Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: VCIT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF)
VCIT latest price $84.9500 (-0.32%) ($84.8000 - $85.0200) on Thu. Dec. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.28% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $84.9500(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VCIT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VCIT declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VCIT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(79%)    VCSH(71%)    BND(68%)    TIP(63%)    TLT(63%)
Factors Impacting VCIT price   VCIT will decline at least -0.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-63%)    UUP(-24%)    IPO(-3%)    UNG(3%)    USO(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.14% (StdDev 0.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $85.39
5 Day Moving Average   $85.03(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.12(-0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.39(-0.52%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VCIT price fluctuates within 0.43% (three month std-dev: 0.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20170122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2016	88.1	85.39	85.12	85.03	85.02	85.03	84.95(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-19	0	2	-81	0.57	23%	-0.06	-60.5	0.28%	0	-1.2	38	INF
2	Dec_21_2016	88.15	85.42	85.19	84.98	84.99	85.06	85.22(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	10	25	-69	0.72	26%	-0.05	-80.5	0.28%	0	-0.6	50	INF
3	Dec_20_2016	88.19	85.46	85.25	84.92	84.9	85	85.03(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	10	-3	-87	0.92	26%	-0.05	-88.4	0.28%	0	-1.2	38	INF
4	Dec_19_2016	88.23	85.5	85.32	85.01	84.99	84.92	85.13(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10	5	-79	0.76	26%	-0.06	-90.5	0.28%	0	-1	36	INF
5	Dec_16_2016	88.28	85.53	85.37	85.07	85.1	84.8	84.8(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-87	-20	-78	-113	0.78	23%	-0.06	-102.4	0.27%	0	-2.1	31	INF

6	Dec_15_2016	88.33	85.61	85.45	85.23	85.26	85.05	84.74(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-104	-20	-104	-102	1.53	23%	-0.06	-100	0.27%	0	-2.5	38	INF
7	Dec_14_2016	88.38	85.71	85.51	85.43	85.46	85.4	84.92(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-0	-40	-58	1.22	23%	-0.06	-90.5	0.27%	0	-2.2	39	INF
8	Dec_13_2016	88.43	85.79	85.59	85.62	85.57	85.46	85.45(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10	-24	-32	1.45	24%	-0.05	-100	0.27%	0	-1	39	INF
9	Dec_12_2016	88.47	85.83	85.64	85.67	85.66	85.51	85.44(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10	-40	-29	1.47	24%	-0.05	-119	0.27%	0	-1.1	44	INF
10	Dec_9_2016	88.51	85.9	85.64	85.71	85.72	85.67	85.6(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-0	-21	-15	1.28	23%	-0.05	-123.4	0.27%	0	-0.8	47	INF

11	Dec_8_2016	88.55	85.96	85.68	85.7	85.7	85.8	85.72(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	12	10	21	-15	0.83	21%	-0.05	-120.4	0.28%	0	-0.5	39	INF
12	Dec_7_2016	88.59	86.03	85.67	85.6	85.63	85.77	85.89(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	10	53	-41	1.5	21%	-0.05	-121	0.28%	0	-0.3	36	INF
13	Dec_6_2016	88.63	86.14	85.68	85.56	85.63	85.6	85.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	10	15	-73	1.14	24%	-0.03	-95.1	0.28%	0	-0.7	36	INF
14	Dec_5_2016	88.66	86.26	85.69	85.61	85.45	85.49	85.64(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-0	19	-78	0.76	24%	-0.05	-80.2	0.28%	0	-0.7	40	INF
15	Dec_2_2016	88.7	86.39	85.7	85.66	85.53	85.31	85.55(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-20	-28	-116	0.94	24%	-0.05	-71.3	0.28%	0	-0.9	32	INF

16	Dec_1_2016	88.74	86.53	85.78	85.67	85.62	85.41	85.24(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-97	-20	-78	-153	2.74	21%	-0.05	-69.3	0.28%	0	-1.3	25	INF
17	Nov_30_2016	88.78	86.68	85.92	85.75	85.74	85.74	85.69(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-0	-23	-138	0.74	23%	-0.05	-68.4	0.27%	0	-1	27	INF
18	Nov_29_2016	88.82	86.81	86	85.81	85.73	85.84	85.95(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	10	17	-153	0.46	26%	-0.05	-69.7	0.27%	0	-0.8	21	INF
19	Nov_28_2016	88.86	86.93	86.03	85.78	85.76	85.74	85.86(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	-0	24	-206	0.46	26%	-0.04	-70.7	0.27%	0	-1	19	INF
20	Nov_25_2016	88.9	87.07	86.12	85.77	85.75	85.62	85.59(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-108	-10	-51	-278	0.36	23%	-0.06	-73.6	0.27%	0	-1.4	14	INF

21	Nov_23_2016	88.95	87.22	86.27	85.91	85.84	85.78	85.64(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-119	-10	-60	-295	0.78	23%	-0.04	-72.2	0.27%	0	-1.4	18	INF
22	Nov_22_2016	88.99	87.38	86.43	86.12	86.05	85.88	86(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-97	-20	-31	-296	0.66	26%	-0.03	-69.6	0.26%	0	-1.3	19	INF
23	Nov_21_2016	89.02	87.53	86.63	86.23	86.2	85.9	85.81(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-142	-30	-86	-311	0.85	26%	-0.03	-69.1	0.26%	0	-1.6	17	INF
24	Nov_18_2016	89.05	87.7	86.87	86.32	86.36	86.21	85.79(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-138	-10	-82	-305	0.72	26%	-0.04	-68.3	0.26%	0	-1.8	16	INF
25	Nov_17_2016	89.09	87.87	87.14	86.53	86.44	86.49	86.33(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-90	0	-32	-262	0.97	31%		-66.1	0.26%	0	-1.6	18	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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