Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $322.8000 (-1.47%) ($322.2400 - $327.5200) on Mon. Apr. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $322.8000(-1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(38%)    VWO(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

Resistance Level   $327.07
5 Day Moving Average   $323.47(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $325.63(-0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $327.07(-1.31%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2010	309.66	327.07	325.63	323.47			322.8(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	1	-44	0.9	65%	0.05	39.2	1.62%	0	-0.8	33	0
2	Apr_23_2010	309.49	326.57	326.11	323.09			327.6(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	2	-56	1.14	65%	0.06	29.3	1.6%	0	0.2	36	0
3	Apr_22_2010	309.29	325.83	326.24	322.53			322.4(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10000	-9	-66	1.35	61%	0.04	19.3	1.6%	0	-0.5	42	0
4	Apr_21_2010	309.17	325.38	327.15	324.78			322.16(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-9	-43	1.47	59%	0.02	20.2	1.64%	0	-0.4	53	0
5	Apr_20_2010	309.12	325.21	328.17	327.17			322.4(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-4	-14	0.86	56%	0.03	27.9	1.65%	0	-0.4	56	0

6	Apr_19_2010	309.02	324.97	329.54	328.11			320.88(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-5	7	1.2	56%	0.04	34	1.69%	0	-0.5	55	0
7	Apr_16_2010	308.89	324.69	331.15	329.42			324.8(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-3	42	2.17	56%	0.06	36.3	1.69%	0	0	68	0
8	Apr_15_2010	308.72	324.44	331.75	330.34			333.68(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	2	70	0.86	59%	0.06	38.9	1.67%	0	1.1	78	0
9	Apr_14_2010	308.53	323.8	330.69	329.9			334.08(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	1	79	1.62	59%	0.09	40.5	1.68%	0	1.2	78	0
10	Apr_13_2010	308.26	322.98	329.31	329.52			327.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-7	79	1.32	57%	0.04	42.3	1.66%	0	0.5	62	0

11	Apr_12_2010	308.14	322.19	328.68	331.33			327.44(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-7	95	0.8	54%	0.04	43.2	1.67%	0	0.6	64	0
12	Apr_9_2010	308.01	321.62	327.19	333.15			329.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-10000	-0	109	1.13	54%	0.04	48.3	1.68%	0	0.9	69	0
13	Apr_8_2010	307.88	321.13	325.5	333.26			331.52(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	7	106	0.86	54%	0.02	54.8	1.7%	0	1.3	62	0
14	Apr_7_2010	307.82	320.46	323.55	331.42			332.16(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	9	87	1.07	54%	0.03	53.5	1.7%	0	1.5	59	0
15	Apr_6_2010	307.73	319.62	322.04	328.91			336.16(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	12	74	0.92	54%	0.05	51.5	1.69%	0	2.3	66	0

16	Apr_5_2010	307.58	318.64	319.94	325.62			336.56(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	30	-10000	19	63	0.96	54%	0.06	54.4	1.7%	0	2.9	72	0
17	Apr_1_2010	307.41	317.64	317.5	320.43			329.92(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	17	-10000	14	27	1.13	55%	0.02	50.3	1.7%	0	2.7	61	0
18	Mar_31_2010	307.35	316.76	316.27	316.69			322.32(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	6	-10000	8	0	1.68	53%	-0	46	1.68%	0	1.6	51	0
19	Mar_30_2010	307.36	316.38	316.09	314.53			319.6(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.85	53%	-0.02	33.6	1.68%	0	0.9	50	0
20	Mar_29_2010	307.41	315.93	315.9	314.13			319.68(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	2	-14	1.3	53%	0.01	31.5	1.68%	0	0.9	53	0

21	Mar_26_2010	307.38	315.31	315.01	313.49			310.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.96	50%	-0.06	22	1.64%	0	-1.2	43	0
22	Mar_25_2010	307.55	315.36	315.59	314.08			311.2(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-6	-29	1.12	50%	-0.06	21.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	43	0
23	Mar_24_2010	307.72	315.12	316.52	315.71			311.52(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-13	1.1	50%	-0.05	26.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	50	0
24	Mar_23_2010	307.86	315.18	317.33	317.78			317.6(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	-0	8	0.7	55%	-0.01	46	1.66%	0	0.5	53	0
25	Mar_22_2010	307.88	314.66	317.21	317.92			316.48(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	4	16	1.33	55%		51.3	1.71%	0	0.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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