Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $86.7300 (0.32%) ($86.5700 - $86.8100) on Tue. Apr. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $86.7300(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(78%)    VCSH(71%)    BND(68%)    TIP(63%)    TLT(62%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    IPO(-3%)    UNG(3%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.5(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.45(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.25(0.56%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.73%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.87%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2017	85.84	86.25	86.45	86.5	86.52	86.55	86.73(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	0	33	47	0.86	48%	0.01	86.7	0.27%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Apr_10_2017	85.83	86.17	86.4	86.43	86.52	86.44	86.45(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-0	-10	23	1.22	46%	0	67.3	0.27%	0	0.6	59	0
3	Apr_7_2017	85.83	86.1	86.39	86.44	86.46	86.49	86.26(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	0	2	39	1.56	46%	0	55.4	0.27%	0	0.3	60	0
4	Apr_6_2017	85.83	86.05	86.38	86.47	86.44	86.48	86.55(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	0	17	58	1.14	45%	0	45.2	0.27%	0	0.9	73	0
5	Apr_5_2017	85.83	85.97	86.34	86.41	86.4	86.44	86.5(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	0	12	65	1.09	48%	0	33.9	0.27%	0	1	75	0

6	Apr_4_2017	85.83	85.91	86.32	86.39	86.37	86.4	86.41(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	0	13	74	0.98	50%	0	28.8	0.28%	0	1	68	0
7	Apr_3_2017	85.83	85.87	86.29	86.35	86.37	86.36	86.5(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	0	5	92	0.61	50%	0	19	0.28%	0	1.3	79	0
8	Mar_31_2017	85.83	85.84	86.24	86.33	86.37	86.36	86.38(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-0	4	113	1.11	50%	-0.01	10.7	0.28%	0	1.1	79	0
9	Mar_30_2017	85.84	85.81	86.18	86.28	86.35	86.34	86.28(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	0	4	122	0.69	52%	-0.01	0	0.28%	0	1	72	0
10	Mar_29_2017	85.85	85.79	86.11	86.26	86.31	86.35	86.39(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	0	4	132	0.91	52%	-0.02	-7.7	0.29%	0	1.3	76	0

11	Mar_28_2017	85.87	85.77	86.04	86.24	86.27	86.36	86.2(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	10	20	147	0.99	52%	-0.02	-10.9	0.29%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Mar_27_2017	85.89	85.77	85.93	86.22	86.24	86.27	86.38(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	0	33	139	1.24	52%	-0.02	-6.9	0.29%	0	1.2	60	0
13	Mar_24_2017	85.91	85.78	85.79	86.14	86.15	86.17	86.15(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	0	7	104	0.66	52%	-0.02	-8.1	0.28%	0	0.7	52	0
14	Mar_23_2017	85.93	85.81	85.69	86.06	86.08	86.21	86.19(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	10	38	86	0.71	52%	-0.03	-4.7	0.29%	0	0.7	51	0
15	Mar_22_2017	85.96	85.81	85.57	85.93	85.95	86.13	86.28(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	20	58	58	0.62	50%	-0.02	-4.7	0.29%	0	0.8	54	0

16	Mar_21_2017	85.98	85.82	85.47	85.82	85.79	85.94	86.12(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	10	64	30	0.78	50%	-0.02	-6.3	0.29%	0	0.5	48	0
17	Mar_20_2017	86	85.81	85.41	85.59	85.63	85.77	85.97(0.28%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	39	10	60	-24	0.59	50%	-0.03	-16.9	0.29%	0	0.3	37	0
18	Mar_17_2017	86.03	85.82	85.39	85.39	85.42	85.64	85.73(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	19	20	50	-73	0.6	52%	-0.03	-26.2	0.29%	0	-0.2	33	0
19	Mar_16_2017	86.06	85.84	85.4	85.28	85.26	85.5	85.55(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	20	71	-102	0.84	52%	-0.03	-32.3	0.29%	0	-0.5	27	0
20	Mar_15_2017	86.09	85.84	85.43	85.16	85.15	85.21	85.71(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	0	47	-143	1.44	52%	-0.05	-44.6	0.29%	0	-0.3	38	0

21	Mar_14_2017	86.13	85.85	85.45	85.09	85.07	85.02	85.01(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-0	-32	-206	1.09	44%	-0.05	-52.3	0.27%	0	-1.5	31	0
22	Mar_13_2017	86.17	85.91	85.61	85.21	85.15	85.09	84.96(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-10	-37	-178	0.64	44%	-0.05	-50.8	0.28%	0	-1.8	33	0
23	Mar_10_2017	86.21	85.97	85.77	85.39	85.32	85.11	85.15(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-20	-52	-152	0.8	44%	-0.06	-41.8	0.28%	0	-1.7	34	0
24	Mar_9_2017	86.26	86.02	85.95	85.55	85.51	85.21	84.97(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-101	-30	-92	-129	1.29	44%	-0.05	-32	0.28%	0	-2.4	36	0
25	Mar_8_2017	86.3	86.1	86.1	85.73	85.71	85.52	85.35(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-78	-20	-77	-82	0.76	46%		-16.7	0.28%	0	-2.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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