Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VALE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 24, 2019

Trading Signals: VALE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 12, 2016 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Vale S.A. AD)
VALE latest price $11.2100 (-2.27%) ($11.1600 - $11.4000) on Tue. Sep. 24, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $11.2100(-2.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VALE declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VALE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(63%)    XLB(60%)    EEM(59%)    XME(59%)    VT(58%)
Factors Impacting VALE price   VALE will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    VXX(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $11.43
5 Day Moving Average   $11.52(-2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11.74(-4.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11.43(-1.92%)
To recent high   -20.2%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $57.506b

Vale SA engages in the production and exportation of iron ore, pellets, manganese, and iron alloys, which are raw materials needed for steelmaking. It operates through the following segments: Ferrous Minerals, Coal and Base Metals. The Ferrous Minerals segment includes the extraction of iron ore and the production of pellets, manganese ore, iron alloys, and coal and logistics services. The Coal segment comprises the extraction of coal and its logistic services. The Base Metals segment involves the production of non-ferrous minerals, which include nickel, copper and aluminium. The company was founded on June 1, 1942 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

$. VALE price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.2%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20191024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2019	12.34	11.43	11.74	11.52	11.5	11.4	11.21(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-70	-18	-6	15.96	44%	-0.16	42.2	2.03%	0	-0.4	54	0.5
2	Sep_23_2019	12.36	11.39	11.8	11.67	11.63	11.55	11.47(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-60	-9	37	16.59	45%	-0.08	42.2	2.02%	0	0.1	68	1
3	Sep_20_2019	12.37	11.35	11.82	11.75	11.7	11.6	11.58(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-70	-13	62	14.52	45%	-0.08	41	2.03%	0	0.4	68	1.1
4	Sep_19_2019	12.38	11.31	11.8	11.86	11.78	11.71	11.58(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-60	-15	95	13.77	45%	-0.08	44.9	2.03%	0	0.4	72	1.7
5	Sep_18_2019	12.39	11.27	11.78	11.98	11.94	11.81	11.77(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	33	-90	-3	142	15.36	49%	-0.08	49.4	2.03%	0	0.8	81	1.7

6	Sep_17_2019	12.4	11.22	11.74	11.99	11.94	11.85	11.93(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	-90	-2	164	13.85	49%	-0.08	43.9	2.11%	0	1.2	86	1.4
7	Sep_16_2019	12.41	11.16	11.64	11.95	12.01	12.07	11.87(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	50	3	180	18.23	49%	-0.08	38.4	2.12%	0	1.2	86	1.5
8	Sep_13_2019	12.42	11.1	11.55	11.89	11.94	12.18	12.15(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	150	21	199	24.86	49%	0	32.5	2.12%	0	1.9	86	1.8
9	Sep_12_2019	12.42	11.04	11.41	11.73	11.75	11.95	12.17(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	120	22	178	30.56	49%	-0.08	18	2.13%	0	2.2	74	1.8
10	Sep_11_2019	12.43	10.98	11.24	11.56	11.56	11.71	11.81(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	90	14	147	20.11	52%	-0.08	4.3	2.09%	0	1.9	68	1.7

11	Sep_10_2019	12.44	10.96	11.09	11.45	11.46	11.55	11.73(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	60	17	115	20.73	52%	-0.08	-3.7	2.26%	0	1.8	68	1.6
12	Sep_9_2019	12.45	10.93	10.95	11.29	11.35	11.41	11.61(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	50	13	84	18.96	52%	-0.08	-18.8	2.26%	0	1.7	68	1.7
13	Sep_6_2019	12.46	10.92	10.83	11.16	11.22	11.37	11.34(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	110	12	60	16.84	50%	-0.16	-35.9	2.23%	0	1.1	58	1.9
14	Sep_5_2019	12.48	10.95	10.76	11.04	11.14	11.3	11.33(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	130	23	43	16.57	50%	-0.16	-45	2.24%	0	0.9	55	1.6
15	Sep_4_2019	12.5	10.96	10.71	10.86	10.95	11.06	11.24(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	100	19	12	17.01	50%	-0.24	-66.7	2.25%	0	0.6	51	1

16	Sep_3_2019	12.53	10.98	10.66	10.68	10.76	10.98	10.91(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	170	16	-36	16.61	48%	-0.24	-86.7	2.22%	0	-0.1	33	-0.2
17	Aug_30_2019	12.56	11.01	10.63	10.55	10.62	10.84	11(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	160	18	-68	29.95	48%	-0.16	-95	2.2%	0	-0	44	0.1
18	Aug_29_2019	12.58	11.07	10.61	10.44	10.46	10.55	10.72(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	70	3	-106	20.14	46%	-0.24	-94.6	2.17%	0	-0.6	35	0.1
19	Aug_28_2019	12.61	11.15	10.63	10.45	10.45	10.4	10.43(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-30	-9	-135	12.54	46%	-0.24	-86.1	2.14%	0	-1	25	-0.4
20	Aug_27_2019	12.64	11.27	10.69	10.54	10.54	10.37	10.33(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-110	-12	-136	21.23	46%	-0.32	-78	2.18%	0	-1.2	31	-0.8

21	Aug_26_2019	12.68	11.41	10.83	10.63	10.65	10.5	10.28(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-90	-13	-127	15.25	46%	-0.24	-74	2.19%	0	-1.3	29	-0.6
22	Aug_23_2019	12.71	11.56	10.93	10.71	10.75	10.72	10.46(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10	-10	-121	24.44	48%	-0.24	-73.2	2.2%	0	-1.2	35	-1.1
23	Aug_22_2019	12.74	11.69	11.04	10.8	10.8	10.81	10.77(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	10	-3	-125	16.53	50%	-0.23	-74.3	2.18%	0	-1	30	-0
24	Aug_21_2019	12.77	11.82	11.15	10.84	10.84	10.77	10.86(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-50	-4	-133	19.56	52%	-0.16	-74.8	2.18%	0	-1	29	0.2
25	Aug_20_2019	12.79	11.94	11.23	10.88	10.88	10.79	10.79(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-60	-19	-161	18.71	52%		-73.8	2.2%	0	-1.2	24	-0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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