Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 29, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $319.6800 (2.91%) ($314.3200 - $320.8800) on Mon. Mar. 29, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $319.6800(2.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(38%)    VWO(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $314.13(1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $315.9(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $315.93(1.19%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2010	307.41	315.93	315.9	314.13			319.68(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	2	-14	1.3	53%	0.01	31.5	1.68%	0	0.9	53	0
2	Mar_26_2010	307.38	315.31	315.01	313.49			310.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.96	50%	-0.06	22	1.64%	0	-1.2	43	0
3	Mar_25_2010	307.55	315.36	315.59	314.08			311.2(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-6	-29	1.12	50%	-0.06	21.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	43	0
4	Mar_24_2010	307.72	315.12	316.52	315.71			311.52(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-13	1.1	50%	-0.05	26.8	1.67%	0	-0.8	50	0
5	Mar_23_2010	307.86	315.18	317.33	317.78			317.6(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-10000	-0	8	0.7	55%	-0.01	46	1.66%	0	0.5	53	0

6	Mar_22_2010	307.88	314.66	317.21	317.92			316.48(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	4	16	1.33	55%	0.01	51.3	1.71%	0	0.4	58	0
7	Mar_19_2010	307.86	314.45	317.39	316.75			313.6(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-2	18	1.73	55%	-0.05	66.4	1.7%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Mar_18_2010	308.01	314.41	317.95	317.25			319.36(-0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-1	31	0.95	57%	0.01	86.2	1.7%	0	1	60	0
9	Mar_17_2010	307.97	313.93	317.36	317.46			321.84(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	2	42	1.57	57%	-0.01	99.4	1.7%	0	1.6	67	0
10	Mar_16_2010	308	313.03	316.66	316.93			318.32(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	1	43	1.6	59%	-0.01	107.2	1.7%	0	1	56	0

11	Mar_15_2010	308.03	312.26	315.91	316.54			310.64(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-6	43	1.22	57%	-0.06	127.1	1.7%	0	-0.3	56	0
12	Mar_12_2010	308.2	311.37	315.68	318.08			316.08(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-2	51	1.42	59%	-0.05	107.6	1.67%	0	0.7	54	0
13	Mar_11_2010	308.36	310.34	315.17	318.62			320.4(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	56	1.01	59%	-0.04	104.4	1.67%	0	1.3	57	0
14	Mar_10_2010	308.47	308.95	313.65	317.18			319.2(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	42	1.89	59%	-0.01	88.8	1.67%	0	1.2	59	0
15	Mar_9_2010	308.51	307.51	312.87	316.38			316.4(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	5	47	1	56%	-0.03	76	1.67%	0	1	62	0

16	Mar_8_2010	308.61	305.81	311.91	315.18			318.32(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	9	45	0.98	56%	-0.02	57.1	1.71%	0	1.2	65	0
17	Mar_5_2010	308.67	304.03	311.21	312.88			318.8(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	52	1.26	53%	0	46.4	1.74%	0	1.3	73	0
18	Mar_4_2010	308.67	302.41	310.49	311.23			313.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	62	1.24	52%	0.01	41.2	1.74%	0	1	66	0
19	Mar_3_2010	308.63	301.75	310.13	309.57			315.2(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	69	1.55	52%	0.04	43.9	1.74%	0	1.3	69	0
20	Mar_2_2010	308.52	300.92	308.99	308.91			310.4(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	3	83	1.27	52%	0.03	48.4	1.73%	0	0.9	69	0

21	Mar_1_2010	308.43	300.07	308.23	308.16			306.8(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-4	100	1.21	52%	0.03	47.2	1.74%	0	0.7	72	0
22	Feb_26_2010	308.33	299.02	306.79	309.25			310.56(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-10000	-2	120	1.14	49%	0.06	46.7	1.75%	0	1.1	74	0
23	Feb_25_2010	308.15	297.93	305.23	309.68			304.88(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-4	133	1.75	49%	0.06	45.3	1.75%	0	0.7	66	0
24	Feb_24_2010	307.97	297.12	304.08	310.67			311.92(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	6	137	1.25	52%	0.06	42.3	1.76%	0	1.5	56	0
25	Feb_23_2010	307.77	296.06	301.89	309.04			306.64(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	3	117	1.41	52%		31.1	1.76%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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