Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $312.6400 (2.17%) ($309.6800 - $312.8800) on Thu. Jun. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $312.6400(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    XLE(63%)    OIH(60%)    VT(35%)    XLB(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $306.24(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $303.65(2.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $302.69(3.29%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2014	292.23	302.69	303.65	306.24			312.64(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	29	-10000	22	48	0.73	56%	0.13	84.9	0.75%	0	2.8	64	0
2	Jun_11_2014	291.86	301.9	302.6	303.79			306(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	11	7	0.15	48%	0.12	89.7	0.73%	0	1.4	54	0
3	Jun_10_2014	291.51	301.42	302.12	302.61			306.24(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	9	-8	0.22	45%	0.05	87.9	0.75%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Jun_9_2014	291.36	300.76	301.92	301.58			305.44(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	9	-9	0.38	45%	0.13	76.4	0.77%	0	1.4	64	0
5	Jun_6_2014	290.99	300.07	301.85	300.54			300.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	0.13	41%	0.11	62.6	0.75%	0	0.2	60	0

6	Jun_5_2014	290.66	299.66	302.16	300.66			300.4(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.16	37%	0.11	61	0.76%	0	0.2	63	0
7	Jun_4_2014	290.35	299.31	302.51	301.23			300.08(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-2	30	0.21	35%	0.13	64.6	0.81%	0	0.2	58	0
8	Jun_3_2014	289.98	298.82	302.57	301.5			301.12(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-6	41	0.15	41%	0.14	56.3	0.83%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Jun_2_2014	289.58	298.26	302.42	302.3			300.24(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-8	63	0.39	41%	0.12	53.2	0.87%	0	0.4	69	0
10	May_30_2014	289.23	297.79	302.25	303.34			301.44(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	94	0.16	41%	0.13	54.7	0.87%	0	0.7	74	0

11	May_29_2014	288.85	297.2	301.8	303.87			303.28(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-1	113	0.15	41%	0.14	50	0.87%	0	1.1	76	0
12	May_28_2014	288.46	296.56	301.24	303.98			301.44(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	2	128	0.24	41%	0.12	48.1	0.88%	0	0.9	71	0
13	May_27_2014	288.12	296.16	300.77	303.73			305.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	9	147	0.14	42%	0.19	46.2	0.86%	0	1.6	85	0
14	May_23_2014	287.56	295.54	299.55	302.51			305.44(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	12	145	0.32	42%	0.11	37.7	0.85%	0	2	87	0
15	May_22_2014	287.24	294.87	298.14	300.99			304.08(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	12	130	0.43	42%	0.06	24.2	0.85%	0	2.1	80	0

16	May_21_2014	287.06	294.42	296.91	299.44			303.84(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	37	-10000	10	116	0.57	42%	0.08	12.2	0.86%	0	2.4	81	0
17	May_20_2014	286.84	293.93	295.75	298.16			300.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	6	106	0.17	40%	0.06	-1.8	0.85%	0	1.9	72	0
18	May_19_2014	286.68	293.67	294.69	297.39			299.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	10	90	0.21	40%	0.05	-12.4	0.85%	0	1.6	59	0
19	May_16_2014	286.55	293.71	293.7	296.13			297.84(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	10	63	0.2	44%	0.05	-19.3	0.88%	0	1.3	58	0
20	May_15_2014	286.42	293.81	292.93	294.8			296.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	7	40	0.17	44%	0.03	-23.5	0.89%	0	0.7	57	0

21	May_14_2014	286.32	293.95	292.22	293.92			297.44(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	14	0.32	44%	0.05	-26.2	0.89%	0	0.9	49	0
22	May_13_2014	286.18	293.98	291.48	292.99			296.32(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	11	-6	0.28	44%	0.05	-27.9	0.89%	0	0.6	50	0
23	May_12_2014	286.04	294.08	291.14	291.63			292.72(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	6	-31	0.19	42%	0.03	-27.1	0.88%	0	-0.3	40	0
24	May_9_2014	285.95	294.31	291.19	290.91			291.2(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	1	-60	0.19	42%	0.03	-25.2	0.86%	0	-0.8	27	0
25	May_8_2014	285.86	294.63	291.33	290.74			291.92(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	4	-79	0.16	42%		-17.9	0.87%	0	-0.7	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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