Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $273.2800 (-1.21%) ($270.9600 - $275.0400) on Fri. Jul. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $273.2800(-1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(37%)    VWO(37%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $274.09
5 Day Moving Average   $275.07(-0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $271.78(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $274.09(-0.3%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2010	297.12	274.09	271.78	275.07			273.28(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-1	6	1.08	41%	-0.11	-12.9	2.08%	0	-0.1	38	0
2	Jul_15_2010	297.45	274.45	270.81	275.36			276.64(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	2	-3	1.12	41%	-0.12	-9.8	2.1%	0	0.3	51	0
3	Jul_14_2010	297.81	274.75	270.23	274.8			277.28(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	6	-7	1.08	42%	-0.1	-4.2	2.1%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Jul_13_2010	298.11	274.93	269.71	273.18			277.92(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	12	-21	0.95	42%	-0.12	-0.4	2.12%	0	0.4	48	0
5	Jul_12_2010	298.46	274.75	269.87	269.78			270.24(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	7	-44	0.92	40%	-0.14	-4.9	2.09%	0	-0.6	40	0

6	Jul_9_2010	298.89	274.97	271.21	267.89			274.72(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	8	-54	0.81	40%	-0.12	-4.2	2.08%	0	-0	42	0
7	Jul_8_2010	299.25	275.13	271.18	265.54			273.84(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	2	-77	1.03	40%	-0.1	-10.9	2.08%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Jul_7_2010	299.55	275.05	271.13	265.1			269.2(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	-3	-93	1.66	40%	-0.11	-11.6	2.06%	0	-0.8	37	0
9	Jul_6_2010	299.89	274.95	272.16	265.94			260.88(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-15	-98	1.01	38%	-0.1	-8.4	2.02%	0	-1.9	31	0
10	Jul_2_2010	300.19	275.1	274.37	270.1			260.8(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-18	-69	0.95	39%	-0.11	0.3	2.02%	0	-1.8	41	0

11	Jul_1_2010	300.53	275.28	276.71	274.99			262.96(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-9	-28	1.74	41%	-0.1	10.9	2.04%	0	-1.7	44	0
12	Jun_30_2010	300.83	275.92	278.65	277.42			271.68(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-2	-9	1.46	43%	-0.06	30.4	2.02%	0	-0.6	46	0
13	Jun_29_2010	301.01	275.9	279.91	277.87			273.36(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-5	5	1.38	45%	-0.03	41	2.02%	0	-0.4	54	0
14	Jun_28_2010	301.09	275.57	280.82	279.2			281.68(-1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-1	30	0.61	47%	0	50.9	2.03%	0	0.8	66	0
15	Jun_25_2010	301.09	275.08	280.17	279.39			285.28(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	1	46	1.63	47%	-0	62.6	2.02%	0	1.4	73	0

16	Jun_24_2010	301.1	274.48	279.03	278.99			275.12(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-4	57	1	43%	-0.09	76.6	1.96%	0	0.1	67	0
17	Jun_23_2010	301.37	273.83	279.39	280.19			273.92(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-7	69	1.57	43%	-0.09	71.2	1.97%	0	0	51	0
18	Jun_22_2010	301.64	272.97	279.3	282.19			280(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-1	88	0.96	44%	-0.05	62.9	1.96%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Jun_21_2010	301.78	271.87	277.97	282.56			282.64(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	6	96	1.22	44%	-0.01	54.7	1.96%	0	1.2	64	0
20	Jun_18_2010	301.8	270.65	275.89	280.96			283.28(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	76	0.81	43%	-0.02	39.4	1.97%	0	1.4	57	0

21	Jun_17_2010	301.86	269.36	273.75	279.07			281.12(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	2	50	1.07	43%	-0.03	17.7	1.97%	0	1.3	54	0
22	Jun_16_2010	301.94	268.64	272.94	278.48			283.92(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	9	64	1.4	45%	-0.03	2.9	1.98%	0	1.8	65	0
23	Jun_15_2010	302.02	267.74	271.47	276.02			281.84(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	12	66	1.3	44%	-0.04	-21.3	2%	0	1.9	68	0
24	Jun_14_2010	302.15	267.1	269.76	272.75			274.64(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	10	55	1.07	42%	-0.05	-54.3	1.98%	0	1.1	62	0
25	Jun_11_2010	302.31	267.19	269.43	269.97			273.84(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	9	52	1.21	42%		-70.7	1.98%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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