Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $299.3600 (-0.43%) ($297.6000 - $300.9600) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $299.3600(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $313.57
5 Day Moving Average   $306.29(-2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $310.99(-3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $313.57(-4.53%)
To recent high   -17.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2011	323.43	313.57	310.99	306.29			299.36(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-13	-62	1.32	36%	0.01	-29.4	2.11%	0	-2.3	38	0
2	Jun_15_2011	323.39	314.47	312.88	310.64			300.64(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-11	-42	2.54	34%	0.03	-11.4	2.11%	0	-2.6	37	0
3	Jun_14_2011	323.28	314.97	314.55	314.27			312.8(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	0	-19	1.05	36%	0.06	-10.8	2.11%	0	-0.5	50	0
4	Jun_13_2011	323.1	314.79	315.6	314.19			306.08(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-5	-10000	-4	-8	1.59	34%	0.02	-29.3	2.09%	0	-1.9	52	0
5	Jun_10_2011	323.04	315.3	316.86	315.38			312.56(-2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-3	-0	1.45	33%	0.04	-20.3	2.08%	0	-0.7	49	0

6	Jun_9_2011	322.92	315.41	317.34	316.32			321.12(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	2	10	1.11	34%	0.04	-14.5	2.07%	0	1.4	58	0
7	Jun_8_2011	322.79	315.06	317.11	315.58			318.8(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	2	9	2.27	34%	0.03	-56.5	2.07%	0	1	52	0
8	Jun_7_2011	322.7	315.46	316.66	315.06			312.4(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-7	8	1.16	34%	-0.03	-70.8	2.05%	0	-0.6	55	0
9	Jun_6_2011	322.8	315.46	316.34	317.38			312(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-3	22	1.38	34%	0	-78.9	2.05%	0	-0.8	55	0
10	Jun_3_2011	322.8	316.14	316.77	318.51			317.28(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	0	30	1.49	37%	0.03	-112.7	2.07%	0	0.2	51	0

11	Jun_2_2011	322.71	316.01	316.33	318.42			317.44(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	28	1.96	40%	0.02	-149.1	2.07%	0	0.3	53	0
12	Jun_1_2011	322.66	317.27	316.18	318.82			316.16(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	1	32	1.56	43%	0.02	-102.6	2.09%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	May_31_2011	322.6	318.92	315.47	318.43			324(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	10	18	1.29	39%	0.12	-79.2	2.1%	0	0.4	44	0
14	May_27_2011	322.2	320.46	313.85	315.18			317.68(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	1	-18	0.94	44%	0.05	-60.1	2.1%	0	-0.2	41	0
15	May_26_2011	322.03	322.44	313.56	314.8			316.8(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	3	-16	1.55	44%	0.03	-54.9	2.11%	0	-0.3	55	0

16	May_25_2011	321.94	324.38	313.26	313.95			319.44(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	2	-21	2.45	46%	0.05	-51.7	2.13%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	May_24_2011	321.79	326.27	312.71	313.26			314.24(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	3	-49	1.68	44%	0.01	-47.5	2.13%	0	-0.6	35	0
18	May_23_2011	321.77	328.28	313.97	312.1			307.76(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-75	2.12	47%	-0.02	-45.7	2.13%	0	-1	29	0
19	May_20_2011	321.82	330.68	315.84	312.16			315.76(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	0	-95	2.7	53%	0.03	-45	2.25%	0	-0.7	29	0
20	May_19_2011	321.71	332.69	315.42	312.11			312.56(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-1	-132	1.72	53%	0.01	-42.9	2.27%	0	-1	27	0

21	May_18_2011	321.69	334.77	315.66	312.45			316(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	1	-161	1.95	53%	0.02	-40.9	2.28%	0	-0.9	29	0
22	May_17_2011	321.64	336.22	318.37	312.21			308.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-11	-180	2.48	52%	-0	-41.4	2.26%	0	-1.4	24	0
23	May_16_2011	321.65	338.09	322.59	316.26			308.08(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-10	-166	1.91	52%	-0.04	-39.9	2.27%	0	-1.6	27	0
24	May_13_2011	321.79	340.3	327.55	320.03			315.52(0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-35	-10000	3	-148	2.57	54%	0.01	-40.3	2.22%	0	-1.4	29	0
25	May_12_2011	321.75	341.95	331.95	319.12			314.24(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-0	-150	3.78	54%		-45.8	2.24%	0	-1.6	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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