Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $303.6000 (-0.39%) ($302.8800 - $304.5600) on Tue. Jul. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $303.6000(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    XLB(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $304.9
5 Day Moving Average   $302.26(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $300.76(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $304.9(-0.43%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2014	298.15	304.9	300.76	302.26			303.6(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	15	-48	0.19	48%	0.01	-47.8	0.74%	0	-0.2	38	0
2	Jul_21_2014	298.12	305.35	300.86	300.54			304.8(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	11	-86	0.43	48%	0.04	-54	0.77%	0	-0.1	39	0
3	Jul_18_2014	298.01	305.79	300.83	299.3			301.76(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	8	-123	0.42	46%	0.03	-56.3	0.76%	0	-0.7	32	0
4	Jul_17_2014	297.92	306.35	301.19	298.4			302.64(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0.81	46%	0.03	-60.3	0.76%	0	-0.6	33	0
5	Jul_16_2014	297.83	306.81	301.58	298.51			298.48(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-49	-10000	-5	-179	0.52	42%	0.02	-55.5	0.74%	0	-1.4	21	0

6	Jul_15_2014	297.77	307.51	302.77	299.12			295.04(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-61	-10000	-19	-186	0.55	39%	0	-51.3	0.73%	0	-2.1	18	0
7	Jul_14_2014	297.77	308.47	304.38	301.2			298.56(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-10000	-13	-166	0.77	41%	0.02	-40.8	0.71%	0	-1.9	20	0
8	Jul_11_2014	297.72	309.23	305.71	302.56			297.28(-1.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-16	-156	0.62	41%	0.01	-26.3	0.71%	0	-2.5	15	0
9	Jul_10_2014	297.69	310.05	307.21	304.3			303.2(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-8	-139	0.46	46%	0.03	-5.6	0.67%	0	-1.8	26	0
10	Jul_9_2014	297.61	310.26	308.3	305.1			301.52(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-10000	-18	-129	0.73	46%	0.03	7.8	0.66%	0	-2.4	25	0

11	Jul_8_2014	297.53	310.56	309.47	306.98			305.44(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-11	-98	0.3	56%	0.03	32.7	0.65%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Jul_7_2014	297.45	310.62	310.27	308.1			305.36(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10000	-12	-79	0.18	56%	0.1	50.5	0.68%	0	-1.7	28	0
13	Jul_3_2014	297.15	310.48	311.21	309.39			306(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-11	-54	0.18	58%	0.07	47.4	0.69%	0	-1.1	31	0
14	Jul_2_2014	296.95	310.28	311.96	310.54			307.2(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-13	-37	0.33	58%	0.07	47.3	0.69%	0	-0.7	35	0
15	Jul_1_2014	296.73	309.99	312.51	311.97			310.88(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	3	0.3	55%	0.09	51.9	0.67%	0	0.2	67	0

16	Jun_30_2014	296.47	309.54	312.64	312.34			311.04(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-4	23	0.23	55%	0.09	47.1	0.72%	0	0.3	66	0
17	Jun_27_2014	296.2	309.04	312.88	312.78			311.84(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-5	49	0.2	58%	0.11	44.1	0.72%	0	0.5	70	0
18	Jun_26_2014	295.87	308.54	313.01	313.33			311.76(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-2	87	0.25	58%	0.12	44.7	0.73%	0	0.6	77	0
19	Jun_25_2014	295.52	308.12	313.11	313.58			314.32(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	4	126	0.26	60%	0.13	45.6	0.73%	0	1.1	85	0
20	Jun_24_2014	295.15	307.47	312.34	313.14			312.72(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	1	135	0.24	60%	0.13	46	0.73%	0	1	84	0

21	Jun_23_2014	294.78	307.07	311.74	312.98			313.28(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	0	148	0.27	60%	0.12	51.1	0.73%	0	1.2	81	0
22	Jun_20_2014	294.42	306.65	311	312.99			314.56(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	3	166	0.34	60%	0.12	60.4	0.73%	0	1.5	86	0
23	Jun_19_2014	294.06	306.09	309.68	312.67			313.04(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	1	164	0.3	60%	0.12	70.4	0.73%	0	1.4	79	0
24	Jun_18_2014	293.7	305.6	308.47	312.59			312.08(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	11	164	0.28	63%	0.12	82	0.73%	0	1.4	70	0
25	Jun_17_2014	293.35	304.99	307.3	311.38			311.92(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	10	143	0.27	60%		81.5	0.74%	0	1.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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