Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $289.7600 (0.67%) ($287.2800 - $290.4000) on Wed. Aug. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $289.7600(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    TIP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $287.26(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $283.53(2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $277.04(4.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.15% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2012	277.01	277.04	283.53	287.26			289.76(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	5	74	0.9	46%	-0.1	55.6	2.08%	0	1.5	91	0
2	Aug_21_2012	277.29	275.82	282.41	285.62			287.84(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	6	79	0.87	48%	-0.12	50.3	2.09%	0	1.4	79	0
3	Aug_20_2012	277.62	274.66	281.51	283.92			286.64(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	6	88	0.66	48%	-0.1	45.5	2.1%	0	1.5	81	0
4	Aug_17_2012	277.9	273.51	280.38	282.05			287.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	6	86	0.64	46%	-0.1	41.5	2.12%	0	1.8	70	0
5	Aug_16_2012	278.17	272.73	278.86	280.29			284.48(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	3	80	0.89	46%	-0.14	46.5	2.11%	0	1.7	65	0

6	Aug_15_2012	278.55	272.26	276.6	279.28			281.52(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	70	0.98	46%	-0.16	59.8	2.11%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Aug_14_2012	279	271.62	275.03	278.77			279.36(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	0	67	0.54	45%	-0.17	69.1	2.11%	0	1.2	65	0
8	Aug_13_2012	279.48	270.98	273.32	278.75			277.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	65	0.51	45%	-0.18	82.7	2.12%	0	1	64	0
9	Aug_10_2012	279.97	270.36	272.35	278.37			278.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	4	70	0.44	45%	-0.15	86.1	2.12%	0	1.4	67	0
10	Aug_9_2012	280.4	269.49	271.35	277.12			279.44(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	13	63	0.35	45%	-0.17	85.6	2.12%	0	1.6	54	0

11	Aug_8_2012	280.87	268.4	270.07	273.39			278.96(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	9	31	0.76	45%	-0.16	68.7	2.12%	0	1.7	49	0
12	Aug_7_2012	281.32	267.37	268.67	270.67			279.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	13	13	0.85	45%	-0.18	50.6	2.13%	0	1.8	57	0
13	Aug_6_2012	281.84	266.02	267.16	267.1			275.36(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	5	-13	0.84	45%	-0.19	38.4	2.12%	0	1.5	57	0
14	Aug_3_2012	282.38	265.11	265.96	265.55			272.56(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	1.49	41%	-0.18	33.2	2.17%	0	1.2	57	0
15	Aug_2_2012	282.89	264.14	265.9	264.91			260.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-5	-20	1.04	38%	-0.23	44.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	52	0

16	Aug_1_2012	283.53	264.18	267.49	266.21			265.36(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	8	1.11	38%	-0.22	64.5	2.1%	0	0.2	60	0
17	Jul_31_2012	284.15	264.08	267.91	266.27			261.44(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	18	1.14	38%	-0.23	84.6	2.1%	0	-0.4	56	0
18	Jul_30_2012	284.81	263.66	268.57	267.02			267.6(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	40	0.65	39%	-0.22	90.6	2.1%	0	0.6	69	0
19	Jul_27_2012	285.43	263.03	268.35	266.3			269.36(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-3	42	0.73	39%	-0.21	95.8	2.1%	0	0.9	63	0
20	Jul_26_2012	286.02	261.47	267.62	267.15			267.28(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-7	55	0.7	39%	-0.2	78.5	2.09%	0	0.7	65	0

21	Jul_25_2012	286.6	260.25	266.75	269.12			265.68(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-3	68	1.11	39%	-0.2	77.7	2.09%	0	0.6	54	0
22	Jul_24_2012	287.17	258.97	266.14	269.89			265.2(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-1	70	1.05	39%	-0.22	67.1	2.09%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Jul_23_2012	287.81	257.69	264.98	270.26			264(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-1	75	1.22	39%	-0.22	59.5	2.09%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Jul_20_2012	288.44	256.58	264.39	270.45			273.6(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	86	1.06	41%	-0.21	53.5	2.05%	0	1.4	64	0
25	Jul_19_2012	289.06	254.68	262.3	268.02			277.12(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	14	93	1.49	41%		40.7	2.05%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.