Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $284.5600 (0.17%) ($280.7200 - $284.7200) on Wed. Sep. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $284.5600(0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    TIP(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $284.18(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $285.27(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $283.89(0.24%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2012	274.43	283.89	285.27	284.18			284.56(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-9	0.85	54%	-0.12	90.2	1.98%	0	0.2	57	0
2	Sep_4_2012	274.77	283.64	285.58	284.53			284.08(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.82	54%	-0.25	113.4	1.98%	0	0.1	60	0
3	Aug_31_2012	275.45	283.25	285.84	284.69			287.12(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	1	11	1.03	50%	-0.11	100.6	2.02%	0	0.9	68	0
4	Aug_30_2012	275.74	282.55	285.86	284.35			282.08(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-3	16	0.64	47%	-0.11	73.3	2.02%	0	-0.1	59	0
5	Aug_29_2012	276.04	281.6	286.16	285.15			283.04(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	25	0.95	47%	-0.09	64.7	2.07%	0	0.2	59	0

6	Aug_28_2012	276.29	280.79	286.09	286.5			286.32(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	37	0.7	47%	-0.09	61.4	2.06%	0	0.7	67	0
7	Aug_27_2012	276.55	279.61	285.46	286.8			284.88(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	40	0.93	47%	0.03	59.6	2.08%	0	0.6	64	0
8	Aug_24_2012	276.47	278.77	284.79	287.15			285.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	45	0.54	47%	-0.1	62.5	2.08%	0	0.8	72	0
9	Aug_23_2012	276.76	277.98	284.17	287.58			286.08(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	1	55	1.22	47%	-0.09	61.7	2.08%	0	0.9	76	0
10	Aug_22_2012	277.01	277.04	283.53	287.26			289.76(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	5	74	0.9	46%	-0.1	55.6	2.08%	0	1.5	91	0

11	Aug_21_2012	277.29	275.82	282.41	285.62			287.84(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	6	79	0.87	48%	-0.12	50.3	2.09%	0	1.4	79	0
12	Aug_20_2012	277.62	274.66	281.51	283.92			286.64(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	6	88	0.66	48%	-0.1	45.5	2.1%	0	1.5	81	0
13	Aug_17_2012	277.9	273.51	280.38	282.05			287.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	6	86	0.64	46%	-0.1	41.5	2.12%	0	1.8	70	0
14	Aug_16_2012	278.17	272.73	278.86	280.29			284.48(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	3	80	0.89	46%	-0.14	46.5	2.11%	0	1.7	65	0
15	Aug_15_2012	278.55	272.26	276.6	279.28			281.52(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	70	0.98	46%	-0.16	59.8	2.11%	0	1.4	65	0

16	Aug_14_2012	279	271.62	275.03	278.77			279.36(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	0	67	0.54	45%	-0.17	69.1	2.11%	0	1.2	65	0
17	Aug_13_2012	279.48	270.98	273.32	278.75			277.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	65	0.51	45%	-0.18	82.7	2.12%	0	1	64	0
18	Aug_10_2012	279.97	270.36	272.35	278.37			278.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	4	70	0.44	45%	-0.15	86.1	2.12%	0	1.4	67	0
19	Aug_9_2012	280.4	269.49	271.35	277.12			279.44(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	13	63	0.35	45%	-0.17	85.6	2.12%	0	1.6	54	0
20	Aug_8_2012	280.87	268.4	270.07	273.39			278.96(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	9	31	0.76	45%	-0.16	68.7	2.12%	0	1.7	49	0

21	Aug_7_2012	281.32	267.37	268.67	270.67			279.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	13	13	0.85	45%	-0.18	50.6	2.13%	0	1.8	57	0
22	Aug_6_2012	281.84	266.02	267.16	267.1			275.36(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	5	-13	0.84	45%	-0.19	38.4	2.12%	0	1.5	57	0
23	Aug_3_2012	282.38	265.11	265.96	265.55			272.56(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	1.49	41%	-0.18	33.2	2.17%	0	1.2	57	0
24	Aug_2_2012	282.89	264.14	265.9	264.91			260.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-5	-20	1.04	38%	-0.23	44.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	52	0
25	Aug_1_2012	283.53	264.18	267.49	266.21			265.36(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	8	1.11	38%		64.5	2.1%	0	0.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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