Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $289.6800 (3.19%) ($282.6400 - $301.7400) on Tue. Feb. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $289.6800(3.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(39%)    EEM(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $286.71(-1.03%)
Resistance Level   $296.28
5 Day Moving Average   $287.94(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $289.57(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $296.28(-2.23%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.63% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2010	305.65	296.28	289.57	287.94			289.68(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-8	-49	1.59	45%	0.01	-82.6	1.73%	0	-0.6	40	0
2	Feb_8_2010	305.62	297.91	289.78	290.05			280.72(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-10	-58	1.53	41%	-0.06	-68.6	1.7%	0	-1.4	28	0
3	Feb_5_2010	305.79	300.2	291.22	292.65			281.68(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-3	-51	3.67	39%	-0.06	-55.6	1.73%	0	-1.4	33	0
4	Feb_4_2010	305.98	302.38	292.25	293.34			286.4(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-2	-71	2.61	39%	-0.04	-49.4	1.72%	0	-1.2	33	0
5	Feb_3_2010	306.11	304.42	292.25	293.92			301.2(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	11	-84	2.25	43%	0.02	-41.8	1.62%	0	-0.2	38	0

6	Feb_2_2010	306.04	305.45	293.41	291.41			300.23(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	7	-119	1.83	43%	0.05	-41.6	1.63%	0	-0.4	35	0
7	Feb_1_2010	305.89	306.5	294.28	289.76			293.76(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	-10000	-1	-150	1.31	40%	0.03	-39.4	1.62%	0	-0.9	25	0
8	Jan_29_2010	305.81	307.56	295.51	289.9			285.12(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10000	-5	-172	1.79	37%	-0.05	-35.7	1.64%	0	-1.5	14	0
9	Jan_28_2010	305.95	309.08	298.21	291.02			289.28(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-10000	-7	-175	1.45	35%	-0.02	-29.8	1.7%	0	-1.5	18	0
10	Jan_27_2010	306.02	310.26	300.62	292.75			288.64(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-10000	-11	-179	1.85	35%	-0.02	-21.2	1.73%	0	-1.7	17	0

11	Jan_26_2010	306.09	311.5	303.45	295.65			292(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-10000	-15	-170	1.14	35%	-0.05	-9.7	1.74%	0	-1.7	25	0
12	Jan_25_2010	306.24	312.33	306.63	299.54			294.48(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-10	-145	1.13	35%	0.05	5.6	1.75%	0	-1.7	27	0
13	Jan_22_2010	306.1	312.87	309.88	302.08			290.72(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-10000	-16	-123	2.24	35%	0.03	17	1.74%	0	-2.2	34	0
14	Jan_21_2010	306.01	313.19	313.47	306.43			297.92(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-10000	-12	-86	1.71	37%	0.06	37.8	1.72%	0	-1.8	40	0
15	Jan_20_2010	305.84	312.97	316.52	309.58			303.12(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-10	-50	1.43	38%	0.07	54.1	1.74%	0	-1.2	46	0

16	Jan_19_2010	305.62	312.64	318.64	312.37			311.44(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-10	-23	1.02	41%	0.09	61	1.71%	0	-0.1	54	0
17	Jan_15_2010	305.34	311.73	319.77	314.94			307.2(-1.69%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-10	-10000	-15	7	1.58	45%	0.02	58.3	1.7%	0	-0.4	57	0
18	Jan_14_2010	305.28	311.18	320.69	318.99			312.48(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-10	47	1.07	45%	0.06	66.7	1.74%	0	0.1	66	0
19	Jan_13_2010	305.11	310.03	320.93	321.65			313.68(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-10	85	1.94	45%	0.06	67.8	1.74%	0	0.3	75	0
20	Jan_12_2010	304.94	308.69	320.82	324.46			317.04(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-4	130	1.5	45%	0.04	64.6	1.74%	0	0.6	81	0

21	Jan_11_2010	304.83	307.1	320.34	325.71			324.32(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	2	163	1.12	48%	0.06	56.8	1.73%	0	1.2	82	0
22	Jan_8_2010	304.64	305.17	318.56	325.28			327.44(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-10000	9	184	1.17	48%	0.09	48.5	1.73%	0	1.5	87	0
23	Jan_7_2010	304.37	303.11	316.06	322.64			325.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	9	179	1.25	48%	0.07	37.4	1.74%	0	1.5	81	0
24	Jan_6_2010	304.16	301.46	312.83	320.11			327.76(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	12	174	2.47	48%	0.11	27.1	1.75%	0	1.9	85	0
25	Jan_5_2010	303.82	299.92	309.02	316.7			323.28(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	9	161	1.31	48%		18	1.75%	0	1.8	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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