Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $312.0800 (0.05%) ($310.8800 - $313.6000) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $312.0800(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    XLB(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $312.59(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $308.47(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $305.6(2.12%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	293.7	305.6	308.47	312.59			312.08(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	11	164	0.28	63%	0.12	82	0.73%	0	1.4	70	0
2	Jun_17_2014	293.35	304.99	307.3	311.38			311.92(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	10	143	0.27	60%	0.13	81.5	0.74%	0	1.6	73	0
3	Jun_16_2014	292.96	304.34	306.22	310.24			313.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	14	119	0.23	60%	0.13	84.4	0.75%	0	2.1	63	0
4	Jun_13_2014	292.59	303.54	304.87	308.66			312.96(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	21	88	0.37	60%	0.12	89.2	0.75%	0	2.4	62	0
5	Jun_12_2014	292.23	302.69	303.65	306.24			312.64(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	-10000	22	48	0.73	56%	0.13	84.9	0.75%	0	2.8	64	0

6	Jun_11_2014	291.86	301.9	302.6	303.79			306(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	11	7	0.15	48%	0.12	89.7	0.73%	0	1.4	54	0
7	Jun_10_2014	291.51	301.42	302.12	302.61			306.24(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	9	-8	0.22	45%	0.05	87.9	0.75%	0	1.6	63	0
8	Jun_9_2014	291.36	300.76	301.92	301.58			305.44(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	9	-9	0.38	45%	0.13	76.4	0.77%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Jun_6_2014	290.99	300.07	301.85	300.54			300.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	0.13	41%	0.11	62.6	0.75%	0	0.2	60	0
10	Jun_5_2014	290.66	299.66	302.16	300.66			300.4(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.16	37%	0.11	61	0.76%	0	0.2	63	0

11	Jun_4_2014	290.35	299.31	302.51	301.23			300.08(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-2	30	0.21	35%	0.13	64.6	0.81%	0	0.2	58	0
12	Jun_3_2014	289.98	298.82	302.57	301.5			301.12(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-6	41	0.15	41%	0.14	56.3	0.83%	0	0.5	63	0
13	Jun_2_2014	289.58	298.26	302.42	302.3			300.24(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-8	63	0.39	41%	0.12	53.2	0.87%	0	0.4	69	0
14	May_30_2014	289.23	297.79	302.25	303.34			301.44(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	94	0.16	41%	0.13	54.7	0.87%	0	0.7	74	0
15	May_29_2014	288.85	297.2	301.8	303.87			303.28(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-1	113	0.15	41%	0.14	50	0.87%	0	1.1	76	0

16	May_28_2014	288.46	296.56	301.24	303.98			301.44(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	2	128	0.24	41%	0.12	48.1	0.88%	0	0.9	71	0
17	May_27_2014	288.12	296.16	300.77	303.73			305.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	9	147	0.14	42%	0.19	46.2	0.86%	0	1.6	85	0
18	May_23_2014	287.56	295.54	299.55	302.51			305.44(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	12	145	0.32	42%	0.11	37.7	0.85%	0	2	87	0
19	May_22_2014	287.24	294.87	298.14	300.99			304.08(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	12	130	0.43	42%	0.06	24.2	0.85%	0	2.1	80	0
20	May_21_2014	287.06	294.42	296.91	299.44			303.84(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	37	-10000	10	116	0.57	42%	0.08	12.2	0.86%	0	2.4	81	0

21	May_20_2014	286.84	293.93	295.75	298.16			300.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	6	106	0.17	40%	0.06	-1.8	0.85%	0	1.9	72	0
22	May_19_2014	286.68	293.67	294.69	297.39			299.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	10	90	0.21	40%	0.05	-12.4	0.85%	0	1.6	59	0
23	May_16_2014	286.55	293.71	293.7	296.13			297.84(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	10	63	0.2	44%	0.05	-19.3	0.88%	0	1.3	58	0
24	May_15_2014	286.42	293.81	292.93	294.8			296.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	7	40	0.17	44%	0.03	-23.5	0.89%	0	0.7	57	0
25	May_14_2014	286.32	293.95	292.22	293.92			297.44(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	14	0.32	44%		-26.2	0.89%	0	0.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.