Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $292.4800 (1.11%) ($287.1200 - $295.7200) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $292.4800(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(39%)    EEM(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $298.01
5 Day Moving Average   $291.97(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $289.02(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $298.01(-1.86%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2009	302.58	298.01	289.02	291.97			292.48(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	4	-54	1.18	43%	-0.04	-58.9	1.95%	0	-0.5	30	0
2	Dec_21_2009	302.69	299.09	289.15	290.96			289.28(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	3	-80	1.2	41%	-0.02	-62.2	1.98%	0	-0.9	22	0
3	Dec_18_2009	302.74	300.37	290.1	290.03			293.28(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	7	-95	1.77	41%	0.03	-62.8	2.02%	0	-0.6	30	0
4	Dec_17_2009	302.65	301.53	291.24	288.14			290.88(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	-10000	3	-110	1.39	41%	0.08	-64.6	2.02%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Dec_16_2009	302.41	303.2	292.81	287.14			293.92(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	5	-123	2.2	41%	0.03	-63.5	2.02%	0	-0.7	31	0

6	Dec_15_2009	302.33	304.65	294.3	285.74			287.44(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	-5	-135	1.71	41%	-0.01	-64.6	2.01%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Dec_14_2009	302.37	306.41	297.13	287.22			284.64(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-10	-127	1.51	41%	-0.02	-63.7	2.04%	0	-1.7	28	0
8	Dec_11_2009	302.42	307.92	299.99	290.27			283.84(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-15	-117	2.21	38%	-0.01	-64.7	2.04%	0	-2	27	0
9	Dec_10_2009	302.44	309.55	302.54	294.83			285.84(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-14	-100	1.95	38%	0.02	-67.2	2.1%	0	-2.2	27	0
10	Dec_9_2009	302.37	311.55	305.64	299.3			286.96(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-33	-10000	-15	-86	2.75	38%	0.03	-65.4	2.11%	0	-2.6	24	0

11	Dec_8_2009	302.29	313.45	308.01	304.05			294.8(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-14	-76	1.53	45%	0.05	-64.3	2.08%	0	-2.4	28	0
12	Dec_7_2009	302.13	314.97	310.13	308.48			299.92(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.71	45%	0.09	-54.6	2.16%	0	-2.2	33	0
13	Dec_4_2009	301.87	315.93	311.75	311.14			306.64(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-1	-40	1.99	46%	0.13	-49.7	2.16%	0	-1.6	47	0
14	Dec_3_2009	301.48	316.92	312.83	311.41			308.16(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.34	46%	0.14	-49.5	2.16%	0	-1.5	47	0
15	Dec_2_2009	301.07	317.9	314.48	312.98			310.72(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-28	1.6	46%	0.18	-33.7	2.16%	0	-1.2	41	0

16	Dec_1_2009	300.53	318.62	315.75	312.56			316.96(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-31	1.36	46%	0.2	-35.9	2.14%	0	-0.3	45	0
17	Nov_30_2009	299.94	318.77	316.21	312.18			313.2(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-34	1.95	43%	0.18	-39.3	2.21%	0	-1	42	0
18	Nov_27_2009	299.4	318.89	316.26	312.61			308(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-38	1.15	43%	0.28	-48.1	2.2%	0	-1.9	44	0
19	Nov_25_2009	298.55	319.87	317	314.46			316(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-40	1.49	43%	0.15	-46.2	2.18%	0	-0.7	42	0
20	Nov_24_2009	298.1	319.91	317.79	316.34			308.64(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-9	-36	1.91	41%	0.1	-49.1	2.19%	0	-2.1	35	0

21	Nov_23_2009	297.79	320.75	319.31	319.38			315.04(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-4	-22	1.68	41%	0.06	-37.2	2.17%	0	-1.2	42	0
22	Nov_20_2009	297.61	321.08	320.21	320.83			315.36(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	1.36	41%	0.09	-33.8	2.18%	0	-1.2	48	0
23	Nov_19_2009	297.34	321.68	320.52	320.35			317.28(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.65	44%	0.06	-32.1	2.19%	0	-0.9	54	0
24	Nov_18_2009	297.16	322.38	321.42	319.73			325.36(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	1.68	49%	0.07	-24.1	2.2%	0	0.6	48	0
25	Nov_17_2009	296.94	322.58	321.56	319.54			323.84(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	1.27	49%		-6.8	2.24%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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