Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $61.7800 (1.51%) ($61.5600 - $61.7800) on Tue. May. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $61.7800(1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.98(1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.62(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.63(3.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2006	56.43	59.63	60.62	60.98			61.78(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	59	-10000	13	197	0.04	70%	0.14	67.3	0.7%	0	1.8	90	0
2	May_1_2006	56.35	59.45	60.38	60.7			60.86(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	3	191	0.3	68%	0.12	69.8	0.69%	0	1.3	77	0
3	Apr_28_2006	56.28	59.31	60.15	60.64			61.02(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	-10000	8	200	0.03	68%	0.16	69.4	0.68%	0	1.6	80	0
4	Apr_27_2006	56.19	59.17	59.86	60.47			60.77(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-10000	8	175	0.09	68%	0.14	74	0.68%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Apr_26_2006	56.11	59.02	59.56	60.3			60.49(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	141	0.21	68%	0.12	69.5	0.68%	0	1.5	59	0

6	Apr_25_2006	56.04	58.85	59.3	60.2			60.37(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	10	118	0.05	68%	0.14	64.1	0.69%	0	1.6	60	0
7	Apr_24_2006	55.96	58.71	59.09	60			60.56(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	20	108	0.09	68%	0.14	58.1	0.68%	0	2	67	0
8	Apr_21_2006	55.88	58.57	58.84	59.59			60.17(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	22	77	0.03	70%	0.13	50.3	0.7%	0	1.9	68	0
9	Apr_20_2006	55.81	58.44	58.71	59.14			59.9(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	21	50	0.06	70%	0.16	36.1	0.7%	0	1.9	62	0
10	Apr_19_2006	55.72	58.35	58.63	58.7			60(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	-10000	21	36	0.09	70%	0.14	25.8	0.71%	0	2.4	67	0

11	Apr_18_2006	55.64	58.23	58.53	58.26			59.35(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	10	22	0.1	69%	0.13	12.6	0.7%	0	1.9	68	0
12	Apr_17_2006	55.57	58.17	58.43	58.06			58.51(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	3	14	0.27	66%	0.13	16.1	0.69%	0	0.6	59	0
13	Apr_13_2006	55.5	58.15	58.38	58			57.92(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10000	-11	4	0.05	63%	0.11	30.3	0.69%	0	-0.4	50	0
14	Apr_12_2006	55.44	58.16	58.43	58.23			57.73(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-16	32	0.1	60%	0.09	63.7	0.69%	0	-0.8	53	0
15	Apr_11_2006	55.39	58.17	58.44	58.55			57.81(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-13	54	0.11	60%	0.11	97.8	0.7%	0	-0.7	48	0

16	Apr_10_2006	55.33	58.15	58.4	58.82			58.32(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-1	76	0.2	63%	0.13	113.3	0.7%	0	0.3	55	0
17	Apr_7_2006	55.26	58.08	58.34	58.84			58.21(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	20	-10000	3	71	0.05	63%	0.13	100	0.7%	0	0.2	50	0
18	Apr_6_2006	55.19	57.99	58.32	58.79			59.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	7	70	0.07	72%	0.15	81.3	0.68%	0	1.3	56	0
19	Apr_5_2006	55.11	57.83	58.17	58.65			59.33(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	16	54	0.09	72%	0.16	68.1	0.69%	0	1.6	58	0
20	Apr_4_2006	55.02	57.64	58.04	58.33			59.15(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	19	36	0.12	74%	0.15	55.1	0.69%	0	1.6	61	0

21	Apr_3_2006	54.94	57.47	57.89	57.94			58.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	3	0.11	77%	0.13	45.6	0.69%	0	1	59	0
22	Mar_31_2006	54.87	57.37	57.86	57.77			57.99(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-10000	-0	5	0.04	76%	0.13	42.1	0.81%	0	0.7	62	0
23	Mar_30_2006	54.8	57.29	57.88	57.78			58.35(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	6	31	0.09	76%	0.13	44.7	0.81%	0	1.2	69	0
24	Mar_29_2006	54.73	57.19	57.88	57.63			57.75(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-4	46	0.05	75%	0.11	42	0.8%	0	0.6	70	0
25	Mar_28_2006	54.67	57.12	57.85	57.72			57.2(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-4	79	0.1	73%		42.9	0.8%	0	0.1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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