Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $60.1700 (0.45%) ($60.1300 - $60.3900) on Fri. Apr. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $60.1700(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $59.59(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.84(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.57(2.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2006	55.88	58.57	58.84	59.59			60.17(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	22	77	0.03	70%	0.13	50.3	0.7%	0	1.9	68	0
2	Apr_20_2006	55.81	58.44	58.71	59.14			59.9(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	21	50	0.06	70%	0.16	36.1	0.7%	0	1.9	62	0
3	Apr_19_2006	55.72	58.35	58.63	58.7			60(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	-10000	21	36	0.09	70%	0.14	25.8	0.71%	0	2.4	67	0
4	Apr_18_2006	55.64	58.23	58.53	58.26			59.35(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	10	22	0.1	69%	0.13	12.6	0.7%	0	1.9	68	0
5	Apr_17_2006	55.57	58.17	58.43	58.06			58.51(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	3	14	0.27	66%	0.13	16.1	0.69%	0	0.6	59	0

6	Apr_13_2006	55.5	58.15	58.38	58			57.92(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-10000	-11	4	0.05	63%	0.11	30.3	0.69%	0	-0.4	50	0
7	Apr_12_2006	55.44	58.16	58.43	58.23			57.73(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-16	32	0.1	60%	0.09	63.7	0.69%	0	-0.8	53	0
8	Apr_11_2006	55.39	58.17	58.44	58.55			57.81(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-13	54	0.11	60%	0.11	97.8	0.7%	0	-0.7	48	0
9	Apr_10_2006	55.33	58.15	58.4	58.82			58.32(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	18	-10000	-1	76	0.2	63%	0.13	113.3	0.7%	0	0.3	55	0
10	Apr_7_2006	55.26	58.08	58.34	58.84			58.21(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	20	-10000	3	71	0.05	63%	0.13	100	0.7%	0	0.2	50	0

11	Apr_6_2006	55.19	57.99	58.32	58.79			59.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	7	70	0.07	72%	0.15	81.3	0.68%	0	1.3	56	0
12	Apr_5_2006	55.11	57.83	58.17	58.65			59.33(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	16	54	0.09	72%	0.16	68.1	0.69%	0	1.6	58	0
13	Apr_4_2006	55.02	57.64	58.04	58.33			59.15(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	19	36	0.12	74%	0.15	55.1	0.69%	0	1.6	61	0
14	Apr_3_2006	54.94	57.47	57.89	57.94			58.41(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	3	0.11	77%	0.13	45.6	0.69%	0	1	59	0
15	Mar_31_2006	54.87	57.37	57.86	57.77			57.99(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-10000	-0	5	0.04	76%	0.13	42.1	0.81%	0	0.7	62	0

16	Mar_30_2006	54.8	57.29	57.88	57.78			58.35(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	6	31	0.09	76%	0.13	44.7	0.81%	0	1.2	69	0
17	Mar_29_2006	54.73	57.19	57.88	57.63			57.75(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-4	46	0.05	75%	0.11	42	0.8%	0	0.6	70	0
18	Mar_28_2006	54.67	57.12	57.85	57.72			57.2(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-4	79	0.1	73%	0.11	42.9	0.8%	0	0.1	68	0
19	Mar_27_2006	54.61	57.05	57.89	57.82			57.57(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-6	111	0.12	61%	0.13	44.8	0.79%	0	0.6	72	0
20	Mar_24_2006	54.54	56.99	57.82	57.95			58.02(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	-10000	-2	116	0.12	61%	0.11	50.3	0.88%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Mar_23_2006	54.48	56.89	57.66	58			57.59(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	27	-10000	-4	119	0.31	61%	0.11	56.8	0.88%	0	0.8	61	0
22	Mar_22_2006	54.42	56.82	57.48	58.11			58.2(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	4	127	0.03	65%	0.13	66.3	0.87%	0	1.5	69	0
23	Mar_21_2006	54.35	56.72	57.24	58.02			57.72(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	2	116	0.13	65%	0.11	71.7	0.87%	0	1.2	67	0
24	Mar_20_2006	54.29	56.63	57.04	57.96			58.24(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	12	119	0.09	69%	0.15	76	0.86%	0	1.9	78	0
25	Mar_17_2006	54.21	56.51	56.84	57.66			58.25(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	16	103	0.06	69%		76.1	0.86%	0	2.2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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