Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 25, 2015

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $138.8800 (3.39%) ($134.3200 - $140.2400) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $138.8800(3.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(59%)    IVE(36%)    VT(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

Resistance Level   $139.51
5 Day Moving Average   $133.5(4.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.42(4.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.51(-0.45%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.28% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2015	167.59	139.51	133.42	133.5			138.88(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	5	-77	3.99	45%	-0.59	-48.7	3.05%	0	-0.1	37	0
2	Mar_24_2015	168.59	139.98	133.59	132.54			134.32(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	7	-98	2.66	42%	-0.64	-55	3.04%	0	-0.8	29	0
3	Mar_23_2015	169.67	140.5	134.39	131.22			134.24(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	-10000	3	-116	2.65	44%	-0.67	-69.1	3.05%	0	-0.9	36	0
4	Mar_20_2015	170.82	141.05	135.53	130.53			131.44(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-3	-123	3.67	42%	-0.7	-78.7	3.09%	0	-1.3	34	0
5	Mar_19_2015	172.02	141.95	136.93	131.12			128.64(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-11	-121	4.05	45%	-0.73	-80.2	3.1%	0	-1.8	34	0

6	Mar_18_2015	173.28	143.18	139.02	133.3			134.08(5.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-8	-97	6.8	46%	-0.67	-74.3	3.17%	0	-1.3	39	0
7	Mar_17_2015	174.45	144.18	140.76	134.91			127.68(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-33	-10000	-15	-88	3.91	43%	-0.69	-65.1	3.11%	0	-2.3	24	0
8	Mar_16_2015	175.67	145.74	142.88	138.03			130.8(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-15	-63	4.96	43%	-0.68	-63.2	3.1%	0	-2.4	36	0
9	Mar_13_2015	176.88	147.08	144.57	141.23			134.4(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-10	-37	5.58	42%	-0.67	-54.9	3.1%	0	-2.3	39	0
10	Mar_12_2015	178.07	148.07	145.74	143.54			139.52(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-9	-25	2.98	42%	-0.61	-49.5	3.09%	0	-1.7	38	0

11	Mar_11_2015	179.17	148.55	146.3	145.57			142.16(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-9	-20	3.73	41%	-0.62	-40.9	3.11%	0	-1.4	36	0
12	Mar_10_2015	180.29	149.05	147.03	147.55			143.28(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-4	-10	3.34	39%	-0.61	-36.3	3.12%	0	-1.4	36	0
13	Mar_9_2015	181.4	149.78	147.21	148.48			146.8(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	0	-18	2.47	39%	-0.59	-20.3	3.14%	0	-0.7	34	0
14	Mar_6_2015	182.47	150.21	147.04	148.43			145.92(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	1	-32	3.43	38%	-0.58	-7.3	3.16%	0	-0.9	36	0
15	Mar_5_2015	183.54	150.55	147.36	148.21			149.68(-1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	5	-37	2.85	38%	-0.54	9.8	3.17%	0	-0.2	45	0

16	Mar_4_2015	184.54	150.4	147.59	147.12			152.08(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	3	-41	4.1	38%	-0.53	16.8	3.17%	0	0.4	55	0
17	Mar_3_2015	185.53	150.6	147.67	146.54			147.92(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	3	-44	2.86	38%	-0.6	31.4	3.15%	0	-0.6	46	0
18	Mar_2_2015	186.65	150.68	148.6	145.82			146.56(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	1	-50	2.99	37%	-0.62	41.2	3.14%	0	-0.9	38	0
19	Feb_27_2015	187.81	150.55	149.59	145.49			144.8(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	3.56	36%	-0.61	43.8	3.28%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Feb_26_2015	188.97	150.11	150.48	146.37			144.24(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10000	-7	-46	5.01	36%	-0.66	35.8	3.3%	0	-1	44	0

21	Feb_25_2015	190.22	149.64	150.97	148.08			149.2(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-33	4.79	36%	-0.64	31.7	3.28%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Feb_24_2015	191.45	149.13	151.22	149.06			144.32(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-11	-36	2.28	35%	-0.7	32.6	3.25%	0	-0.6	41	0
23	Feb_23_2015	192.79	148.76	152.62	151.86			144.88(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-10	-7	6.23	35%	-0.67	34	3.25%	0	-0.5	49	0
24	Feb_20_2015	194.09	148.41	153.78	154.27			149.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-3	26	3.57	36%	-0.67	39.1	3.25%	0	0.1	58	0
25	Feb_19_2015	195.4	147.95	154.15	155.12			152.8(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	4	57	6.03	36%		37.7	3.25%	0	0.6	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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