Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $315.1200 (1.1%) ($312.9200 - $316.8800) on Fri. Apr. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $315.1200(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $315.77
5 Day Moving Average   $313.95(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $313.11(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $315.77(-0.21%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2012	313.33	315.77	313.11	313.95			315.12(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.67	50%	0.02	-54.3	1.2%	0	-0.1	51	0
2	Apr_19_2012	313.26	316.05	312.97	313.57			311.68(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.69	50%	0	-56.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	48	0
3	Apr_18_2012	313.25	316.71	312.91	314.34			312.4(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.64	50%	0.02	-49.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	41	0
4	Apr_17_2012	313.2	317.25	313.36	314.27			317.12(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	10	-29	0.68	52%	0.05	-52.3	1.22%	0	-0	40	0
5	Apr_16_2012	313.05	317.85	313.56	312.46			313.44(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-57	0.72	52%	0.05	-51.8	1.22%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Apr_13_2012	312.89	318.56	313.6	312.13			313.2(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-78	0.51	52%	0	-52	1.23%	0	-0.8	37	0
7	Apr_12_2012	312.88	319.03	313.71	312.3			315.52(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	5	-85	0.72	49%	0.06	-55.3	1.23%	0	-0.6	44	0
8	Apr_11_2012	312.69	319.42	314.21	311.34			312.08(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-101	1.03	49%	0.03	-61.6	1.26%	0	-1.2	37	0
9	Apr_10_2012	312.59	320.16	315.49	312.38			308.08(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-12	-95	0.83	47%	0.03	-54.4	1.25%	0	-1.9	35	0
10	Apr_9_2012	312.51	321.08	317.29	314.82			311.76(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-78	0.72	47%	0.05	-50.6	1.25%	0	-1.6	32	0

11	Apr_5_2012	312.35	321.94	318.65	315.23			314.08(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-0	-80	0.53	47%	0	-49.7	1.23%	0	-1.5	37	0
12	Apr_4_2012	312.35	322.59	319.39	315.28			310.72(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-11	-87	1.09	47%	0.01	-59.2	1.24%	0	-2.4	41	0
13	Apr_3_2012	312.32	323.36	320.9	317.44			317.28(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-9	-68	0.63	55%	0.05	-59.8	1.21%	0	-1.4	45	0
14	Apr_2_2012	312.17	323.6	321.54	319.12			320.24(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.96	55%	0.05	-57	1.31%	0	-0.8	44	0
15	Mar_30_2012	312.02	323.97	322.48	320.3			313.84(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.74	53%	0.04	-52.4	1.3%	0	-2.5	38	0

16	Mar_29_2012	311.89	324.64	323.97	322.64			314.32(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-10	-10000	-6	-23	1.6	53%	0.06	-50	1.3%	0	-2.6	36	0
17	Mar_28_2012	311.7	325.63	324.9	324			321.52(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-4	-18	1.23	56%	0.07	-47.4	1.27%	0	-1.3	45	0
18	Mar_27_2012	311.47	325.94	325.14	324.75			325.68(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.93	59%	0.1	-38.9	1.28%	0	-0.1	51	0
19	Mar_26_2012	311.17	325.97	325.21	324.3			326.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	0.54	59%	0.12	-40.2	1.29%	0	0.1	57	0
20	Mar_23_2012	310.81	326.12	325.14	325.14			325.52(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	2.2	59%	0.12	-13.3	1.31%	0	-0.2	48	0

21	Mar_22_2012	310.45	326.6	325.42	325.68			321.12(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-0	-10000	-1	2	1.33	57%	0.12	17.2	1.3%	0	-1.4	45	0
22	Mar_21_2012	310.07	326.6	326.01	325.9			325.28(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	2	-4	1.05	57%	0.15	41.8	1.28%	0	-0.5	40	0
23	Mar_20_2012	309.62	327.1	325.99	325.5			323.44(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-13	1.22	61%	0.13	56.4	1.3%	0	-1	47	0
24	Mar_19_2012	309.23	327.19	325.83	326.14			330.32(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	4	-11	0.72	65%	0.14	81.8	1.34%	0	0.9	54	0
25	Mar_16_2012	308.79	326.61	325.5	325.2			328.24(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-0	-23	1.08	65%		82.3	1.34%	0	0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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