Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $336.1600 (-0.12%) ($334.6400 - $337.5200) on Tue. Apr. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $336.1600(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(38%)    VWO(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $328.91(2.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $322.04(4.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $319.62(5.17%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2010	307.73	319.62	322.04	328.91			336.16(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	12	74	0.92	54%	0.05	51.5	1.69%	0	2.3	66	0
2	Apr_5_2010	307.58	318.64	319.94	325.62			336.56(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	30	-10000	19	63	0.96	54%	0.06	54.4	1.7%	0	2.9	72	0
3	Apr_1_2010	307.41	317.64	317.5	320.43			329.92(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	17	-10000	14	27	1.13	55%	0.02	50.3	1.7%	0	2.7	61	0
4	Mar_31_2010	307.35	316.76	316.27	316.69			322.32(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	6	-10000	8	0	1.68	53%	-0	46	1.68%	0	1.6	51	0
5	Mar_30_2010	307.36	316.38	316.09	314.53			319.6(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.85	53%	-0.02	33.6	1.68%	0	0.9	50	0

6	Mar_29_2010	307.41	315.93	315.9	314.13			319.68(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	2	-14	1.3	53%	0.01	31.5	1.68%	0	0.9	53	0
7	Mar_26_2010	307.38	315.31	315.01	313.49			310.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.96	50%	-0.06	22	1.64%	0	-1.2	43	0
8	Mar_25_2010	307.55	315.36	315.59	314.08			311.2(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-6	-29	1.12	50%	-0.06	21.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	43	0
9	Mar_24_2010	307.72	315.12	316.52	315.71			311.52(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-13	1.1	50%	-0.05	26.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	50	0
10	Mar_23_2010	307.86	315.18	317.33	317.78			317.6(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	-0	8	0.7	55%	-0.01	46	1.66%	0	0.5	53	0

11	Mar_22_2010	307.88	314.66	317.21	317.92			316.48(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	4	16	1.33	55%	0.01	51.3	1.71%	0	0.4	58	0
12	Mar_19_2010	307.86	314.45	317.39	316.75			313.6(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-2	18	1.73	55%	-0.05	66.4	1.7%	0	-0.2	59	0
13	Mar_18_2010	308.01	314.41	317.95	317.25			319.36(-0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-1	31	0.95	57%	0.01	86.2	1.7%	0	1	60	0
14	Mar_17_2010	307.97	313.93	317.36	317.46			321.84(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	2	42	1.57	57%	-0.01	99.4	1.7%	0	1.6	67	0
15	Mar_16_2010	308	313.03	316.66	316.93			318.32(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	1	43	1.6	59%	-0.01	107.2	1.7%	0	1	56	0

16	Mar_15_2010	308.03	312.26	315.91	316.54			310.64(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-6	43	1.22	57%	-0.06	127.1	1.7%	0	-0.3	56	0
17	Mar_12_2010	308.2	311.37	315.68	318.08			316.08(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-2	51	1.42	59%	-0.05	107.6	1.67%	0	0.7	54	0
18	Mar_11_2010	308.36	310.34	315.17	318.62			320.4(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	56	1.01	59%	-0.04	104.4	1.67%	0	1.3	57	0
19	Mar_10_2010	308.47	308.95	313.65	317.18			319.2(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	42	1.89	59%	-0.01	88.8	1.67%	0	1.2	59	0
20	Mar_9_2010	308.51	307.51	312.87	316.38			316.4(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	5	47	1	56%	-0.03	76	1.67%	0	1	62	0

21	Mar_8_2010	308.61	305.81	311.91	315.18			318.32(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	9	45	0.98	56%	-0.02	57.1	1.71%	0	1.2	65	0
22	Mar_5_2010	308.67	304.03	311.21	312.88			318.8(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	52	1.26	53%	0	46.4	1.74%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Mar_4_2010	308.67	302.41	310.49	311.23			313.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	62	1.24	52%	0.01	41.2	1.74%	0	1	66	0
24	Mar_3_2010	308.63	301.75	310.13	309.57			315.2(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	69	1.55	52%	0.04	43.9	1.74%	0	1.3	69	0
25	Mar_2_2010	308.52	300.92	308.99	308.91			310.4(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	3	83	1.27	52%		48.4	1.73%	0	0.9	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.