Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UVXY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 18, 2020

Trading Signals: UVXY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jun. 3, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF)
UVXY latest price $1106.3000 (26.83%) ($953.3200 - $1350.0000) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.96% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $1106.3000(26.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UVXY advances 17.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UVXY advances 96.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UVXY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(21%)    VXX(10%)    UUP(7%)    TLT(5%)    UNG(2%)
Factors Impacting UVXY price   UVXY will decline at least -6.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VT(-20%)    XLY(-19%)    VFMO(-19%)    XLK(-18%)    XAR(-18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.48% (StdDev 12.96%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 5.8%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $820.52(34.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $622.27(77.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $414.39(166.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   945.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.17%

$. UVXY is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.17% a day on average for holding it.$. UVXY price fluctuates within 67.36% (three month std-dev: 12.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2020	193.44	414.39	622.27	820.52	854.14	990.7	1106.3(26.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	821	1240	835	779	2.09	80%	5.14	122.6	12.96%	1.7	2.5	85	-2.4
2	Mar_17_2020	183.98	361.86	532.56	695.7	730.97	855.46	872.3(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	787	1340	805	732	2.12	79%	3.97	115.2	12.63%	1	2.2	85	-2.2
3	Mar_16_2020	176.96	321.93	469.17	602.14	632.1	717.58	901.4(57.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	711	1100	726	664	2	79%	4.33	105.6	12.61%	2.1	2.8	85	-2.7
4	Mar_13_2020	169.61	279.85	397.74	513.4	523.76	606.48	572.4(-11.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	424	1170	379	560	2.8	74%	2.3	107.2	10.57%	0.1	1.8	83	-1.9
5	Mar_12_2020	165.79	255.77	362.79	465.82	496.78	546.63	650.2(34.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	726	900	731	709	3.21	75%	2.84	100.6	10.48%	1.5	2.7	89	-2.6

6	Mar_11_2020	161.21	226.96	317.28	393.2	429.76	441.04	482.2(19.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	228	460	150	460	2.56	73%	1.77	93.8	9.73%	1.7	2.2	88	-2.2
7	Mar_10_2020	158.41	207.61	285.77	343.26	381.03	446.94	404.5(-11.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	354	1540	307	493	2.75	71%	1.3	83.4	9.5%	-0.1	1.9	87	-2
8	Mar_9_2020	156.38	192.38	262.77	313.34	337.76	418.48	457.7(36.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	768	1910	792	695	2.58	74%	1.62	76.7	9.34%	1.1	2.9	90	-2.7
9	Mar_6_2020	153.88	174.11	231.31	265.18	275.44	315.11	334.5(16.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	508	1120	491	560	5	69%	0.79	69.6	8.23%	1.2	2.3	89	-2.3
10	Mar_5_2020	152.67	162.42	209.96	244.12	243.16	257.04	287.1(23.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	243	390	180	430	2.97	68%	0.45	67.5	8.05%	2	2.1	86	-2.1

11	Mar_4_2020	151.98	153.35	192.49	230.12	234.25	235.76	232.5(-8.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	170	100	88	417	2.81	63%	0.05	66.4	7.53%	-0.1	1.6	84	-1.6
12	Mar_3_2020	151.9	147.55	180.26	218.46	226.46	229.29	254.9(17.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	141	200	58	389	6.54	66%	0.15	62.4	7.49%	1.3	2.3	84	-2.3
13	Mar_2_2020	151.68	140.92	165.46	203.36	211.11	232.74	216.9(-5.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	206	830	140	402	4.99	65%	-0.2	60	7.27%	-0.2	1.9	81	-1.9
14	Feb_28_2020	151.99	136.67	154.35	191.42	196.6	223.64	229.2(5.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	388	1040	364	460	5.59	65%	-0.28	59.5	7.21%	1.3	2.6	83	-2.8
15	Feb_27_2020	152.42	130.79	141.82	170.26	174.23	189.48	217.1(24.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	281	680	263	336	7.76	65%	-0.46	51.6	7.25%	1.6	3	83	-3.1

16	Feb_26_2020	153.12	125.66	130.09	149.38	153.19	169.57	174.2(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	193	820	181	228	5.1	61%	-0.85	43	6.57%	1.2	2.3	76	-2.4
17	Feb_25_2020	154.44	122.86	123.71	135.98	137.73	158.99	179.4(14.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	253	1120	271	198	6.09	59%	-0.59	32.6	6.57%	1.7	3.2	72	-3.2
18	Feb_24_2020	155.36	120.27	116.6	122.02	122.97	136.81	157.2(27.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	205	810	237	108	5.34	56%	-0.72	24.5	6.38%	1.5	2.9	58	-3.1
19	Feb_21_2020	156.48	118.07	112	111.96	112.41	116.47	123.4(9.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	69	260	98	-19	3.59	49%	-1.09	8.3	5.36%	1.5	0.6	35	-0.8
20	Feb_20_2020	158.2	117.31	110.89	109.08	108.95	109.12	112.7(5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	10	15	-77	2.98	46%	-1.25	-1.1	5.21%	1.3	-0.5	46	0.4

21	Feb_19_2020	160.21	117.17	111.14	107.72	108.55	108.35	107.2(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	10	-12	-103	0.89	46%	-1.09	-5.7	5.16%	-0.7	-1	41	1
22	Feb_18_2020	161.97	117.29	112.67	109.18	108.96	108.78	109.6(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-20	-7	-96	1.58	46%	-1.63	-3.3	5.16%	0.9	-0.8	42	0.8
23	Feb_14_2020	164.66	117.22	114.94	110.12	109.68	108.74	106.9(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-70	-23	-99	1.3	45%	-0.96	-5	5.16%	-0.7	-1	34	0.9
24	Feb_13_2020	166.25	117.29	118.2	111.98	111.81	109.14	109(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-170	-29	-73	1.51	45%	-0.92	-4.7	5.16%	-0.5	-0.8	49	0.6
25	Feb_12_2020	167.79	117.41	119.49	112.96	113.72	110.61	105.9(-7.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-170	-53	-68	1.66	45%		-8.2	5.15%	-2.2	-1.1	54	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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