Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: VGK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Wed. Aug. 30, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Europe Index Fund ETF)
VGK latest price $49.2000 (1.05%) ($48.7400 - $49.2000) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $49.2000(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VGK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VGK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VGK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(93%)    EWI(89%)    EWP(88%)    SPY(85%)    VWO(84%)
Factors Impacting VGK price   VGK will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.93(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.98(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.04(0.33%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VGK price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2005	49.07	49.04	48.98	48.93			49.2(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	2	-33	0.02	49%	0	4.8	0.81%	0	0.5	39	0
2	Jul_7_2005	49.07	49.03	48.93	48.89			48.69(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.03	47%	-0.02	3.2	0.8%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	Jul_6_2005	49.08	49.03	49.01	48.97			48.98(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-2	-29	0.11	48%	0	16.4	0.8%	0	-0.2	52	0
4	Jul_5_2005	49.08	49.03	49.06	49			48.8(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-1	-12	0.06	48%	0	29.5	0.81%	0	-0.8	56	0
5	Jul_1_2005	49.08	49.04	49.13	49			49(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	0	0	0.04	47%	0	27	0.8%	0	-0.1	56	0

6	Jun_30_2005	49.08	49.04	49.2	49.02			48.97(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	2	14	0.07	48%	0	22.2	0.8%	0	-0.2	53	0
7	Jun_29_2005	49.08	49.02	49.21	48.99			49.1(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.02	48%	0	20.9	0.8%	0	0.2	51	0
8	Jun_28_2005	49.08	48.99	49.19	49.06			49.13(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	-5	15	0	48%	0	21.9	0.8%	0	0.4	54	0
9	Jun_27_2005	49.08	48.99	49.14	49.15			48.9(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-5	17	0.01	48%	0	18.4	0.8%	0	-0.2	50	0
10	Jun_24_2005	49.08	48.99	49.13	49.25			49(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-8	23	0.01	48%	-0.02	28.9	0.81%	0	0.1	54	0

11	Jun_23_2005	49.09	48.96	49.12	49.41			48.8(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	10	-10000	-2	44	0.02	47%	0	42.1	0.81%	0	-0.4	56	0
12	Jun_22_2005	49.09	48.95	49.15	49.45			49.48(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	6	56	0.01	48%	0.02	44.7	0.79%	0	1.4	57	0
13	Jun_21_2005	49.08	48.92	49.08	49.33			49.55(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	10	52	0.02	47%	0	44.4	0.8%	0	1.8	63	0
14	Jun_20_2005	49.08	48.89	49.02	49.13			49.42(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	7	43	0.05	47%	0.02	49.2	0.81%	0	1.7	64	0
15	Jun_17_2005	49.07	48.85	48.95	48.99			49.8(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	15	-10000	10	30	0.06	46%	0.02	52.5	0.8%	0	3.2	57	0

16	Jun_16_2005	49.06	48.8	48.82	48.8			48.99(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	1	-10000	-1	5	0.01	42%	0	70.7	0.78%	0	1	51	0
17	Jun_15_2005	49.06	48.79	48.81	48.81			48.9(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	1	10	0.01	42%	-0.02	80.5	0.78%	0	0.5	52	0
18	Jun_14_2005	49.07	48.76	48.77	48.8			48.55(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	0.02	42%	0	68.1	0.77%	0	-0.9	48	0
19	Jun_13_2005	49.07	48.73	48.75	48.88			48.69(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-1	0	0.02	42%	-0.02	45	0.77%	0	-0.1	44	0
20	Jun_10_2005	49.08	48.7	48.75	48.9			48.85(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	4	9	0.07	42%	0	27.8	0.77%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Jun_9_2005	49.08	48.66	48.78	48.83			49.06(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	-10000	2	2	0.05	42%	0	7.9	0.77%	0	1.1	52	0
22	Jun_8_2005	49.08	48.63	48.75	48.8			48.85(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	4	-1	0.02	42%	-0.02	-2.7	0.78%	0	0.6	49	0
23	Jun_7_2005	49.09	48.63	48.74	48.73			48.95(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	6	1	0.06	42%	0	-10.5	0.78%	0	0.9	60	0
24	Jun_6_2005	49.09	48.63	48.75	48.61			48.8(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.01	42%	0	-9.2	0.79%	0	0.5	62	0
25	Jun_3_2005	49.09	48.6	48.74	48.65			48.5(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-4	17	0.01	42%		0	0.79%	0	-0.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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