Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $152.2400 (4.1%) ($147.8400 - $155.8400) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.11% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $152.2400(4.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(59%)    IVE(36%)    VYM(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.555% (StdDev 3.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $149.39(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.57(6.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.56(6.79%)
To recent high   -36.5%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.39% (three month std-dev: 3.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	207.68	142.56	142.57	149.39			152.24(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	17	71	6.27	35%	-0.63	-5.7	3.11%	0	1.5	59	0
2	Feb_4_2015	208.99	142.22	141.18	145.63			146.24(-6.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	12	32	8.32	33%	-0.67	-34.7	3.08%	0	0.7	50	0
3	Feb_3_2015	210.39	142.09	140.69	142.88			156.96(5.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	18	-10000	19	15	9.56	34%	-0.59	-61.2	2.98%	0	2.5	60	0
4	Feb_2_2015	211.63	141.63	138.79	139.02			148.96(4.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	14	-18	5.19	31%	-0.61	-102.5	2.89%	0	1.4	58	0
5	Jan_30_2015	212.92	142.01	138.35	136.22			142.56(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	7	-45	6	28%	-0.65	-103.6	2.81%	0	0.1	47	0

6	Jan_29_2015	214.32	142.91	138	134.91			133.44(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-7	-79	3.58	25%	-0.67	-113.4	2.63%	0	-1.5	37	0
7	Jan_28_2015	215.77	144.32	139.25	136.08			132.48(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-11	-72	5.01	25%	-0.69	-96.4	2.64%	0	-1.6	38	0
8	Jan_27_2015	217.26	145.79	140.17	138.02			137.68(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-2	-58	2.9	25%	-0.66	-91.4	2.62%	0	-1	45	0
9	Jan_26_2015	218.7	147.16	140.37	138.45			134.96(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-13	-76	3.55	25%	-0.68	-84.5	2.6%	0	-1.4	37	0
10	Jan_23_2015	220.19	148.8	141.51	140.78			136(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-4	-71	4.07	27%	-0.68	-75	2.6%	0	-1.4	32	0

11	Jan_22_2015	221.69	150.58	142.75	141.5			139.28(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-7	-86	4.72	26%	-0.67	-74.8	2.61%	0	-1.3	32	0
12	Jan_21_2015	223.19	151.97	143.52	142.88			142.16(1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	-10000	1	-93	2.96	26%	-0.62	-67.2	2.61%	0	-1	34	0
13	Jan_20_2015	224.59	153.59	143.75	142.64			139.84(-4.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-30	-10000	1	-121	3.56	26%	-0.67	-62.3	2.6%	0	-1.3	31	0
14	Jan_16_2015	226.1	154.91	144.79	142.53			146.64(5.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10000	0	-148	4.72	28%	-0.62	-64	2.54%	0	-0.7	32	0
15	Jan_15_2015	227.5	156.09	145.87	142.45			139.6(-4.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-51	-10000	-10	-172	6.26	25%	-0.63	-70	2.45%	0	-1.4	22	0

16	Jan_14_2015	228.95	157.66	148.11	144.21			146.16(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-1	-172	5.3	25%	-0.6	-76.5	2.4%	0	-1	23	0
17	Jan_13_2015	230.34	158.79	149.62	144.37			140.96(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10000	-4	-183	4.13	22%	-0.61	-85	2.36%	0	-1.6	24	0
18	Jan_12_2015	231.76	160.54	151.75	145.05			139.28(-4.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-60	-10000	-13	-201	3.85	22%	-0.62	-98.6	2.34%	0	-2	18	0
19	Jan_9_2015	233.21	162.67	154.47	147.26			146.24(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-10000	-15	-188	3.31	22%	-0.59	-110	2.3%	0	-1.7	35	0
20	Jan_8_2015	234.59	164.65	156.66	149.84			148.4(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-10000	-16	-171	3.34	22%	-0.57	-111	2.31%	0	-1.6	33	0

21	Jan_7_2015	235.94	166.85	159.02	152.73			146.95(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-17	-147	3.92	22%	-0.57	-105.1	2.29%	0	-1.9	32	0
22	Jan_6_2015	237.29	169.07	161.13	155.81			144.4(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-10000	-20	-127	5.28	22%	-0.59	-100.2	2.27%	0	-2.2	32	0
23	Jan_5_2015	238.69	171.82	164.33	159.41			150.32(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-10000	-17	-96	3.94	23%	-0.57	-99	2.25%	0	-2	31	0
24	Jan_2_2015	240.06	174.41	166.05	162.6			159.12(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-10	-91	2.64	24%	-0.72	-95.2	2.18%	0	-1.4	31	0
25	Dec_31_2014	241.79	176.62	167.26	164.45			162.88(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-11	-99	3.04	24%		-81.9	2.17%	0	-1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.