Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $290.8800 (0.83%) ($287.2000 - $294.1600) on Fri. Feb. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $290.8800(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $282.13(-3.01%)
Resistance Level   $293.95
5 Day Moving Average   $286.75(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $289.15(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $293.95(-1.04%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.44% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2011	295.79	293.95	289.15	286.75			290.88(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	2	-118	2.01	55%	0.04	-66	1.46%	0	-0.4	23	0
2	Feb_17_2011	295.67	294.4	289.83	286.26			288.48(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10000	-4	-126	1.64	53%	0.06	-73.2	1.48%	0	-0.8	36	0
3	Feb_16_2011	295.5	295.01	291.32	287.02			284.24(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-103	2.4	48%	0.07	-74.4	1.49%	0	-1.4	51	0
4	Feb_15_2011	295.3	296.21	293.4	288.58			283.12(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-9	-79	1.37	48%	0.06	-70.4	1.54%	0	-1.7	43	0
5	Feb_14_2011	295.13	297.55	295.57	290.58			287.04(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-5	-47	1.74	48%	0.07	-65.7	1.53%	0	-1.5	50	0

6	Feb_11_2011	294.93	298.76	297.73	291.82			288.4(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-9	-24	1.84	45%	0.1	-54.5	1.59%	0	-1.4	46	0
7	Feb_10_2011	294.65	299.81	299.05	293.89			292.32(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-11	-10	1.69	48%	0.11	-43.6	1.58%	0	-1	45	0
8	Feb_9_2011	294.33	300.77	298.77	296.37			292(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-11	-7	1.28	48%	0.11	-31.5	1.62%	0	-1.2	44	0
9	Feb_8_2011	294.01	301.72	299.17	299.06			293.12(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-3	2.17	48%	0.1	-18.2	1.63%	0	-1.2	39	0
10	Feb_7_2011	293.73	302.37	299.04	301.34			293.28(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-13	-10	1.37	48%	0.11	-14.7	1.63%	0	-1.3	39	0

11	Feb_4_2011	293.41	302.83	299.36	304.46			298.72(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-2	-2	2.16	51%	0.12	-9.6	1.61%	0	-0.6	40	0
12	Feb_3_2011	293.05	303	299.49	304.85			304.72(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	10	-10000	14	-4	1.06	53%	0.13	-10.7	1.61%	0	0.3	46	0
13	Feb_2_2011	292.68	303.14	298.99	301.41			305.44(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	9	-42	1.46	53%	0.12	-25.9	1.62%	0	0.3	44	0
14	Feb_1_2011	292.33	303.08	299.1	299.28			304.56(-1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	12	-59	2.03	55%	0.11	-39	1.63%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Jan_31_2011	292	303.41	299.46	296.4			308.88(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-11	-10000	11	-75	3.42	55%	0.14	-47.3	1.63%	0	0.8	52	0

16	Jan_28_2011	291.6	303.49	299.48	293.71			300.64(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	1	-90	3.78	52%	0.13	-56.8	1.6%	0	-0.4	50	0
17	Jan_27_2011	291.22	303.72	300.24	293.6			287.52(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-12	-95	1.23	48%	0.08	-60.4	1.49%	0	-2.2	38	0
18	Jan_26_2011	290.99	304.94	302.72	296.21			294.8(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-74	1.38	50%	0.11	-56.3	1.46%	0	-1.6	37	0
19	Jan_25_2011	290.66	305.79	304.37	298.91			290.16(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-10000	-18	-51	1.21	49%	0	-42.1	1.45%	0	-2.6	37	0
20	Jan_24_2011	290.66	306.84	306.06	302.85			295.44(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-15	-29	1.34	51%	0.11	-24.2	1.43%	0	-2.4	34	0

21	Jan_21_2011	290.34	307.7	306.84	306.03			300.08(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-8	-16	1.03	52%	0.12	3	1.43%	0	-1.8	38	0
22	Jan_20_2011	290	308.19	307.11	307.86			300.56(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-9	-10000	-10	-7	1.71	55%	0.13	23.2	1.46%	0	-2	48	0
23	Jan_19_2011	289.62	308.53	307.93	310.13			308.32(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	10	0.81	53%	0.19	49.1	1.46%	0	-0.1	48	0
24	Jan_18_2011	289.08	308.36	307.59	310.67			309.84(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	4	8	0.72	55%	0.24	55.9	1.57%	0	0.4	48	0
25	Jan_14_2011	288.4	308.01	307.77	309.78			311.36(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	7	0.76	55%		47.1	1.6%	0	0.9	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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