Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $257.6000 (-3.91%) ($253.1200 - $262.4000) on Thu. May. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   10
Latest Price   $257.6000(-3.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -7.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(38%)    EEM(37%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $298.84
5 Day Moving Average   $268.59(-4.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $280.07(-8.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $298.84(-13.8%)
To recent high   -23.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 7.63% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2010	309.85	298.84	280.07	268.59			257.6(-3.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-90	-10000	-26	-282	3.79	36%	-0.19	-59.2	1.73%	0	-1.8	10	0
2	May_19_2010	310.43	302.21	284.01	274.88			268.08(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-10000	-22	-285	3.24	39%	-0.14	-59.4	1.68%	0	-1.6	14	0
3	May_18_2010	310.87	305.02	287.84	280.1			267.76(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-83	-10000	-22	-267	2.97	41%	-0.14	-59.8	1.69%	0	-1.9	23	0
4	May_17_2010	311.31	307.89	292.78	285.36			271.04(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-75	-10000	-22	-232	3.24	41%	-0.13	-60.4	1.71%	0	-2.1	28	0
5	May_14_2010	311.73	310.54	298.74	290.72			278.48(-3.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-10000	-9	-183	3.03	46%	-0.09	-61.4	1.75%	0	-2	27	0

6	May_13_2010	312.01	312.98	303.9	293.12			289.04(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-10000	-5	-171	2.2	49%	-0.04	-64.4	1.7%	0	-1.6	29	0
7	May_12_2010	312.15	315.25	307.79	294.45			294.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-10	-161	1.62	51%	0.01	-64.8	1.7%	0	-1.5	35	0
8	May_11_2010	312.13	317.27	310.42	296.91			294.08(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-18	-153	1.73	51%	0.02	-63.9	1.71%	0	-1.8	35	0
9	May_10_2010	312.08	319.02	312.68	301.62			297.84(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-26	-138	2.29	51%	0.02	-62.9	1.7%	0	-1.7	37	0
10	May_7_2010	312.03	320.58	315.26	308.38			290.48(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-48	-10000	-30	-100	3.11	51%	0	-56	1.7%	0	-2.7	32	0

11	May_6_2010	312.03	322.66	319.17	316.42			295.68(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-30	-10000	-24	-47	3.02	53%	0	-47	1.69%	0	-3	33	0
12	May_5_2010	312.02	324.56	322.1	322.94			306.48(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-11	-10000	-10	-14	2.79	57%	0.06	-30.9	1.64%	0	-2.7	32	0
13	May_4_2010	311.82	325.91	323.86	325.6			317.6(-4.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	1	-10000	2	-4	2.06	55%	0.11	-14.4	1.59%	0	-1.5	37	0
14	May_3_2010	311.47	326.84	324.43	325.07			331.68(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	7	-11	1.04	60%	0.16	-4	1.62%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Apr_30_2010	310.98	327.01	323.29	323.3			330.64(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	2	-31	1.68	64%	0.15	7.4	1.65%	0	0.6	52	0

16	Apr_29_2010	310.51	326.94	322.6	322.69			328.32(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-7	-10000	4	-39	1.42	64%	0.14	19.4	1.67%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Apr_28_2010	310.08	326.66	322.96	321.5			319.76(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-2	-47	1.32	62%	0.08	21.9	1.65%	0	-1.2	38	0
18	Apr_27_2010	309.82	326.73	324.32	321.98			314.96(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-6	-45	1.53	62%	0.05	26.4	1.64%	0	-2	32	0
19	Apr_26_2010	309.66	327.07	325.63	323.47			322.8(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	1	-44	0.9	65%	0.05	39.2	1.62%	0	-0.8	33	0
20	Apr_23_2010	309.49	326.57	326.11	323.09			327.6(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	2	-56	1.14	65%	0.06	29.3	1.6%	0	0.2	36	0

21	Apr_22_2010	309.29	325.83	326.24	322.53			322.4(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.35	61%	0.04	19.3	1.6%	0	-0.5	42	0
22	Apr_21_2010	309.17	325.38	327.15	324.78			322.16(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-9	-43	1.47	59%	0.02	20.2	1.64%	0	-0.4	53	0
23	Apr_20_2010	309.12	325.21	328.17	327.17			322.4(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.86	56%	0.03	27.9	1.65%	0	-0.4	56	0
24	Apr_19_2010	309.02	324.97	329.54	328.11			320.88(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-5	7	1.2	56%	0.04	34	1.69%	0	-0.5	55	0
25	Apr_16_2010	308.89	324.69	331.15	329.42			324.8(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	42	2.17	56%		36.3	1.69%	0	0	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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