Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $288.1600 (0.08%) ($286.2500 - $289.3600) on Wed. Aug. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $288.1600(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    VWO(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $295.17
5 Day Moving Average   $288.82(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $289.24(-0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $295.17(-2.37%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2014	299.2	295.17	289.24	288.82			288.16(0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	-10000	1	-144	0.31	46%	0.01	-39.5	0.75%	0	-1.1	20	0
2	Aug_12_2014	299.18	295.72	289.91	288.7			287.92(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-45	-10000	-3	-170	0.36	46%	0	-43.9	0.77%	0	-1.2	17	0
3	Aug_11_2014	299.17	296.13	290.97	288.98			289.76(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-10000	-4	-180	0.24	46%	0.01	-52.7	0.77%	0	-1.1	24	0
4	Aug_8_2014	299.14	296.59	292.02	289.39			288.96(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-47	-10000	-1	-184	0.28	46%	0.02	-57.9	0.77%	0	-1.3	21	0
5	Aug_7_2014	299.09	297.05	293.28	289.5			289.28(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-2	-185	0.3	49%	0.01	-66.1	0.77%	0	-1.4	30	0

6	Aug_6_2014	299.06	297.76	294.57	289.75			287.6(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-10000	-14	-188	0.65	49%	0.01	-72.1	0.78%	0	-1.9	26	0
7	Aug_5_2014	299.03	298.5	296.33	291.3			289.28(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-17	-157	0.41	49%	0.03	-77.2	0.77%	0	-1.8	38	0
8	Aug_4_2014	298.94	299.33	297.78	293.27			291.84(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-16	-112	0.3	51%	0.02	-77.5	0.77%	0	-1.6	48	0
9	Aug_1_2014	298.87	300.02	299.09	295.13			289.52(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-22	-75	0.54	49%	0.02	-77	0.76%	0	-2.3	40	0
10	Jul_31_2014	298.8	300.87	300.41	297.66			290.52(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-23	-10000	-21	-28	0.6	49%	0.03	-78.2	0.77%	0	-2.6	43	0

11	Jul_30_2014	298.72	301.74	301.72	300.06			295.36(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-10000	-18	7	0.63	50%	0.03	-81.6	0.74%	0	-1.9	40	0
12	Jul_29_2014	298.63	302.5	302.14	302.05			299.12(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-8	34	0.34	53%	0.03	-65.8	0.74%	0	-0.9	47	0
13	Jul_28_2014	298.54	303.07	301.84	302.94			301.12(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-7	24	0.27	53%	0.02	-56.5	0.73%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Jul_25_2014	298.47	303.58	301.63	303.68			302.16(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	1	22	0.34	50%	0.03	-50	0.73%	0	-0.3	45	0
15	Jul_24_2014	298.37	304.02	301.17	303.6			302.56(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0.34	50%	0.04	-49.4	0.75%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Jul_23_2014	298.24	304.57	301.19	303.62			305.28(0.55%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	8	-10000	12	-6	0.28	52%	0.03	-43.2	0.74%	0	0.1	45	0
17	Jul_22_2014	298.15	304.9	300.76	302.26			303.6(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	15	-48	0.19	48%	0.01	-47.8	0.74%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	Jul_21_2014	298.12	305.35	300.86	300.54			304.8(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	11	-86	0.43	48%	0.04	-54	0.77%	0	-0.1	39	0
19	Jul_18_2014	298.01	305.79	300.83	299.3			301.76(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	8	-123	0.42	46%	0.03	-56.3	0.76%	0	-0.7	32	0
20	Jul_17_2014	297.92	306.35	301.19	298.4			302.64(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0.81	46%	0.03	-60.3	0.76%	0	-0.6	33	0

21	Jul_16_2014	297.83	306.81	301.58	298.51			298.48(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-10000	-5	-179	0.52	42%	0.02	-55.5	0.74%	0	-1.4	21	0
22	Jul_15_2014	297.77	307.51	302.77	299.12			295.04(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-61	-10000	-19	-186	0.55	39%	0	-51.3	0.73%	0	-2.1	18	0
23	Jul_14_2014	297.77	308.47	304.38	301.2			298.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-10000	-13	-166	0.77	41%	0.02	-40.8	0.71%	0	-1.9	20	0
24	Jul_11_2014	297.72	309.23	305.71	302.56			297.28(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-16	-156	0.62	41%	0.01	-26.3	0.71%	0	-2.5	15	0
25	Jul_10_2014	297.69	310.05	307.21	304.3			303.2(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-8	-139	0.46	46%		-5.6	0.67%	0	-1.8	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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