Trading Signals: VFMO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VFMO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 11, 2020

Trading Signals: VFMO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 15, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF)
VFMO latest price $80.1670 (1.52%) ($79.4500 - $80.4300) on Mon. May. 11, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.03% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $80.1670(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VFMO advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VFMO advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VFMO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(79%)    VUG(74%)    IWO(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting VFMO price   VFMO will decline at least -2.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-62%)    UUP(-37%)    VXX(-29%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.015% (StdDev 4.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.94(2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.13(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.62(6.01%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   37.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VFMO price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 4.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.15%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.28%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -3.2%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.1%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2020	79.65	75.62	77.13	77.94	78.23	79.36	80.17(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	110	28	48	0	43%	-0.09	83.7	4.03%	0	2	74	2.3
2	May_8_2020	79.72	75.19	76.75	76.92	77.44	78.13	78.97(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	80	27	42	0	43%	-0.09	101.1	4%	0	1.9	62	2
3	May_7_2020	79.79	74.89	76.32	75.99	76.37	77.11	77.39(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	80	11	25	0	43%	-0.11	119.2	4.02%	0	1.3	57	1.4
4	May_6_2020	79.88	74.58	75.96	75.86	75.61	76.75	76.49(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	100	10	26	0	43%	-0.13	132.2	4.02%	0	1	61	0.8
5	May_5_2020	79.98	74.18	75.69	76.25	75.78	75.62	76.67(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-30	11	34	0	43%	-0.11	117.8	4.02%	0	1.1	63	1.1

6	May_4_2020	80.07	73.76	75.26	76.22	76.22	74.47	75.08(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-160	-24	16	0.01	44%	-0.14	104.5	4.01%	0	0.5	53	0.5
7	May_1_2020	80.18	73.19	75.2	76.54	76.78	75.93	74.31(-3.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-17	-70	-30	23	0.01	44%	-0.14	75.8	3.98%	0	0.3	58	0.4
8	Apr_30_2020	80.29	72.73	75.27	76.64	77.21	77.98	76.74(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	90	14	46	0.01	43%	-0.1	62.7	3.97%	0	1	59	1.3
9	Apr_29_2020	80.37	72.09	74.88	76.02	76.52	77.64	78.49(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	120	31	50	0	43%	-0.09	53	3.96%	0	1.5	67	1.7
10	Apr_28_2020	80.44	71.53	74.22	75.05	75.37	76.43	76.47(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	110	25	45	0	44%	-0.1	53.4	3.95%	0	1.2	70	1.2

11	Apr_27_2020	80.52	71.13	73.97	74.17	74.62	75.41	76.69(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	90	24	47	0	44%	-0.11	62.1	3.95%	0	1.4	71	1.4
12	Apr_24_2020	80.61	70.62	73.48	73.71	73.68	74.31	74.81(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	60	7	54	0	43%	-0.12	71.4	3.94%	0	1.1	77	0.9
13	Apr_23_2020	80.71	70.32	73.31	73.74	73.61	73.82	73.63(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	10	9	75	0	43%	-0.15	85.6	3.93%	0	0.9	71	0.4
14	Apr_22_2020	80.83	69.88	73.07	73.56	73.81	73.05	73.67(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-60	0	87	0	43%	-0.14	90.9	3.93%	0	1	72	0.3
15	Apr_21_2020	80.94	69.4	72.55	73.24	73.5	73.4	72.07(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	0	-17	80	0	43%	-0.15	87.1	3.92%	0	0.7	59	-0.2

16	Apr_20_2020	81.06	68.75	72.18	73.69	73.41	74.57	74.4(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	100	17	100	0	43%	-0.14	76.6	3.9%	0	1.3	60	0.6
17	Apr_17_2020	81.17	67.99	71.08	73.19	73.31	73.6	74.94(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	30	25	91	0	43%	-0.09	59	3.93%	0	1.5	64	1.2
18	Apr_16_2020	81.24	67.29	70.03	72.85	72.58	72.25	72.7(0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-40	-8	66	0	44%	-0.16	53.5	3.91%	0	1.2	56	1.1
19	Apr_15_2020	81.37	66.61	69.14	72.51	72.67	73.02	72.1(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	40	10	69	0	44%	-0.17	35.8	3.91%	0	1.1	62	1.1
20	Apr_14_2020	81.51	66.18	68.66	71.71	72.31	72.9	74.32(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	80	26	75	0	44%	-0.13	18.8	3.9%	0	1.8	67	1.5

21	Apr_13_2020	81.62	65.48	68.04	70.43	71.12	72.32	71.9(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	150	31	85	0	44%	-0.17	-3.2	3.87%	0	1.5	72	1.2
22	Apr_9_2020	81.76	65.3	67.48	68.58	69.9	71.73	73.24(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	64	240	56	89	0	44%	-0.13	-28.1	3.84%	0	1.9	72	0.9
23	Apr_8_2020	81.87	64.9	66.98	66.79	67.48	69.92	71.01(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	280	49	82	0.01	44%	-0.17	-56.9	3.82%	0	1.5	65	0.9
24	Apr_7_2020	82.01	64.94	66.34	65.31	65.84	68.08	68.06(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	260	52	79	0	43%	-0.19	-68.4	3.77%	0	0.7	66	0.8
25	Apr_6_2020	82.17	65.32	65.92	65.21	64.53	65.04	67.93(8.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	20	16	64	0.01	43%		-68.1	3.77%	0	0.5	55	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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