	0
24	Feb_28_2007	67.8	69.98	70.23	69.76			68.37(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-12	-12	0.52	53%	0.09	28.5	0.96%	0	-1.8	41	0
25	Feb_27_2007	67.74	70.02	70.41	70.17			67.63(-4.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-13	-10000	-19	5	0.86	49%		44.4	0.96%	0	-2.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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