Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $11.6000 (-3.65%) ($11.5100 - $11.8200) on Mon. Feb. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $11.6000(-3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VALE declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(63%)    XLB(60%)    XME(60%)    EEM(58%)    VT(58%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-40%)    VXX(-20%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    SHY(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $12.57
5 Day Moving Average   $12.14(-4.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12.05(-3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.57(-7.72%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $59.507b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 5.25% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 3.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.06%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.54%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.24%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.57%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2020	12.19	12.57	12.05	12.14	12.19	11.89	11.6(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-160	-18	-102	29.91	49%	0	-37	1.91%	0	-1.5	29	0.2
2	Feb_7_2020	12.19	12.64	12.09	12.2	12.34	12.3	12.04(-2.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-30	10	1	-123	37.28	50%	0.08	-39.3	1.91%	0	-1	29	-0.1
3	Feb_6_2020	12.18	12.69	12.17	12.14	12.29	12.5	12.4(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	160	13	-139	16.38	52%	0.08	-46.4	1.87%	0	-0.5	40	0.2
4	Feb_5_2020	12.17	12.73	12.24	12.06	12.1	12.38	12.44(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-23	170	19	-148	17.82	52%	0	-50.1	1.88%	0	-0.5	40	0.1
5	Feb_4_2020	12.17	12.77	12.33	11.96	11.94	12.08	12.23(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	80	9	-168	21.07	52%	0	-53.7	1.87%	0	-0.9	35	-0.7

6	Feb_3_2020	12.17	12.82	12.42	11.95	11.88	12.08	11.9(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-60	-3	-180	17.94	50%	0	-56.1	1.85%	0	-1.5	32	-1.4
7	Jan_31_2020	12.17	12.89	12.59	11.97	11.96	11.81	11.73(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-90	-25	-170	23.21	50%	0	-61.3	1.89%	0	-2	37	-2.4
8	Jan_30_2020	12.17	12.98	12.74	12.2	12.04	11.95	12.01(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-90	-30	-140	26.13	52%	0	-56.6	1.91%	0	-1.9	39	-0.4
9	Jan_29_2020	12.17	13.05	12.87	12.45	12.32	11.95	11.95(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-49	-140	-29	-108	21.95	52%	0	-49.4	1.91%	0	-2.3	35	-0.7
10	Jan_28_2020	12.17	13.11	13.02	12.75	12.61	12.12	12.18(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-300	-32	-67	25	52%	0.08	-39.7	1.9%	0	-2.3	37	-0.7

11	Jan_27_2020	12.16	13.17	13.15	12.96	12.91	12.52	12(-6.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-46	-220	-47	-42	40.35	52%	0	-31.1	1.9%	0	-3.5	36	-1.9
12	Jan_24_2020	12.16	13.25	13.26	13.29	13.25	13.1	12.84(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-8	-90	-13	9	30.56	63%	0.16	2.9	1.79%	0	-2.3	43	0
13	Jan_23_2020	12.14	13.25	13.28	13.35	13.25	13.31	13.3(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-30	-1	13	26.28	67%	0.17	25	1.74%	0	0.1	47	1.2
14	Jan_22_2020	12.12	13.28	13.27	13.34	13.38	13.39	13.42(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	10	-2	12	14.24	67%	0.25	28.3	1.74%	0	0.9	54	1.1
15	Jan_21_2020	12.09	13.28	13.25	13.35	13.36	13.46	13.25(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	50	1	15	23.67	67%	0.17	33.6	1.74%	0	-0.1	52	1.4

16	Jan_17_2020	12.07	13.27	13.24	13.36	13.38	13.37	13.63(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-0	16	22	22.03	71%	0.25	47.1	1.7%	0	2.3	59	1.9
17	Jan_16_2020	12.04	13.27	13.2	13.23	13.29	13.27	13.16(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	0	0	-9	13.7	69%	0.25	43.4	1.65%	0	-0.6	41	2.2
18	Jan_15_2020	12.01	13.27	13.2	13.2	13.24	13.39	13.26(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	90	5	-13	15.93	69%	0.25	63.2	1.67%	0	0.1	44	2
19	Jan_14_2020	11.98	13.24	13.23	13.19	13.17	13.31	13.45(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	70	11	-14	17.57	69%	0.25	82.3	1.67%	0	1.4	53	2.3
20	Jan_13_2020	11.95	13.22	13.2	13.15	13.17	13.09	13.32(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-20	5	-25	26.08	69%	0.25	101.9	1.69%	0	0.7	51	2.5

21	Jan_10_2020	11.92	13.2	13.19	13.11	13.11	13.04	12.97(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-40	-9	-37	14.06	71%	0.17	121.7	1.7%	0	-1.6	44	1.4
22	Jan_9_2020	11.9	13.18	13.24	13.17	13.14	13.14	12.99(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10	-11	-19	17.94	71%	0.25	141.2	1.73%	0	-1.3	50	1.4
23	Jan_8_2020	11.87	13.15	13.24	13.27	13.2	13.19	13.22(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-20	2	9	24.92	74%	0.17	127.6	1.72%	0	0.4	56	0.7
24	Jan_7_2020	11.85	13.12	13.29	13.26	13.24	13.14	13.23(0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-60	-1	10	18.86	74%	0.25	96.2	1.73%	0	0.4	54	0.6
25	Jan_6_2020	11.82	13.08	13.3	13.25	13.25	13.21	13.14(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-20	-6	12	19.21	74%		90.9	1.75%	0	0.2	55	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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