Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $300.7200 (-1.42%) ($296.8000 - $301.8400) on Mon. Jul. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $300.7200(-1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $303.28(-0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $303.24(-0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $298.38(0.78%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2011	323.39	298.38	303.24	303.28			300.72(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	2	43	1.07	34%	-0.05	7.8	2.1%	0	0.4	66	0
2	Jul_15_2011	323.56	298.01	302.98	302.8			305.04(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	2	50	1.21	34%	-0.02	-7.8	2.11%	0	1.1	68	0
3	Jul_14_2011	323.63	297.67	302.29	302.27			300.4(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-5	55	1.37	34%	-0.06	-25.4	2.1%	0	0.4	63	0
4	Jul_13_2011	323.81	297.65	302.1	303.97			306.8(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	2	69	1.33	34%	-0	-31	2.1%	0	1.4	58	0
5	Jul_12_2011	323.82	297.81	300.6	303.23			303.44(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	-0	63	1.4	32%	-0.06	-31.5	2.1%	0	0.8	58	0

6	Jul_11_2011	324.03	297.87	298.88	303.28			298.32(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	15	-10000	1	58	1.06	30%	0.02	-35.2	2.11%	0	0.1	55	0
7	Jul_8_2011	323.96	298.5	297.82	303.06			302.4(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	3	52	1.15	33%	0.05	-35.9	2.15%	0	0.5	60	0
8	Jul_7_2011	323.81	299.3	296.42	302.16			308.88(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	7	40	1.71	33%	0.08	-31.5	2.16%	0	1	57	0
9	Jul_6_2011	323.56	299.64	295.05	299.95			303.12(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	7	26	0.95	33%	0.06	-34.7	2.16%	0	0.4	51	0
10	Jul_5_2011	323.35	300.02	294.07	297.6			303.68(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	12	-0	1.1	33%	0.16	-44.9	2.16%	0	0.4	39	0

11	Jul_1_2011	322.83	300.36	292.96	293.89			297.2(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	7	-33	1.26	31%	0.02	-54.3	2.12%	0	-0.3	41	0
12	Jun_30_2011	322.78	301.29	292.5	291.74			297.92(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	6	-61	1.23	33%	0.02	-57.8	2.14%	0	-0.3	37	0
13	Jun_29_2011	322.72	302.21	292.51	289.78			297.84(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-22	-10000	1	-92	1.98	33%	0.02	-62	2.14%	0	-0.4	32	0
14	Jun_28_2011	322.67	303.09	292.64	289.57			291.36(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-2	-112	1.22	31%	-0.01	-58.9	2.12%	0	-1	29	0
15	Jun_27_2011	322.69	304.69	294.61	290.16			285.12(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-6	-113	0.91	29%	-0.04	-52.9	2.11%	0	-1.6	31	0

16	Jun_24_2011	322.83	306.37	296.72	291.89			286.48(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-4	-110	1.5	29%	-0.06	-52	2.11%	0	-1.7	32	0
17	Jun_23_2011	323.01	307.95	299.3	293.2			288.08(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-7	-110	3.16	29%	-0.06	-51.4	2.11%	0	-1.9	30	0
18	Jun_22_2011	323.19	309.58	302.53	295.46			296.8(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-3	-97	1.12	32%	-0.02	-48.9	2.08%	0	-1.3	33	0
19	Jun_21_2011	323.27	310.51	304.65	296.22			294.32(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-12	-95	1.22	32%	-0.05	-46.9	2.1%	0	-1.7	32	0
20	Jun_20_2011	323.42	311.29	306.52	299.92			293.76(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-8	-85	0.85	32%	-0.02	-39.9	2.1%	0	-2	28	0

21	Jun_17_2011	323.49	312.48	308.46	302.38			293.04(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-12	-81	1.66	35%	0.02	-36.9	2.1%	0	-2.5	34	0
22	Jun_16_2011	323.43	313.57	310.99	306.29			299.36(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-13	-62	1.32	36%	0.01	-29.4	2.11%	0	-2.3	38	0
23	Jun_15_2011	323.39	314.47	312.88	310.64			300.64(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-11	-42	2.54	34%	0.03	-11.4	2.11%	0	-2.6	37	0
24	Jun_14_2011	323.28	314.97	314.55	314.27			312.8(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	0	-19	1.05	36%	0.06	-10.8	2.11%	0	-0.5	50	0
25	Jun_13_2011	323.1	314.79	315.6	314.19			306.08(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-5	-10000	-4	-8	1.59	34%		-29.3	2.09%	0	-1.9	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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