Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jan. 10, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $327.4400 (0.52%) ($323.6000 - $329.3600) on Sun. Jan. 10, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $327.4400(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $325.28(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $318.56(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $305.17(7.3%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2010	304.64	305.17	318.56	325.28			327.44(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-10000	9	184	1.17	48%	0.09	48.5	1.73%	0	1.5	87	0
2	Jan_7_2010	304.37	303.11	316.06	322.64			325.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	-10000	9	179	1.25	48%	0.07	37.4	1.74%	0	1.5	81	0
3	Jan_6_2010	304.16	301.46	312.83	320.11			327.76(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	12	174	2.47	48%	0.11	27.1	1.75%	0	1.9	85	0
4	Jan_5_2010	303.82	299.92	309.02	316.7			323.28(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	9	161	1.31	48%	0.13	18	1.75%	0	1.8	85	0
5	Jan_4_2010	303.42	298.91	305.99	314.22			322.16(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	49	-10000	12	160	1.43	48%	0.12	13.7	1.75%	0	2	85	0

6	Dec_31_2009	303.06	298.02	302.81	310.91			314.24(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	9	149	0.72	44%	0.05	2.7	1.73%	0	1.6	79	0
7	Dec_30_2009	302.9	298.02	300.71	308.45			313.12(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	-10000	16	147	1.18	51%	0.06	-3.3	1.73%	0	1.6	76	0
8	Dec_29_2009	302.72	297.68	298.11	304.32			310.72(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	15	107	0.82	51%	0.03	-13.7	1.85%	0	1.3	62	0
9	Dec_28_2009	302.62	297.64	295.48	300.03			310.88(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	13	65	0.99	51%	0.02	-26.2	1.86%	0	1.3	56	0
10	Dec_24_2009	302.56	297.37	292.69	296.51			305.6(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	11	21	0.41	48%	0	-40.4	1.84%	0	0.8	46	0

11	Dec_23_2009	302.56	297.75	290.62	293.57			301.92(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	6	-22	1.45	43%	-0.01	-49.6	1.88%	0	0.4	41	0
12	Dec_22_2009	302.58	298.01	289.02	291.97			292.48(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	4	-54	1.18	43%	-0.04	-58.9	1.95%	0	-0.5	30	0
13	Dec_21_2009	302.69	299.09	289.15	290.96			289.28(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	3	-80	1.2	41%	-0.02	-62.2	1.98%	0	-0.9	22	0
14	Dec_18_2009	302.74	300.37	290.1	290.03			293.28(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	7	-95	1.77	41%	0.03	-62.8	2.02%	0	-0.6	30	0
15	Dec_17_2009	302.65	301.53	291.24	288.14			290.88(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	3	-110	1.39	41%	0.08	-64.6	2.02%	0	-0.9	35	0

16	Dec_16_2009	302.41	303.2	292.81	287.14			293.92(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	5	-123	2.2	41%	0.03	-63.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	31	0
17	Dec_15_2009	302.33	304.65	294.3	285.74			287.44(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-5	-135	1.71	41%	-0.01	-64.6	2.01%	0	-1.3	34	0
18	Dec_14_2009	302.37	306.41	297.13	287.22			284.64(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-10	-127	1.51	41%	-0.02	-63.7	2.04%	0	-1.7	28	0
19	Dec_11_2009	302.42	307.92	299.99	290.27			283.84(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-15	-117	2.21	38%	-0.01	-64.7	2.04%	0	-2	27	0
20	Dec_10_2009	302.44	309.55	302.54	294.83			285.84(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-14	-100	1.95	38%	0.02	-67.2	2.1%	0	-2.2	27	0

21	Dec_9_2009	302.37	311.55	305.64	299.3			286.96(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-33	-10000	-15	-86	2.75	38%	0.03	-65.4	2.11%	0	-2.6	24	0
22	Dec_8_2009	302.29	313.45	308.01	304.05			294.8(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-14	-76	1.53	45%	0.05	-64.3	2.08%	0	-2.4	28	0
23	Dec_7_2009	302.13	314.97	310.13	308.48			299.92(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.71	45%	0.09	-54.6	2.16%	0	-2.2	33	0
24	Dec_4_2009	301.87	315.93	311.75	311.14			306.64(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-1	-40	1.99	46%	0.13	-49.7	2.16%	0	-1.6	47	0
25	Dec_3_2009	301.48	316.92	312.83	311.41			308.16(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.34	46%		-49.5	2.16%	0	-1.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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