Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $314.2400 (2.11%) ($309.2000 - $316.0000) on Tue. May. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $314.2400(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(4%)    TIP(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $326.27
5 Day Moving Average   $313.26(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $312.71(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $326.27(-3.69%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 6.23% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2011	321.79	326.27	312.71	313.26			314.24(2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	3	-49	1.68	44%	0.01	-47.5	2.13%	0	-0.6	35	0
2	May_23_2011	321.77	328.28	313.97	312.1			307.76(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-75	2.12	47%	-0.02	-45.7	2.13%	0	-1	29	0
3	May_20_2011	321.82	330.68	315.84	312.16			315.76(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	0	-95	2.7	53%	0.03	-45	2.25%	0	-0.7	29	0
4	May_19_2011	321.71	332.69	315.42	312.11			312.56(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-10000	-1	-132	1.72	53%	0.01	-42.9	2.27%	0	-1	27	0
5	May_18_2011	321.69	334.77	315.66	312.45			316(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	1	-161	1.95	53%	0.02	-40.9	2.28%	0	-0.9	29	0

6	May_17_2011	321.64	336.22	318.37	312.21			308.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-11	-180	2.48	52%	-0	-41.4	2.26%	0	-1.4	24	0
7	May_16_2011	321.65	338.09	322.59	316.26			308.08(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-10	-166	1.91	52%	-0.04	-39.9	2.27%	0	-1.6	27	0
8	May_13_2011	321.79	340.3	327.55	320.03			315.52(0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-35	-10000	3	-148	2.57	54%	0.01	-40.3	2.22%	0	-1.4	29	0
9	May_12_2011	321.75	341.95	331.95	319.12			314.24(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-0	-150	3.78	54%	0.02	-45.8	2.24%	0	-1.6	28	0
10	May_11_2011	321.7	343.51	336.36	319.18			314.8(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-17	-153	3.54	54%	0.03	-51.2	2.26%	0	-1.8	31	0

11	May_10_2011	321.61	344.89	340.94	325.44			328.64(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-13	-121	1.93	57%	0.08	-47.1	2.19%	0	-1.1	44	0
12	May_9_2011	321.36	345.99	343.68	330.24			326.96(5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-18	-96	2.77	57%	0.08	-39	2.19%	0	-1.4	44	0
13	May_6_2011	321.11	347.74	346.71	336.74			310.96(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-39	-10000	-28	-72	5.26	52%	0.03	-22.3	2.08%	0	-2.7	29	0
14	May_5_2011	321.02	349.98	351.63	346.78			314.56(-9.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3	-23	-10000	-24	-18	7.61	52%	0.03	2	2.09%	0	-3.4	34	0
15	May_4_2011	320.91	349.98	351.63	355.6			346.08(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	5	-10000	-9	45	1.8	59%	0.14	48.5	1.74%	0	-0.8	57	0

16	May_3_2011	320.47	351.82	355.98	358.42			352.64(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-2	69	2.01	61%	0.16	66.8	1.74%	0	0.1	67	0
17	May_2_2011	319.96	351.52	355.18	359.06			359.44(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	72	1.53	63%	0.19	79.4	1.72%	0	1.1	59	0
18	Apr_29_2011	319.36	350.8	354.2	358.42			361.2(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	59	0.84	65%	0.19	84.6	1.73%	0	1.5	48	0
19	Apr_28_2011	318.76	349.77	352.69	357.49			358.64(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	50	1.44	67%	0.18	86.4	1.74%	0	1.3	54	0
20	Apr_27_2011	318.2	348.53	351.06	356.51			360.16(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	42	1.55	65%	0.19	74.9	1.82%	0	1.6	58	0

21	Apr_26_2011	317.6	347.26	348.89	353.2			355.84(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	8	19	0.73	66%	0.16	61.7	1.85%	0	1.2	58	0
22	Apr_25_2011	317.08	346.06	348.12	350.64			356.24(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	6	0.83	64%	0.21	50.7	1.86%	0	1.3	57	0
23	Apr_21_2011	316.42	345.11	348.39	349.33			356.56(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	14	0.82	62%	0.19	53	1.88%	0	1.5	58	0
24	Apr_20_2011	315.82	344.07	347.79	347.26			353.76(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	13	1.56	60%	0.21	55	1.88%	0	1.3	59	0
25	Apr_19_2011	315.15	343.21	347.05	344.91			343.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	3	11	0.96	58%		60.3	1.88%	0	0.1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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