Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $340.8000 (2.26%) ($337.6000 - $341.4400) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $340.8000(2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(37%)    VWO(37%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $335.5(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $334.44(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $331.93(2.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2011	307.43	331.93	334.44	335.5			340.8(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	3	67	1.65	63%	0.12	45.1	1.81%	0	1.3	63	0
2	Mar_30_2011	307.06	331.33	332.93	334.62			333.28(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	56	0.87	60%	0.12	56.4	1.81%	0	0.3	52	0
3	Mar_29_2011	306.68	331.21	331.49	335.34			334.64(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	44	0.99	60%	0.12	67.5	1.83%	0	0.5	47	0
4	Mar_28_2011	306.32	330.69	329.65	335.5			331.36(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	2	26	1.53	60%	0.1	70.9	1.82%	0	0.1	43	0
5	Mar_25_2011	306.01	329.88	329.24	335.04			337.44(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	6	15	1.56	60%	0.13	79.3	1.8%	0	0.9	46	0

6	Mar_24_2011	305.62	328.9	327.97	333.1			336.4(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	7	-7	1.57	60%	0.14	83.8	1.81%	0	0.9	46	0
7	Mar_23_2011	305.19	327.71	327.31	330.93			336.88(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	13	-16	2.01	60%	0.16	92.3	1.83%	0	1.1	56	0
8	Mar_22_2011	304.7	326.78	327.06	327.04			335.44(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	14	-33	2.07	60%	0.16	92.5	1.83%	0	0.9	53	0
9	Mar_21_2011	304.2	325.46	327.15	322.98			329.04(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	1	-49	1.6	58%	0.16	91.8	1.82%	0	0.4	56	0
10	Mar_18_2011	303.71	323.71	328	322.63			327.76(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	2	-29	3.31	58%	0.15	72.5	1.8%	0	0.3	63	0

11	Mar_17_2011	303.25	321.9	329	322.18			325.54(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-15	1.89	58%	0.15	59.6	1.82%	0	0.3	58	0
12	Mar_16_2011	302.81	320	329.43	323.31			317.43(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-10000	-13	4	3.14	57%	0.11	52.2	1.79%	0	-0.2	58	0
13	Mar_15_2011	302.48	318.49	330.94	327.1			315.12(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-16	37	3.37	57%	0.1	51.1	1.79%	0	-0.2	51	0
14	Mar_14_2011	302.17	317.26	332.08	331.78			327.28(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-8	87	1.6	60%	0.15	54.2	1.72%	0	0.5	66	0
15	Mar_11_2011	301.72	315.4	330.95	334.11			325.52(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-9	127	3.37	60%	0.16	53.7	1.71%	0	0.5	74	0

16	Mar_10_2011	301.24	313.79	330.33	336.74			331.2(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	47	-10000	1	183	3.84	62%	0.16	54.3	1.7%	0	0.9	78	0
17	Mar_9_2011	300.76	311.83	328.55	336.38			336.4(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	58	-10000	4	219	2.14	62%	0.2	51.2	1.69%	0	1.2	83	0
18	Mar_8_2011	300.15	309.61	326.74	335.33			338.48(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	72	-10000	10	259	2.5	62%	0.17	48.9	1.69%	0	1.5	85	0
19	Mar_7_2011	299.65	307.25	323.72	332.4			338.96(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	82	-10000	18	274	3.25	62%	0.19	43.4	1.69%	0	1.7	81	0
20	Mar_4_2011	299.08	305.09	319.04	327.31			338.64(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	-10000	16	250	3.46	62%	0.17	38.6	1.69%	0	2	79	0

21	Mar_3_2011	298.56	303.19	314.07	323.07			329.44(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	-10000	13	227	2.32	60%	0.14	41.2	1.67%	0	1.7	72	0
22	Mar_2_2011	298.15	301.82	309.64	319.54			331.12(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	-10000	10	199	3.26	60%	0.16	41.5	1.67%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Mar_1_2011	297.67	300.3	304.83	316.99			323.84(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	-10000	12	179	2.73	61%	0.13	47.5	1.66%	0	1.9	70	0
24	Feb_28_2011	297.27	299.37	301.07	313.81			313.52(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	52	-10000	17	155	1.71	58%	0.08	50	1.67%	0	1.3	66	0
25	Feb_25_2011	297.02	298.63	298.52	309.28			317.44(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	-10000	23	117	2.2	58%		40.8	1.67%	0	1.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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