Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $276.0800 (1.14%) ($272.0000 - $276.0800) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $276.0800(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $285.1
5 Day Moving Average   $282.86(-2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $285.5(-3.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $285.1(-3.16%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2012	271.05	285.1	285.5	282.86			276.08(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-11	-14	1.07	47%	-0.16	-25.2	1.95%	0	-1.9	47	0
2	Sep_19_2012	271.49	285.82	286.23	286.06			272.96(-4.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.1	-8	-10000	-11	3	2.72	47%	-0.18	2	2.01%	0	-3	42	0
3	Sep_18_2012	271.98	286.62	287.57	289.14			284.56(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-3	24	1.01	51%	-0.12	42.6	1.94%	0	-0.7	49	0
4	Sep_17_2012	272.32	286.74	287.59	290			286(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	7	-10000	-1	30	3.11	51%	-0.11	65.4	1.94%	0	-0.2	52	0
5	Sep_14_2012	272.63	286.82	287.72	290.16			294.72(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	-10000	6	37	0.92	57%	-0.08	80.4	1.9%	0	2.6	63	0

6	Sep_13_2012	272.85	286.27	286.43	288.62			292.08(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	7	24	1.2	57%	-0.09	92	1.91%	0	2.3	58	0
7	Sep_12_2012	273.09	285.73	285.49	286.58			288.32(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	3	4	0.72	59%	-0.09	80.2	1.92%	0	1.1	46	0
8	Sep_11_2012	273.34	285.3	285.24	285.82			288.88(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	4	-2	0.73	55%	-0.09	64.8	1.93%	0	1.4	50	0
9	Sep_10_2012	273.58	284.75	284.8	284.86			286.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-10000	-0	-11	0.54	55%	-0.11	50.5	1.99%	0	0.7	50	0
10	Sep_7_2012	273.87	284.36	284.63	284.93			287.04(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	4	-11	1.3	54%	-0.09	56.6	1.99%	0	0.8	48	0

11	Sep_6_2012	274.12	283.99	284.49	283.94			281.84(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-1	-18	1.58	54%	-0.11	72.6	1.98%	0	-0.6	47	0
12	Sep_5_2012	274.43	283.89	285.27	284.18			284.56(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-9	0.85	54%	-0.12	90.2	1.98%	0	0.2	57	0
13	Sep_4_2012	274.77	283.64	285.58	284.53			284.08(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.82	54%	-0.25	113.4	1.98%	0	0.1	60	0
14	Aug_31_2012	275.45	283.25	285.84	284.69			287.12(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	1	11	1.03	50%	-0.11	100.6	2.02%	0	0.9	68	0
15	Aug_30_2012	275.74	282.55	285.86	284.35			282.08(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-3	16	0.64	47%	-0.11	73.3	2.02%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Aug_29_2012	276.04	281.6	286.16	285.15			283.04(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	25	0.95	47%	-0.09	64.7	2.07%	0	0.2	59	0
17	Aug_28_2012	276.29	280.79	286.09	286.5			286.32(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	37	0.7	47%	-0.09	61.4	2.06%	0	0.7	67	0
18	Aug_27_2012	276.55	279.61	285.46	286.8			284.88(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	40	0.93	47%	0.03	59.6	2.08%	0	0.6	64	0
19	Aug_24_2012	276.47	278.77	284.79	287.15			285.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	45	0.54	47%	-0.1	62.5	2.08%	0	0.8	72	0
20	Aug_23_2012	276.76	277.98	284.17	287.58			286.08(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	1	55	1.22	47%	-0.09	61.7	2.08%	0	0.9	76	0

21	Aug_22_2012	277.01	277.04	283.53	287.26			289.76(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	5	74	0.9	46%	-0.1	55.6	2.08%	0	1.5	91	0
22	Aug_21_2012	277.29	275.82	282.41	285.62			287.84(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	6	79	0.87	48%	-0.12	50.3	2.09%	0	1.4	79	0
23	Aug_20_2012	277.62	274.66	281.51	283.92			286.64(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	6	88	0.66	48%	-0.1	45.5	2.1%	0	1.5	81	0
24	Aug_17_2012	277.9	273.51	280.38	282.05			287.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	6	86	0.64	46%	-0.1	41.5	2.12%	0	1.8	70	0
25	Aug_16_2012	278.17	272.73	278.86	280.29			284.48(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	3	80	0.89	46%		46.5	2.11%	0	1.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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